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Only another 359 days to the Cheltenham Festival, last week’s four days at Prestbury Park once again proving memorable for both the right and wrong reasons. The playground spat between Nico de Boinville and amateur Declan Queally was the headline act in the embarrassment stakes, while the less said about a plethora of farcical starts the better.
The most memorable moments, however, were of the equine variety, in particular Gaelic Warrior’s silky-smooth Gold Cup victory, while on a personal level, Il Etait Temps produced the Champion Chase performance I was both expecting and hoping for in equal measures. With those memories fresh in the mind, 359 days seems a very long time to wait for the next instalment. Never mind, only a couple of weeks before the start of the turf flat season?
From a betting perspective, Wednesday was the undoubted highlight, with winners at 5/1, 15/2 and 11/1. It was a case of what might have been following the fall (stumble) of The Yellow Clay three-out in the BetMGM Gold Cup when coming to join eventual (easy) winner Jingko Blue. The possible result of my each-way accumulator on the four is a mystery that will forever remain a matter of conjecture. After going into Thursday with a profit of over £25, we managed to give most of it back, Cheltenham Festival week ending with a profit of +£8.70.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 15 March: +£8.70
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£78.87
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£579.53
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 16 March
Hardly the equine quality on show last week, but the jumps cards at Ffos Las and Plumpton provide some interesting action on Monday afternoon.
Good to soft, good in places ground at Plumpton, while conditions at Ffos Las are currently described as soft, heavy in places.
3:00pm Ffos Las - Boston Joe
Returning to fences after being pulled-up over hurdles at Chepstow on his most recent start, the Rebecca Curtis-trained BOSTON JOE is fancied to record a fourth victory at the Welsh racecourse, the most recent by 20 lengths off a mark of 98 back in October 2024.
Now rated 95, the mount of Ben Jones finished third on his last visit to the course in November behind David Pipe’s Jaipaletemps, who has gone on to record another three wins since then. All ground seems to come alike to the Sageburg gelding, who may have most to fear from Bernard Llewellyn’s Port Or Starboard, runner-up on the nine-year-old’s long awaited chasing debut at Bangor last month. The other horse to consider, Katy Price’s hat-trick scorer of earlier in the year, El Rojo Grande, possibly in the grip of the handicapper now.
Recommendation: Boston Joe - 7/1 with Virgin Bet
4:30pm Ffos Las - Up To Trix (Nap)
Top weight El Gavilan will attempt to record a fourth consecutive victory on this course, all achieved on heavy ground, the most recent when getting back up to outbattle Henry Daly’s Fresh Speculation over today’s trip of two and a half miles last month. Now running off a mark 18lb higher than when beginning his winning run, Clive Boultbee-Brooks' charge may have to play second fiddle on this occasion behind the Olly Murphy runner UP TO TRIX (Nap).
The lightly-raced six-year-old made his handicap debut at Warwick last month, the Schiaparelli gelding failing by a little under two lengths to match strides with Dan Skelton’s market leader Harry Bright, the pair clear of the other four runners. The combination of this slightly longer trip and with champion jockey Sean Bowen taking over in the saddle, Up To Trix is fancied to open his account over hurdles at the fourth attempt.
The hat-trick seeking Jukebox Fury represents the powerful Seven Barrows stable of Nicky Henderson, but the mount of James Bowen has an absence of a year to overcome and has yet to race on ground this testing.
Recommendation: Up To Trix (Nap) - 13/8 with bet365
4:15pm Plumpton - Inedit De Mee (Each-Way)
While it's over a month since trainer Toby Lawes sent out his last winner, the horses have been running well in defeat recently, the stable’s Klimt Madrik outrunning his odds of 80/1 when finishing a more than respectable 6th in the Turners Novices’ Hurdle at the festival last week. The ex French-trained INEDIT DE ME (Each-Way) has yet to get his head in front from the gelding’s six starts over fences, but could put that record straight with a victory in what looks to be a very ‘winnable’ Class 5 handicap.
Third at Lingfield on the final day of January last year when attempting to give David Pipe’s River Run Free almost two stone, Kevin Brogan’s mount can be expected to improve for his two runs this season and off a chase mark 15lb lower than over hurdles, the Kapgarde gelding, with the aid of cheekpieces for the first time, is fancied to get the better of Joe Tizzard’s consistent West Orchard and Anthony Honeyball’s chasing debutante Ferret Jeeter.
Recommendation: Inedit De Mee (Each-Way) - 11/2 with bet365 (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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