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A small loss of -£3.17 for the week ending Sunday, 8 February, despite three winning naps out of five, taking our recent naps total to 17 from 24.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 8 Feburary: -£3.17
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 9 February
Hopefully, Monday's jumps cards at Catterick and Plumpton manage to beat the current wet spell, the ground at both courses described as soft, heavy in places.
2:30pm Catterick - Asa (Nap)
Stamina is likely to be the deciding factor in the outcome of this 3m 1f Queen Boudicca Mares’ Chase Qualifier under conditions sure to prove very testing. Sam England’s Florita boasts the best recent form having won a couple of handicaps at Market Rasen from her three outings over fences, the most recent with a comfortable victory over a trip of 2m 3f on the first day of this month.
The mount of Jonathan England does not look to be crying out for this big step-up in distance however, and has a 7lb penalty to carry on ground described as heavy. Conditions should be no problem for Stuart Edmunds’ Innisfree Lass, both of the eighty-year-old’s victories over hurdles coming on heavy ground at Southwell.
Charlie Hammond’s mount is 0 from 9 over fences however, and has disappointed on all three starts this season. Tom Gretton’s top weight Overabottleofred and Stuart Coltherd’s Similar Story would have claims if handling today’s conditions, but I like the chances of the Philip Kirby-trained ASA (Nap), the mount of 3lb claimer Joe Williamson.
The grey mare has been mainly campaigned over hurdles, with 2 victories from 24 starts compared to a record of 2 wins from 5 outings over the bigger obstacles. The most recent of those chase successes came in this race 12 months ago off a mark of 90, before following-up over hurdles at Southwell 7 days later. Asa returns to fences for the first time since that Catterick victory after going down by just half a length on soft ground over hurdles at Wetherby last month. While unproven on ground this testing, I expect the seven-year-old mare to outstay her 5 rivals.
Recommendation: Asa (Nap)
3:00pm Catterick - Marlacoo
The trainer/jockey combination of Tom Lacey and Stan Sheppard are responsible for just the one runner at the North Yorkshire racecourse, the six-year-old Marlacoo in this Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier.
The gelding’s sole victory from 10 starts over hurdles came in a heavy-ground maiden hurdle over today’s trip at Ayr 12 months ago. Prior to that victory MARLACOO had finished a creditable second behind an in-form horse in Lord Of All Saints on very soft ground at Sandown.
Surprisingly, Marlacoo has been sent off favourite on each of his last 8 starts over the smaller obstacle, including all three this season. A promising second at Chepstow on his reappearance, on the back of which Marlacoo headed the market for a Class 3 handicap at Cheltenham’s November meeting.
A slightly disappointing 10th behind Saturday’s easy Newbury winner A Pai De Nom, the selection was last seen finishing third at Warwick two months ago. Back down to a more suitable trip and with form on this kind of ground, Marlacoo can make the long journey from his Herefordshire stables a worthwhile one.
Philip Kirby’s Bathgate has been in good form of late, two of the six-year-old’s wins to date coming on this course. Joe Williamson’s mount can give the selection most to do along with Mark Walford’s consistent Forest Blaze and another course specialist in Sam England’s Born In The West, who landed a bit of a gamble here just 10 days ago.
Recommendation: Marlacoo
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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