Wimbledon 2026 Tips: Men's & Women's Outright Predictions
Wimbledon 2026 gets underway today, with the world’s best players heading to the All England Club for two weeks of action on the famous grass courts.
Tennis betting expert here at Free Bets, Ben Smith, has looked across the men’s and women’s draws, picking out his outright selections for who can go all the way at SW19.
Wimbledon Tips
First up in my tennis betting tips, I’ve picked out two selections in the men’s singles to win their respective quarters and make a deep run at SW19.
Then it’s over to the women’s draw, where I’ve found two each-way outright betting tips offering value at 50/1 and 28/1.
Men’s Singles
The men's singles outright market revolves around Jannik Sinner.
The defending champion is odds-on to retain his title and, with the injured Carlos Alcaraz absent from the other half of the draw, most tennis betting sites are paying only two places at a third of the odds each way, making the outright market less appealing than usual.
The quarter betting offers a way in though.
That’s where we’ll focus on for the men’s, before digging into some each-way bets at bigger prices for the women’s draw.
Tip: Quarter 2 Winner - Novak Djokovic
This may be last chance saloon in Novak Djokovic's pursuit of a 25th Grand Slam title.
Alcaraz remains sidelined with a wrist issue, leaving Sinner as the only player shorter than Djokovic in the Wimbledon outright market. The Serb had a potential opening at Roland Garros after Sinner succumbed to the heat, but the French Open was always going to be a big ask given the toll those extended rallies would take on his body at the age of 39. Alexander Zverev was a deserved favourite there after Sinner’s exit and a rightful winner, whereas grass has long been Djokovic's domain.
Seven Wimbledon titles tells its own story. He's won as many at SW19 as he has across the US Open and Roland Garros combined, and the shorter points should only enhance his chances at this stage of his career.
His quarter also looks manageable. Joao Fonseca is the obvious danger after their meeting in Paris, but asking the Brazilian to reproduce that level on a surface where he owns a losing record is a very different proposition. Felix Auger-Aliassime is a possible quarter-final opponent, yet he has won just one Wimbledon match since reaching the last eight in 2021.
Only five months ago, Djokovic produced one of the finest wins of his career, beating Sinner in five sets in Melbourne.
He may have to come through a couple of stern tests to progress to the latter stages again, but I’m in no rush to write him off. Whether he has enough to beat Sinner over five sets in a potential semi-final is a separate question, but we don’t have to worry about that when taking him at 6/4 with the top UK betting sites to get to the last four.
Tip: Quarter 3 Winner - Alex De Minaur
Ben Shelton heads the quarter three market, but Alex de Minaur makes far more appeal at 11/2.
The Australian has landed the friendlier route. His draw is not necessarily straightforward, with Kamil Majchrzak a potential third-round opponent, but I'd still much rather be in his shoes than Shelton’s, who faces a difficult path from the outset.
Otto Virtanen is a dangerous opener, Arthur Fery has found form on grass this summer, and one of the Eastbourne finalists, Zizou Bergs or Ugo Humbert, could await after that before a likely meeting with Jakub Mensik. Shelton is more than capable of navigating it, but I'd rather avoid him at the prices.
De Minaur also has the statistical edge on grass. His combined service points won and return points won percentage is superior to Shelton's, and while the American possesses the bigger serve, I think the market has placed too much emphasis on that single weapon.
Women’s Singles
Aryna Sabalenka heads the women’s singles betting despite never reaching the final here, and she also arrives after a difficult few weeks in which she's twice been bagelled.
Elena Rybakina has hardly looked convincing either, winning just one of her three grass-court matches before landing in a quarter packed with dangerous opponents including Madison Keys, Amanda Anisimova and Linda Noskova.
Mirra Andreeva may still be riding the high of her maiden Grand Slam title, but asking her to back that up immediately on grass feels a big ask after limited preparation.
Iga Swiatek still doesn't look herself, Coco Gauff has never been at her best on this surface and Anisimova's season has been interrupted by injury.
Jessica Pegula would usually interest me, but her record here is underwhelming and the price with the top Wimbledon betting sites is tight.
Noskova, Keys and Karolina Muchova have all shortened too much after recent grass-court success too, leaving the value further down the board. That's where I'll be looking with my two selections.
Tip: Winner - Naomi Osaka (Each-Way)
I'm not usually keen to back players who have gone deep in the final warm-up event before a Slam, but Naomi Osaka feels like an exception.
Her run has been built on short, convincing victories rather than draining battles, so there's little reason to fear fatigue unless she's forced into an epic in the final. She also arrived fresh after taking three weeks off following Roland Garros and has avoided a heavy workload this season after her injury lay-off.
More importantly, she finally looks comfortable on grass. The serve and first-strike tennis have always been there, but previous Wimbledon campaigns have come at awkward moments in her career, whether because of injuries, time away from the tour or limited preparation. This time everything appears to have fallen into place.
Her section of the draw is another positive. The opening rounds are navigable and I’m not put off by the presence of Aryna Sabalenka as the projected fourth-round opponent.
Tip: Winner - Barbora Krejcikova (Each-Way)
Barbora Krejcikova is one of those players whose outright price will only move in one direction if she starts well.
Last season was heavily disrupted by injury, but there were encouraging signs at the Libema Open before illness forced her to pull out of the final. The subsequent defeat in Eastbourne is easy enough to forgive, and I'm far more interested in what we saw in 's-Hertogenbosch than what followed.
Very few players possess a game better suited to grass. Wimbledon champion two years ago, Krejcikova has outstanding variety, one of the best slices on tour and the hands to exploit the surface in ways others simply can't.
The fitness concerns are reflected in the price already. If she's capable of producing anything close to her best tennis, she could send Andreeva packing early and go on a deep run.
