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Epsom's costly masterplan to reinvent Derby Day proved a bit of a damp squib in the end, mainly down to the awful weather which resulted in cars leaving the course in droves well before the feature race got underway at just after 4.00pm.
Having backed Dante winner Item, to see the York form overturned by over 30 lengths due to the conditions summed the day up for me. Christmas Day doesn't always bring what you had hoped for. The decision to declare Derby favourite Benvenuto Cellini a non-runner only added to the fiasco. Hopefully, the Surrey racecourse will have better luck in 12 months time, and at less expense.
Despite a slight loss on Saturday, we ended the week with a profit of +£6.65, mainly down to three successful naps, at odds of 5/1, 4/1 and 7/2 (20p R4).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 7 June: +£6.65
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£146.15
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£646.81
Alan Kelly's Tips - Wednesday, 10 June
Good to soft conditions are expected for all three British turf fixtures taking place on Wednesday, those at Yarmouth and Fontwell in the afternoon and Hamilton in the evening.
2:48pm Yarmouth - Quadrillion
By the outstanding miler Kingman and out of Quadriliteral, the daughter of Frankel an excellent third behind Ballydoyle’s Love in the 2000 Qipco 1000 Guineas, there are few better-bred fillies in training than the Harry Charlton-trained QUADRILLION, who will be having her first outing at three following defeats at Newmarket and Leicester as a juvenile.
Sent off a warm favourite for both of those starts at two, Lewis Edmunds’ mount was far from disgraced when finishing a close third on her debut at headquarters, looking as if she would improve plenty for the run. A well-beaten second at odds of 4/7 at Leicester on her next start behind the Karl Burke-trained Alparslan, a horse who would go on to win this season’s Group 3 Greenham Stakes at Newbury before going on to finish a respectable fifth behind Gstaad in the Irish 2000 Guineas.
Quadrillon is unlikely to face anything of that calibre on her first start at three and can open her account before attempting something a little more ambitious. Of the newcomers, John & Thady Gosden’s Starlight Lass is the most interesting, and any market confidence in the Dubawi filly should be noted.
Of those that have had a run, Roger Varian’s Shushu has shown the most promise. No match for Ralph Beckett’s Secret Of Life when runner-up to that horse on her racecourse debut at Haydock last month, Jack Mitchell’s mount can give the selection most to do.
Recommendation: Quadrillion - 5/2 with bet365
3:30pm Fontwell - Granny Hawkins (Nap)
Last seen finishing 8th in a two mile handicap on the Flat at Thirsk 10 days ago, the Faye Bramley-trained Almuhit is better judged on his last two runs over the smaller obstacles, first of all when beating all bar Nicky Henderson’s unexposed Laughing John in a Triple Crown Series Qualifier at Wincanton in February prior to finishing a creditable 4th of 24 in the final of that series at Punchestown towards the end of April.
Jockey Harry Cobden rode the Sea The Stars gelding for the first time over in Ireland, and on his only ride of the day, JP McManus’s retained jockey will be fancied by many to take this Class 4 handicap. However, I think Almuhit may have to settle for second spot on this occasion behind Alan King’s mare GRANNY HAWKINS (Nap), who will be going for her fourth consecutive victory following successes at Hereford (twice) and Stratford.
Now running off a mark 18lb higher than when winning the first of those races back in November, the daughter of Blue Bresil still looked some way ahead of the handicapper when recording a comfortable success on her most recent start despite being badly hampered during the race. From a stable in good form, Tom Bellamy’s mount is fancied to land the four-timer.
Recommendation: Granny Hawkins (Nap) - 11/8 with Ladbrokes
6:30pm Hamilton - Summerstorms Dream
There are few better non-professional jockeys than 2024 Flat Amateur Champion Mr Eireann Cagney, the talented rider booked to partner the Jim Goldie-trained Summerstorms Dream in this 6f Amateur Jockeys’ Handicap. This will be just the 8th career start for the four-year-old daughter of Inns Of Court, who has shown more than enough to suggest she is up to winning a race of this nature off a mark of only 47.
The fillies’ last four outings have all come in handicaps at Ayr, the most recent when staying-on to finish fifth after being slowly away, a length behind stablemate and fellow rival Doon The Glen. Sporting cheekpieces for the first time, SUMMERSTORMS DREAM should appreciate today’s stronger handling after being partnered by an apprentice on her last six starts. Gemma Tutty’s Misty Sky Blue with Amy Collier aboard looks the main danger to the selection.
Recommendation: Summerstorms Dream - 3/1 with Ladbrokes
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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