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Four winning days out of six and a healthy profit of +£14.26 on the week.
Trial’s Day at Cheltenham on Saturday provided several clues for the festival in just over six weeks' time, although the day felt very flat following the injury sustained by Sir Gino in the Unibet Hurdle.
The highlight of the week ahead is Leopardstown’s Dublin Racing Festival which features a total of six Grade 1 races over the two days.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 25 January: +£14.26
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- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£507.21
Alan Kelly's Tips - Sunday, 1st February
A cracking Sunday afternoon of jumps action courtesy of the Dublin Racing Festival, along with an excellent card at Musselburgh featuring the bet365 Edinburgh National.
Leopardstown’s meeting features no less than four Grade 1 races.
2:10pm Leopardstown - Solness
The first four horses home in the Grade 1 Paddy’s Rewards Club Chase over today’s course and distance at Leopardstown’s Christmas meeting take each other on again, with the betting suggesting that the second and third horses home on that occasion, reigning Queen Mother Champion Chase winner Marine Nationale, and Majborough are likely to reverse that form with winner Solness.
Joseph O’Brien’s charge rarely gets the credit he deserves, as the eight-year-old has an outstanding record on this course having won on his last three visits, all in Group 1 company and with the likes of Gaelic Warrior, Quilixios, Dinoblue and Captain Guiness behind, not to mention today’s rivals.
With today’s testing conditions unlikely to be a problem, and with the aid of a visor for the first time, I see no good reason why J J Slevin’s mount should not confirm his Leopardstown form of five weeks ago.
Recommendation: Solness - 7/2 with William Hill
3:05pm Musselburgh - Transmission (EW)
The 12-year-old Magna Sam will attempt to win this stamina-sapping contest for a third time following successes in 2023 and 2025 (pulled-up in 2024). Well beaten over an inadequate trip on this course just before Christmas, and following recent wind surgery, it would be no great surprise to see Alastair Ralph’s veteran run another big race.
Joe Tizzard’s top weight Rock My Way heads the early betting following his November victory in Ascot’s Berkshire National, prior to a creditable 8th place finish in Chepstow’s Coral Welsh National. Runner-up to Gold Cup hope Haiti Couleurs in last season’s National Hunt Chase at the Cheltenham Festival, Brendan Powell’s mount is due to meet the fifth horse home at Prestbury Park, Transmission, on 11lb worse terms.
While we have yet to see the best of the Neil Mulholland-trained nine-year-old in three runs this season, Conor O’Farrell’s mount now runs off the same mark as when winning an amateur jockeys’ handicap at Cheltenham 15 months ago. Transmission gives the impression he will be suited by this marathon trip and gets the each-way vote.
Recommendation: Transmission (EW) 6/1 with Paddy Power
3:20pm Leopardstown - Anzadam W/O Lossiemouth
With the significant advantage of the 7lb mares’ allowance, the betting would suggest that this Irish Champion Hurdle rests between Gordon Elliott’s Brighterdaysahead, and Lossiemouth, one of four runners for trainer Willie Mullins.
I expect the latter to come out on top in the battle of the two mares, but I think Anzadam is more than capable of causing a bit of a surprise, in which case the safest option may be to back the Donnelly-owned six-year-old in the market without stablemate Lossiemouth.
Anzadam came from France with a tall reputation, enhanced somewhat after recording easy victories on his first two starts for the stable. On his seasonal reappearance following a break of 307 days, the gelding had to settle for second spot behind reigning champion Golden Ace in an eventful Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Newcastle before heading to Leopardstown for the December Hurdle.
The bare result of that Grade 1 contest suggests that Anzadam has plenty to find in an effort to reverse the form with both Lossiemouth and Brighterdaysahead. However, despite being beaten almost 7 lengths in fourth place, I thought Anzadam did remarkably well in the circumstances considering the amount of energy he used up in pulling himself into a clear lead 3 out.
Only headed approaching the final flight of hurdles, the mount of top amateur Patrick Mullins can be marked up considerably for that performance. Harry Cobden comes in for the ride on this occasion, and if taking less of a fierce hold, Anzadam can enhance his claims for next month’s Champion Hurdle at Prestbury Park with a big performance in this Irish version.
Recommendation: Anzadam (W/O Lossiemouth) 19/5 with TalkSport Bet
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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