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Five winning days out of six for the week ending Sunday, 27 September, and a profit of +£13.13.
Our each-way nap on Saturday, Erzidjan, just missed out on a place from an unfavourable draw. We did recommend 100/1 third Altareq as the best each-way alternative, without actually tipping Jim Goldie’s charge.
P/L for the week ending Sunday, 27 September: +£13.13
P/L for the year to date: +£171.66
P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
P/L since 1st September 2022: +£672.22
Alan Kelly's Tips - Saturday, 3 October
A very busy weekend for the sport of horse racing, culminating in Sunday’s Qatar Prix de L’Arc de Triomphe at Longchamp.
On Saturday the ITV Racing cameras will cover a mammoth 10 races, 5 from Ascot, 3 from Newmarket and 2 from Redcar.
The feature race of the day is the BetMGM Sun Chariot Stakes at headquarters, the Group 1 contest due to get underway at an early 1:35pm.
1:00pm Newmarket - Night In Vegas
The Eve Johnson Houghton-trained NIGHT IN VEGAS has already amassed earnings of over £429k, mainly due to victories in valuable sales races at Newmarket and Doncaster. With connections keen to stick to this lucrative type of contest, the son of Lucky Vega can add another £167k to the coffers courtesy of win number five of the season for Charlie Bishop’s mount.
Recommendation: Night In Vegas - 4/5 with Betfred
1:15pm Ascot - So Regal
John & Thady Gosden’s SO REGAL looks the most likely winner of this 7f Listed October Stakes, although current odds of 11/10 are hardly generous. The lightly-raced Kingman filly was last seen finishing a close 5th in Sandown’s Group 3 Atalanta Stakes, a repeat of which should be good enough on this occasion.
Recommendation: So Regal - 11/10 with Betfred
1:35pm Newmarket - Blue Bolt
This Group 1 contest should prove something of a formality for Andrew Balding’s BLUE BOLT, providing the Juddmonte-owned filly is in the same kind of form as when winning any of her last three starts. The race for second place looks more competitive, but with a field of only 7 and just the two places available for each-way purposes, this Group 1 highlight makes little appeal from a betting perspective.
Recommendation: Blue Bolt - 1/2 with Paddy Power
1:50pm Ascot - Fluorescence (Each-Way)
Ollie Sangster’s Tuco Salamanca ran a cracker in beating all by winner Pellitory in last month’s Ayr Gold Cup when conceding 8lb to David O’Meara’s charge. Now rated 110, Billy Loughnane’s mount has every chance of going one better.
Also successful at Ayr’s Western meeting was Ed Bethell’s FLUORESCENCE (Each-Way), successful in a fillies’ Listed race on the previous day. While today’s good ground will be much different from the soft conditions encountered at the Scottish racecourse, the daughter of Twilight Son is not ground dependant and in beating hot favourite Beautiful Diamond with loads to spare, is a sprinter at the top of her game at the moment.
Recommendation: Fluorescence (Each-Way) - 15/2 with Sky Bet (4 places)
2:10pm Newmarket - Arqoob (Each-Way)
Despite a field of only 8 for this £50k mile and a half handicap, it is hard to completely rule out any of the runners. With two victories at Newmarket to his name already this season, both coming on the July course in August, it could be worth risking the outsider of the party in Lucy Wadham’s ARQOOB.
The eight-year-old has an excellent record at headquarters, including when beaten 7 lengths over an inadequate nine furlongs in the Cambridgeshire of three years ago. On his 65th career start, Jack Mitchell’s mount is the most exposed member of the team, but more than capable of outrunning his double-figure odds.
Recommendation: Arqoob (Each-Way) - 18/1 with BetVictor
2:25pm Ascot - Royal Power
A field of six for this Group 3 Cumberland Lodge Stakes, but only three trainers. William Haggas, Andrew Balding and Charlie Appleby are all dual handed, with the first named being responsible for the two horses heading the betting in Tenability and the veteran Al Aasy.
