Alan Kelly’s Tips
Alan heads to Plumpton on Monday with his strongest fancy of the day
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Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 15 December
The ground for Plumpton’s jump card on Monday is a mixture of soft and good to soft with a dry forecast for the day.
1:00pm Plumpton - All Authorized (Nap)
Sent off the 7/2 joint favourite for a 3m handicap at Ascot last month on just his third start over fences, the Gary & Josh Moore-trained ALL AUTHORIZED (Nap) lost all chance when making a bad mistake at the 14th fence at the Berkshire racecourse, after which the six-year-old wasn’t given a hard time of things on his first start for 214 days.
Surprisingly, the handicapper decided to drop the Authorized gelding 5lb for that performance, Caoilin Quinn’s mount now set to meet the fifth horse home on that occasion, James Owen’s Jubilant, on 4lb better terms.
An easy winner over hurdles on this course back in April, we have yet to see the best of All Authorized over fences but in receipt of plenty of weight from his four rivals today, the selection is fancied to open his account as a chaser at the fourth attempt. The stable continues in decent form with 10 winners from their last 31 runners before the weekend.
Chris Gordon’s Illegal d’Ainay was heavily supported to make a winning debut over fences at Fontwell in October, only to be let down by a less than fluent round of jumping. Freddie Gordon’s mount would be a big danger to All Authorized if jumping better on this occasion.
Recommendation: All Authorized (Nap)
2:30pm Plumpton - Birdman Bob
It’s a case of clutching at straws regarding the Venetia Williams-trained Lady Pretender who has proved a big disappointment since joining the stable from France at the beginning of last year, the daughter of Great Pretender beaten on all nine starts for Williams, who will be hoping that a recent wind op will bring about a level of improvement in the mare.
Gary & Josh Moore’s Angel’s Dream won at the second time of asking over fences with a narrow victory at Lingfield around this time last year before disappointing on that course three weeks later. If fit enough on his first start for a year, Freddie Mitchell’s mount, a winner over hurdles here in 2023, would have a big chance with a repeat of that Lingfield victory.
One horse who seems to reserve his best for this course is Andy Irvine’s BIRDMAN BOB, whose two wins to date, one each over hurdles and fences, have come at Plumpton. A 10 length winner over course and distance last month, Caoilin Quinn’s mount failed to follow up off a 7lb higher mark on the course earlier this month when having to settle for second place behind the Neil Mulholland-trained Atreides.
Sixty two lengths ahead of the third horse home, that was still a decent effort by Birdman Bob with the winner going on to follow up at Fontwell 7 days later. Held-up in the past, the Flemensfirth gelding has made most of the running in both of his races this season and similar tactics could make the eight-year-old hard to beat in this modest Class 5 handicap.
Recommendation: Birdman Bob
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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