Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Guide, Odds & Predictions

Updated: February 12, 2025 at 4:06 pm GMT+0
Kamaru Usman UFC Betting

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Where And When?

Kamaru Usman makes the second defence of his UFC welterweight title on Saturday against last-minute replacement Jorge Masvidal.

Gilbert Burns was Usman’s original opponent at Fight Island this weekend, until the 33-year-old failed a COVID-19 test last week.

Kamaru ’The Nigerian Nightmare’ Usman hasn’t lost since 2013 – the only loss on his 16-1 record.

The 33-year-old has one of the most impressive runs in the UFC picking up the UFC welterweight title against Tyron Woodley last March.

Usman vs Masvidal is on Saturday, July 11 and expected to finish in the early hours of Sunday morning.

This fight will take place in Abu Dhabi on YAS Island, signalling the first Fight Island contest in the UFC.

This fight will be live on BT Sport in the UK, DAZN across Europe and ESPN in the United States.

Who is the Favourite For Usman Vs Masvidal And What Are the Odds?

Kamaru Usman is the favourite for this contest, listed as a 2/5 favourite with Bet365.

Jorge Masvidal is a significant underdog at 2/1 with Bet365, with the last-minute nature of his addition to the card considered.

Usman is 13/8 with Bet365 to win by stoppage and the same price to gain a decision victory.

Masvidal is 11/4 with Bet365 to win inside the distance, or a lengthy 11/1 to win by decision.

Both men are listed at 7/1 with Bet365 to win in the first round.

What Betting Markets Should You Bet on for Usman vs Masvidal?

Masvidal is tough and robust inside the Octagon.

The 35-year-old veteran has only been stopped three times (one KO and two submissions) in his career and with 48 fights of experience under his belt should be able to push Usman into deep waters.
We think this fight will probably go quite late.

Jorge Masvidal UFC betting

Betting on the Total Rounds market could prove profitable in this fight, as well as the Fight to Go the Distance market.

The draw is listed at 50/1 on Bet365, and with Masvidal a very popular fighter it may be worth a small, small stake as he may be favoured on the cards.

Usman vs Masvidal Free Bets & Betting Offers

  • Betway – If you sign up to BetWay and bet £10, you will receive a £30 as a free bet which you can use on further UFC 251 fights. There is no odds requirement on your £10 bet to trigger the release of your £30 free bet, however, you must bet on single bets of odds over 3/4 (1.75) with your free bets.
  • Betvictor – If you sign up to BetVictor as a new customer, you can receive £30 worth of free bets from a £5 stake. If you place a bet worth £5 on odds of 2.0 (Evens) or greater, you’ll receive a 2x £10 free bets to use on any sport, and a £10 Casino Bonus.
  • 888Sport – 888Sport are offering, “100% up to £100 first deposit matched” for new customers. If you sign up to 888Sport and deposit anything between £10 and £100, you’ll receive the same amount in free bets once you have placed a bet of odds of 1.5 or greater.

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Overview & Stats

Usman is two years the junior of Masvidal at 33 and has had 31 fewer fights than the American.

Usman has secured 7 knockout wins in his 16 overall successes, with Masvidal sealing 16 by knockout in 35 wins.

Both will be fighting at the 12-stone limit, but Usman has a slight height and reach advantage over Masvidal.

Usman is unbeaten since 2013 whereas Masvidal has lost two of his last five – still, the American is on a three-fight winning streak.

Both have very low submission percentages. Usman has won once by submission compared to Masvidal’s two.

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Tips

We think that the Over 3.5 Rounds market looks valuable – 5/6 @ Bet365.

You can find Usman at 13/8 with Bet365 to win this one by decision, and with Masvidal’s history of sticking around late in a fight this price is hard to turn down.

You can also bet on whether you think the fight will go the distance. We think ‘Yes’ is tempting @ 6/5.

BetFred, Bet365 and Betway are unmatched in their best price of 2/5 for an Usman win on Fight Island.

If you fancy the upset, the Betfair Exchange is offering 9/4 on a Masvidal victory.

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal FAQs

Latest Betting Offers

Check the latest free bets and betting offers from the best betting sites in the UK at Freebets.com.

Midnite Sign-Up Offer - Bet £10 & Get £20 in Free Bets Plus 50 Free Spins
CopyBet Sign-up Offer - Bet £20 and Get £60 in Free Bets
Rhino Bet Sign-up Offer - Bet £25 and Get a £10 Free Bet
See More Betting Offers
Craig Jones

Craig Jones

Content Manager on Freebets. Experienced punter, from back street, smoke filled betting shops in the 2000s, to state of the art, dedicated betting apps of the 2020s. Covering the gambling industry with expert opinion and looking at the latest innovations.

Top Bookmakers

BETFRED
Betfred Sign-Up Offer and Promo Code
Read Review
Kwiff Logo
Kwiff Review, Free Bets and Betting Offers
Read Review
Spreadex Sports Welcome Offer – Bet £10 Get £40 in Free Bets
Read Review
bet365 logo
Bet365 Offers Bet £10 Get £30 in Free Bets for New Customers in 2025
Read Review
William Hill Sports Logo
William Hill Sign Up Offer - Get £30 as New Customer Offer
Read Review
Best CopyBet Sign Up Offer & Bonuses 2024
Read Review
Logo
Betway Sign Up Offer and Free Bets
Read Review
Fafabet logo
Fafabet Sign-Up Offer: Get Up to £50 Free Bets + £20 Casino Bonus
Read Review
Jeffbet logo
Jeffbet Review, Sign Up Offer & Bonuses for February 2025
Read Review