Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Guide, Odds & Predictions

Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Where And When?
Kamaru Usman makes the second defence of his UFC welterweight title on Saturday against last-minute replacement Jorge Masvidal.
Gilbert Burns was Usman’s original opponent at Fight Island this weekend, until the 33-year-old failed a COVID-19 test last week.
Kamaru ’The Nigerian Nightmare’ Usman hasn’t lost since 2013 – the only loss on his 16-1 record.
The 33-year-old has one of the most impressive runs in the UFC picking up the UFC welterweight title against Tyron Woodley last March.
Usman vs Masvidal is on Saturday, July 11 and expected to finish in the early hours of Sunday morning.
This fight will take place in Abu Dhabi on YAS Island, signalling the first Fight Island contest in the UFC.
This fight will be live on BT Sport in the UK, DAZN across Europe and ESPN in the United States.
Who is the Favourite For Usman Vs Masvidal And What Are the Odds?
Kamaru Usman is the favourite for this contest, listed as a 2/5 favourite with Bet365.
Jorge Masvidal is a significant underdog at 2/1 with Bet365, with the last-minute nature of his addition to the card considered.
Usman is 13/8 with Bet365 to win by stoppage and the same price to gain a decision victory.
Masvidal is 11/4 with Bet365 to win inside the distance, or a lengthy 11/1 to win by decision.
Both men are listed at 7/1 with Bet365 to win in the first round.
What Betting Markets Should You Bet on for Usman vs Masvidal?
Masvidal is tough and robust inside the Octagon.
The 35-year-old veteran has only been stopped three times (one KO and two submissions) in his career and with 48 fights of experience under his belt should be able to push Usman into deep waters.
We think this fight will probably go quite late.
Betting on the Total Rounds market could prove profitable in this fight, as well as the Fight to Go the Distance market.
The draw is listed at 50/1 on Bet365, and with Masvidal a very popular fighter it may be worth a small, small stake as he may be favoured on the cards.
Usman vs Masvidal Free Bets & Betting Offers
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Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Overview & Stats
Usman is two years the junior of Masvidal at 33 and has had 31 fewer fights than the American.
Usman has secured 7 knockout wins in his 16 overall successes, with Masvidal sealing 16 by knockout in 35 wins.
Both will be fighting at the 12-stone limit, but Usman has a slight height and reach advantage over Masvidal.
Usman is unbeaten since 2013 whereas Masvidal has lost two of his last five – still, the American is on a three-fight winning streak.
Both have very low submission percentages. Usman has won once by submission compared to Masvidal’s two.
Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal Betting Tips
We think that the Over 3.5 Rounds market looks valuable – 5/6 @ Bet365.
You can find Usman at 13/8 with Bet365 to win this one by decision, and with Masvidal’s history of sticking around late in a fight this price is hard to turn down.
You can also bet on whether you think the fight will go the distance. We think ‘Yes’ is tempting @ 6/5.
BetFred, Bet365 and Betway are unmatched in their best price of 2/5 for an Usman win on Fight Island.
If you fancy the upset, the Betfair Exchange is offering 9/4 on a Masvidal victory.
Kamaru Usman vs Jorge Masvidal FAQs
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Craig Jones
Content Manager on Freebets. Experienced punter, from back street, smoke filled betting shops in the 2000s, to state of the art, dedicated betting apps of the 2020s. Covering the gambling industry with expert opinion and looking at the latest innovations.