Despite having not been seen for more than 6 months, I think Godolphin’s ROYAL POWER should be fit enough to go close on his reappearance, the son of Frankel far from disgraced on his most recent start when finishing fourth in a Group 1 at Meydan behind Calandagan.
Connections look to be preparing the selection for an end of year campaign, and if the market speaks in his favour, Kieran Shoemark’s mount has the form to run a big race.
Recommendation: Royal Power - 11/2 with bet365
3:00pm Ascot - Into The Sky (Each-Way)
William Haggas’s Division put up a cracking effort when finishing third of 22, beaten three quarters of a length, in the Commonwealth Cup at the royal meeting and deserves his place at the head of the betting for this Group 3 Bengough Stakes.
While Daniel Tudhope’s mount is clearly the one to beat, I expect a big run from Jim Boyle’s INTO THE SKY, who finished a creditable 4th behind Bow Echo in the Betfred 2000 Guineas despite failing to stay the one mile trip.
Dropped down to today’s distance for a Group 3 contest at Deauville towards the back end of August, the Starman colt weakened to finish fourth on the heavy ground after holding every chance. Six furlongs on good ground are probably the ideal conditions for Kieran Shoemark’s mount, who is fancied to outrun his current odds of 16/1.
Recommendation: Into The Sky (Each-Way) - 16/1 with bet365 (4 places)
3:20pm Redcar - Satellite Of Love (Nap)
Runner-up to Eve Johnson Houghton’s Night In Vegas in Doncaster’s £300,000 2-Y-O Stakes at the St Leger meeting, the Clive Cox-trained SATELLITE OF LOVE (Nap) would have enjoyed a 3lb pull with that horse in this Listed William Hill Two Year Old Trophy for the half length which separated the pair on Town Moor.
Connections of the former have opted to go for another valuable sales race at Newmarket however, leaving the way open for Paul Mulrennan’s mount to land this £150k contest. The betting would suggest that Karl Burke’s Mill Reef fourth Revels is likely to cause the selection most problems, although I am more wary of Ed Bethell’s Myesme.
I was impressed with the daughter of Havana Grey’s victory over hot favourite Hidden Gift at Beverley last month, and the 5lb weight difference with Satellite Of Love could make things interesting.
Recommendation: Satellite Of Love (Nap) - 15/8 with William Hill
This is Alan's Nap of the Day selection - see how it stacks up against Charlie McCann's pick too.
3:35pm Ascot - Hickory (Each-Way)
Coming out of stall 1, I don’t think the draw has been very kind to market leader Thunder Call, although William Haggas’s charge is very progressive and may prove to be better than a handicap in time. Course form is a big advantage at the Berkshire track, one horse who very much fits that bill being the eight-year-old HICKORY (Each-Way), one of two runners for trainer Jamie Osborne.
Four of the gelding’s five wins on turf have come on this course, two over one mile and two over today’s trip of 7f. Only 4lb higher than when beating fellow rival Moonfall at Ascot 4 weeks ago, P J McDonald’s mount makes plenty of each-way appeal from his draw in stall 9.
Recommendation: Hickory (Each-Way) - 12/1 with bet365 (5 places)
3:55pm Redcar - Audience
Dr Richard Newland’s Witness Stand heads the field of 8 for this 7f Listed race, the five-year-old rated 111. Paul Mulrennan’s mount is now on a losing run of 10 since winning Goodwood’s Group 2 Lennox Stakes last summer.
Successful in the Lennox Stakes 12 months earlier was fellow rival AUDIENCE, then with John & Thady Gosden and now in the care of David O’Meara. The seven-year-old Iffraaj gelding is on an even longer losing run than that of Witness Stand (18) but has put up some excellent efforts in defeat this season.
Jason Hart’s mount has been competing in Group 3 and Group 2 company all year and can finally get his head in front now dropping into Listed class.
Recommendation: Audience - 5/1 with Coral
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Free Bets in 2008.
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