EFL Tips: Gab Sutton's 243/1 Football Longshot Acca Tips for April 11
It's another busy weekend of EFL action as the Championship, League One and League Two head into the business end of the season, with crucial points up for grabs at both ends of the table.
Check out EFL expert Gab Sutton's tips below on Free Bets as he's pulled out some outsiders to follow this week.
EFL Tips: 243/1 Longshot Acca
Here are Gab's five tips for the weekend, featuring the best prices and latest odds from our top-rated betting sites.
Sheffield United vs Hull City - Hull to win
Hull have certainly rode their luck this season, particularly defensively, where the metrics suggest they could easily have conceded about 16 more goals than they actually have.
Because the traders, now, are so data-led, however, there’s possibly an angle in favour of Sergej Jakirovic’s side, because they do have an excellent goalkeeper in Ivor Pandur, which has helped them get away with some of the issues in other areas.
Meanwhile, although the Tigers aren’t exactly a high-volume attacking side, they do have that ability to cut teams open five or six times a game, and carry a real threat when they do come forward, even if that isn’t especially often.
In Oli McBurnie, Kyle Joseph, Joe Gelhardt and Liam Miller, City have the means to hurt their opponents, and are incisive in the final third.
They have a much better chance, then, than the odds suggest of them winning at Bramall Lane to further cement their place in the top six.
Hosts Sheffield United have long since seen their Play-Off hopes fade from view – in fact it’s about to be mathematically over for them on that score – with Chris Wilder’s side suffering a six-game winless streak that has natives restless.
Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield Town - Wigan to win
Wigan Athletic have steadily hauled themselves away from trouble after Gary Caldwell’s appointment, with 18 points from 11 games since the Scot took charge.
The Latics have won four in six at home in that sequence, too, but it’s a resurgence they’ve needed because they’re still only three points above the drop zone, with a game in hand.
The West Lancashire outfit have a favourable fixture now, at home to a Mansfield side that already have the points they need to secure their safety, and are out of the Play-Off scramble, with Nigel Clough’s side set for another season in League One.
If speedy poacher Joe Taylor, agile creator Callum Wright and inventive wing-back Fraser Murray play as they’re capable, Wigan should take a giant leap towards joining their visitors in League One next season.
Doncaster Rovers vs Reading - Reading to win
Successive defeats to Mansfield and Exeter have plunged Doncaster back into relegation danger, which feels unfair for a team that’s already amassed 50 points with five games to spare – but such is the nature of the league.
Yet it seems surprising that Play-Off chasing Reading are classed as outsiders for their trip to South Yorkshire, priced at a shade of 3/1.
Hosts Doncaster have averaged negligibly over a goal a game this season, and after Luke Molyneux’s excellent start tailed off slightly, they’ve come to rely on Owen Bailey’s runs from midfield far more than they would like.
In terms of strikers, they’ve got Brandon Hanlan who can run but can’t finish, and Billy Sharp who can finish but can’t run – and the squad is certainly short of League One pedigree in some quarters.
By contrast, Reading have good League One players like Paudie O’Connor, Haydon Roberts, Lewis Wing, Charlie Savage, Kamari Doyle and ‘Long Kelvin’ Ehibhatiomhan.
Newport County vs Harrogate Town - Harrogate to win
There’s no way Harrogate should be as short as 3/11 best price for relegation from League Two.
The Sulphurites have been much improved since the January window brought the additions of Chanse Headman, Cathal Heffernan and Tobias Brenan, on loan from Brentford, Newcastle and Wigan respectively.
Plus, Ellis Taylor’s return to the side on the right has brought some star individualism, while Reece Smith’s selfless creativity has been a key feature on the left, with his excellent link-up play with Slater and Evans, boundless energy and pin-point deliveries making a difference.
Sure, Town can be wasteful in the absence of the right centre-forward, but for the position they find themselves in, they do have a good formula with which to attack the season’s finale.
Newport have lost four of their last five games and, more worryingly, haven’t demonstrated enough in performances to give them belief, so Harrogate have a great opportunity to leapfrog their hosts.
Shrewsbury Town vs Oldham Athletic - Oldham to win
A fantastic return of 29 points from 12 games has seen Oldham soar up League Two, and right into the heart of the Play-Off scramble at the business end.
The Latics boast two of the division’s most physical and uncompromising centre halves in Donervon Daniels and Manny Monthe, a midfielder in Ryan Woods who keeps play ticking over – something he’s done superbly in his career at higher levels, following a successful spell at hosts Shrewsbury – and a target man in Mike Fondop who is defying his doubters.
Oldham are a really happy ship right now, with stability running right the way through the club. Shrewsbury
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