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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
With very little turf racing taking place, we ended the week with a small profit of +£1.61, although three of our four naps obliged at odds of 11/4, 6/1, and 3/1 (25p R4).
- P/L for the week ending Sunday, 11 January: +£1.61
- P/L for the year 2026 to date: -£7.99
- P/L for the year 2025: +£22.38
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£508.37
Alan Kelly's Tips - Thursday, 15 January
Thursday afternoon features four jumps meetings, Wincanton, Newcastle and Ludlow in Britain, along with the Irish card at Fairyhouse.
Ground on the soft side of good is expected for the three home fixtures, with slightly softer conditions across the Irish Sea.
1:52pm Wincanton - Postponed Legacy (Nap)
A beaten favourite over today’s course and distance when attempting to win back-to-back Boxing Day handicaps, Joe Tizzard’s still ran respectable in finishing fourth and has every chance of improving upon that performance off a 2lb lower mark.
Morning Mayhem, from the bang-in-form stable of Nick Scolfield, was unlucky to be brought down 3 out when holding every chance at Fontwell on the same day after running out a surprise winner at Uttoxeter 7 days earlier. Kielan Woods’ mount could easily bounce back and has solid claims along with Alexandra Gibbons’ hat-trick seeking No Guarantees.
However, it is another horse who will be attempting to record a third successive success who gets the vote, the Martin Keighley-trained POSTPONED LEGACY (Nap). Apart from a couple of placed efforts, James Best’s mount had shown very little in 9 starts over hurdles until winning a novices’ handicap at Doncaster in November.
Off a 5lb higher mark, the five-year-old gelding was even more impressive when following up at Uttoxeter on the final day of 2025. After cruising into the lead 2 out in what looked to be a competitive 12-runner handicap, Postponed Legacy quickened away from his rivals before being eased down close home.
Now running off a 10lb higher mark, this rapidly improving five-year-old may still prove to be one step ahead of the handicapper.
Recommendation: Postponed Legacy (Nap) - 7/2 with bet365
2:00pm Newcastle - Jamesieconn
The most interesting contender for this Go North Red Rum Series Qualifier is Mickey Bowen’s six-year-old mare Mighty Fleur, runner-up in three of her five starts over hurdles, including when finishing just over four lengths behind Anthony Honeyball’s 126-rated Park Princess at Ludlow in November.
A disappointing favourite when last of 5 on her most recent start at Uttoxeter last month, any market move for James Bowen’s mount on her chasing debut should be noted. However, towards the bottom of the weights, the Nicky Richards-trained JAMESIECONN makes plenty of appeal off a mark of 88 on his second start for the stable since leaving that of Sam England in November.
The six-year-old won on his chasing debut at Doncaster 11 months ago off a 1lb lower mark, and while failing to add to that victory in four subsequent attempts, Callum Bewley's mount was sent off at short odds for three of those races. An 11/10 chance to win at the first time of asking for Richard’s at Sedgefield last month, Jamesieconn, after losing his position 3 out, rallied to finish second to Patrick Neville’s Upfordebate, winner of four of his last five outings.
On just his 6th start over fences, the selection should be up to winning a race of this nature in receipt of weight from all but one of his 11 rivals.
Recommendation: Jamesieconn - 5/1 with bet365
2:35pm Newcastle - Cher Monsieur (Each-Way)
Trainer Neil Mulholland sent out a couple of easy winners over the last few days, along with Double Powerful’s excellent second in Kempton’s valuable Lanzarote Hurdle on Saturday. The Conkwell Lodge handler makes the long journey to the north-east racecourse with just the one runner this afternoon, the lightly-raced CHER MONSIEUR (Each-Way) in this 17-runner Go North Cab On Target Series Qualifier.
A staying-on third on his second outing in a handicap at Uttoxeter in May, on the back of which the six-year-old was sent off the 5/4 favourite for a 3m handicap at Ffos Las the following month. Beaten when stumbling after jumping the last, the mount of Conor O’Farrell may have failed to stay on his first try over that trip.
Following a break of six months, Cher Monsieur, despite taking a keen hold, ran much better when finishing fourth at Southwell on his reappearance last month. In a race which shouldn’t take too much winning, the gelding makes plenty of appeal (each-way) off a mark of only 79.
Mark Walford’s Drop Kick is one of several potential dangers along with Leader Wing from the Gillian Boanas stable.
Recommendation: Cher Monsieur (Each-Way) - 8/1 with bet365 (5 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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