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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Following a poor start, winners at 7/2 and 9/2 on Friday and 6/1 and 13/2 on Saturday meant the week ending Sunday, 14 June resulted in a profit of +£9.35. Hopefully, we can keep the good run going during the most important week of the Flat season which gets underway on Tuesday afternoon.
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 14 June: +£9.35
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: +£155.50
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£656.16
Alan Kelly's Tips - Monday, 15 June
Royal Ascot week starts on a quiet note with the meetings at Wetherby, Carlisle, Chepstow and Windsor in Britain and Kilbeggan in Ireland.
3:40pm Wetherby - Bayraat
Jockey Clifford Lee has been firing in the winners since returning from serious injury recently and can add another to the scoresheet courtesy of the Tom Tate-trained BAYRAAT in this modest Class 6 sprint handicap. While, at the age of 10, the son of Heeraat is not getting any younger, the gelding has looked as good as ever this year, finishing a close second in handicaps at Redcar on both occasions last month.
Raised just 1lb to a mark of 53, that is still 8lb lower than when Bayraat finished a creditable 3rd of 19 in York’s Sky Bet ‘Jump Jockeys’ Nunthorpe Handicap on the Knavesmire last summer. A similar effort would enable Bayraat to record a second career victory, the first coming at Nottingham three years ago.
Top weight Captain Cess left the Adrian Wintle stable for that of Declan Carroll recently, after producing his best run to date when beaten a short head in a Chepstow handicap last month. Off a 2lb higher mark, the mount of 3lb claimer Zak Wheatley can give the selection most to do along with Antony Britten’s Desert Master, a half length second of 16 at Doncaster last week when sent off at odds of 50/1.
Recommendation: Bayraat - 10/3 with bet365
4:50pm Wetherby - Bradbury (Nap)
While there is little doubt that the Ed Bethell-trained BRADBURY (Nap) has his quirks, the Ghaiyyath gelding has plenty of ability and despite a tendency to flash his tail when under pressure, the mount of Kevin Stott is expected to repeat his victory in an apprentice handicap at Leicester last week.
Racing off the same rating of 58, the three-year-old has improved with each of his four runs since making his handicap debut at Lingfield in March off a mark only 1lb lower than that of today. Prior to that Leicester win, Bradbury was only just touched-off in races at Ripon and Beverley behind the same horse, Adrian Paul Keatley’s lightly-raced Vietnorm.
Following those two wins on the Flat, Vietnorm made his hurdling debut with a comfortable victory in a Juvenile contest at Market Rasen on Friday evening. In a race which is very much Bradbury’s to lose (the stronger handling in the saddle is a big plus), the dangers are likely to come in the shape of old rivals Heart Sign and Clear Above.
Recommendation: Bradbury (Nap) - 11/8 with bet365
7:00pm Windsor - Change Sings (Each-Way)
The Eve Johnson Houghton stable is in fine form at the moment and off his lowest mark since winning a Newmarket handicap two years ago, the Saxon Warrior gelding CHANGE SINGS (Each-Way) gets the vote in this competitive Fitzdares Sprint Series Qualifier.
The six-year-old, while running well on many occasions, has struggled to get his head in front since winning on Kempton’s all-weather surface towards the end of May in 2024 when racing off marks in the mid to high 80’s. The selection has been dropped 5lb by the handicapper since finishing a creditable third on that course at the end of March, the horse’s first start for over 7 months.
Fifth over today’s course and distance on his most recent start last month, George Downing’s mount took the field along until headed inside the closing stages. A close fourth in a Windsor Sprint Series Qualifier over the minimum trip 12 months ago off a mark of 90, Change Things would have a massive chance of taking this Class 3 contest with a similar effort.
The Crisford’s top weight Durham Castle disappointed when favourite for a handicap at Kempton Park on his first run of the year but should appreciate the return to turf, while Fleetwater, Sturlasson, Another Abbot and Uncle Don are others with claims.
Recommendation: Change Sings (Each-Way) - 20/1 with bet365 (4 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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