Chargers v Broncos Tips: Thursday Night Football Picks & Betting Offers
Week 16 of the 2024 NFL season kicks off with an AFC West clash on Thursday Night Football. The 9-5 Denver Broncos face the 8-6 Los Angeles Chargers for their second meeting of the season, and we’ve compiled our Chargers v Broncos tips in the form of a bet builder.
As per leading UK betting sites, the Broncos travel to SoFi Stadium in Inglewood as 2.5-point underdogs, with the total set at 42.5 points. Denver is looking to avenge their 23-16 home defeat to the Chargers in Week 6.
Chargers v Broncos Tips: 14/5 Bet Builder for Thursday Night Football
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Denver Broncos +2.5
The Chargers controlled the Broncos in their Week 6 meeting, building a commanding 23-0 lead before Denver rallied with 16 unanswered points in the fourth quarter. Justin Herbert threw for 237 yards and a touchdown, while J.K. Dobbins led the ground game with 96 yards and a touchdown on 25 carries.
This time, the Chargers face a greater challenge. Dobbins is on the injured reserve with a knee issue, and in the three games without their star running back, Los Angeles has managed just 182 rushing yards. Although Herbert has been limited in practice with an ankle problem, he’s expected to feature in Week 16.
Los Angeles has struggled recently, losing three of their last four games, including their last two home fixtures. They enter this matchup off a heavy 40-17 home defeat to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Meanwhile, the Broncos are riding the momentum of a four-game winning streak.
Over that streak, Denver has racked up an impressive 139 points. Last week, they defeated the Indianapolis Colts 31-13 at home despite being outgained 310-193 in total yards. Denver dominated the turnover battle 5-3 and kept Indianapolis scoreless in the second half.
The Broncos have been in excellent form since their 41-10 road loss to the Ravens in Week 9. Their defense ranks among the league’s best, and they’ll look to keep things competitive against the Chargers on Thursday Night Football.
Denver has covered the spread in their last five games, boasting a 6-1 record against the spread in their previous seven road outings. Additionally, the Broncos are 3-2 against the spread in their last five encounters with Los Angeles.
Chargers v Broncos Under 42.5 Points
Los Angeles and Denver, alongside the Philadelphia Eagles, currently share the top spot for the best scoring defense in the NFL, each conceding just 17.6 points per game. With such formidable defenses, a low-scoring contest is likely when the Chargers host the Broncos in Week 16.
The Chargers will be eager to bounce back from their disappointing showing against the Buccaneers. Los Angeles leads the NFL in opposing red-zone percentage (40.0%) and has allowed the second-fewest red-zone attempts (35). Currently, they rank 10th in passing yards allowed (211.6 per game) and 19th in rushing yards allowed (125.1).
Denver’s defense has also been impressive, sitting 17th in passing yards allowed (216.7) and fifth in rushing yards allowed (98.6). The Broncos have permitted just 38 red-zone attempts this season (third in the league) and boast the second-best opposing red-zone percentage (42.1%). With 49 sacks (first in the NFL) and 14 interceptions (tied fourth), they’ve proven to be a relentless unit.
Both teams may find it difficult to sustain offensive drives against such stout defenses. With J.K. Dobbins sidelined, the Chargers will likely rely heavily on their passing game, while the Broncos are expected to target Los Angeles’ vulnerabilities in run defense.
The Chargers have scored precisely 17 points in their last three outings, underscoring the impact of Dobbins’ absence on their offense. They’ll need their defense to step up to overcome Denver. Notably, 10 of the last 11 home games for the Chargers against the Broncos have finished under the total.
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