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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
A disappointing week ending Sunday, 22 March, or should I say a disappointing Saturday, as we were just in front going into the weekend. Three seconds at odds of 11/4, 15/2 and 10/1 proved frustrating, in particular the head defeat of Knickerbockerglory at Bangor. I also thought our 22/1 selection Wasthatok was still going well when failing to avoid the fall of The Navigator at Kelso.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 22 March: -£6.77
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£72.10
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£572.76
Alan Kelly's Tips - Friday, 27 March
The meetings at Wetherby and Fontwell provide Friday's jumps action alongside the all-weather cards at Lingfield and Newcastle in Britain and Dundalk in Ireland.
2:50pm Wetherby - Youdecide (Nap)
Most of the 9 runners for this 3m handicap chase go into the race on the back of at least one disappointing performance, while the nine-year-old Cardamon Hill is likely to need this run on his first start for trainer Miss A M Slack and following a break of over a year.
The one horse we have yet to see the best of over fences is the Ben Pauling-trained YOUDECIDE (Nap), an Irish point-to-point winner of two years ago. The Mahler gelding won on his handicap debut over hurdles at Huntingdon around this time last year, the six-year-old well-supported to repeat the feat over fences at Warwick on the final day of 2025.
Fourth over that 2m trip after leading in between the final two fences, Ben Jones’ mount was expected to go close at Kempton last month when stepping up to a more suitable trip of 3m. After being held-up at the rear, Youdecide could never get into a challenging position behind all-the-way winner Aviation but was staying-on steadily at the finish in fourth place, beaten a little over seven lengths.
With a rating of just 96, we have yet to see the best of the gelding, who wears a visor for the first time, unlike most of his rivals. Bottom weight Mixedwave is 5 from 23 over fences and can cause the selection most problems as one of the few who can be relied upon to run up to their best.
Recommendation: Youdecide (Nap) - 9/4 with bet365
3:20pm Wetherby - Jhentong Enki
Ben Pauling is having a good season so far and the trainer has a strong hand in this extended 2m 5f handicap hurdle with King Of The Road, Duel Au Soliel and JHENTONG ENKI. Like Pauling, jockey Ben Jones has enjoyed plenty of success over the last few months and is fancied to bag another win courtesy of his mount Jhentong Enki.
Previously trained in Ireland by Paul Nolan, the seven-year-old, following a debut effort when finishing down the field at Uttoxeter in September, is now on a hat-trick after recording comfortable victories at Lingfield and Leicester over the Christmas period.
Raised only 7lb for those two wins, the Buck’s Boum gelding, following a break of three months, looks to have been rested with a spring campaign in mind. Providing the seven-year-old is fit enough on his reappearance, this lightly-raced performer has the potential to prove much better than his current mark of 112.
The trainer/jockey combination of Nicky Henderson and Nico De Boinville have just the one runner on the card in the maiden Ionian, who is worth watching for any market support, while David Pipe’s handicap debutante Bras d’Or and Olly Murphy’s Daylatedollarshort are others worth consideration.
Recommendation: Jhentong Enki - 8/1 with bet365
4:50pm Wetherby - Yummy
Having passed the £4 million prize money mark, Dan Skelton is bang on course to claim his first trainers’ title as the season advances towards its conclusion. The result of this modest Class 5 handicap hurdle is unlikely to make much difference to Skelton’s final haul, but YUMMY, the mount of jockey Harry Skelton, could prove a step or two ahead of the handicapper off a modest mark of just 80.
The five-year-old showed very little on his first three starts over hurdles before making his handicap debut over an extended 2m at Doncaster last month. Hampered early on in the race, Yummy was outpaced until staying on steadily in the closing stages to finish a never-nearer fourth. Now stepping up to today's trip of 3m, I expect to see a much better effort from the son of Order Of St George in a race which should take little winning.
Sarah Humphrey has booked champion jockey Sean Bowen for her mare Jonquilla, who makes her handicap debut off an opening mark of 99 following second placings in novice company at Catterick and Fakenham. While the daughter of Kapgarde is respected in a poor race, the concession of 19lb to the Skelton runner may be asking too much of the top weight.
Recommendation: Yummy - 3/1 with bet365
Grand National (Antepost) - Final Orders (Each-Way)
With less than a month to go before the 2026 renewal of Aintree’s Randox Grand National, a good time to try and pinpoint a bit of early value in the ante-post market for the world’s most famous steeplechase. At the 50/1 currently available with William Hill about Gavin Cromwell’s Final Orders, I think last week’s Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase winner is way overpriced for the extended 4m 2f test of jumping and stamina.
Currently standing at number 40 in the pecking-order and with a maximum permitted field of 34, the 10-year-old is not guaranteed his place, but with several doubtful runners higher up in the handicap I will be surprised if the Camelot gelding ends up as one of the reserves. A greater doubt revolves around possible ground conditions at the Merseyside racecourse on April 11th, as Final Orders needs decent going to produce his best form.
With current top weight I Am Maximus (winner in 2024) a certain runner barring accidents, Final Orders has a lovely racing weight of just 10st 5lb. Five of the first 12 winners of the race in the 21st century were 10-year-olds, and while Cheltenham's cross country chase has only been going since 2005, dual Grand National winner Tiger Roll won that unique three miles five and a half furlong contest in both of the years he was victorious at Aintree.
Of Final Orders’ seven successes over fences, five came over distances ranging from two to three miles, showing the kind of versatility needed to win a race requiring both pace and stamina in equal measures (also a winner over 1m 4f on the flat). If conditions are similar at Aintree to those of last week (good to soft), a reproduction of his comfortable victory over favourite Favori De Champdou would give the selection a much better chance of emulating Tiger Roll than his current odds would indicate.
Recommendation: Final Orders (Each-Way) - 50/1 with Unibet (4 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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