Free Horse Racing Tips

Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Wednesday 27th July

Horse racing tips for all six races covered by ITV from the Goodwood Festival on Wednesday


The feature race on the second day of the Glorious Goodwood Festival is the Group 1 Qatar Sussex Stakes at 3.35pm. A lot of the shine has been taken off the one-mile contest following the late withdrawal of Qipco 2000 Guineas and St James’s Palace Stakes winner Coroebus, resulting in what should be little more than a straightforward task for the William Haggas-trained Baaeed.

As was the case with another previously unbeaten horse in Coronation Stakes winner Inspiral’s shock Falmouth Stakes defeat, the result of any Group 1 race can never be taken for granted. Along with a tip for the day’s feature race, we have selections for the other five races covered by ITV from the Sussex Downs.

3.00pm Goodwood - Rocket Rodney (Nap of the Day)

With an easy course and distance victory to her name and by far the best form on offer for this 5f juvenile Group 3 contest, the George Scott-trained two-year-old ticks all of the boxes at the West Sussex racecourse.


1.50pm Goodwood - Secret State (Next Best)

The form of his season’s once-famous Wood Ditton Stakes at Newmarket could hardly have worked out much better with the winner  Francesco Clemente now unbeaten in all three starts, while runner-up Secret State has gone on to win his next three races, including the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot.

The Godolphin-owned son of Dubawi looks every inch a Group performer (Ascot runner-up Deauville Legend has since won Newmarket’s Group 3 Bahrain Trophy), and providing jockey William Buick can make full use of his low draw in stall two, the 100-rated top weight could well outclass his 12 rivals.

The main danger to State Secret may come right at the other end of the handicap in the shape of Cieren Fallon’s mount Soulcombe, on a hat-trick following wins at Haydock and Ascot and still on a handy mark of 81.

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Alan's Next Best

1.50pm Goodwood

Secret State looks a class above this field

fire

At 5/2 a £10 bet would return £35

1.50pm Goodwood

July 27, 2022

1:50 pm BST


2.25pm Goodwood - Heredia

French challenger Samahram is an interesting contender for this Group 3 contest, while Bounce The Blues, Primo Bacio and Soft Whisper are capable of going close on their best form. However, I think it could be worth giving the Richard Hannon-trained Heredia another chance to atone for her disappointing third in the Coral Distaff at Sandown earlier this month.

The daughter of Dark Angel had previously looked a class act after winning all four starts, culminating in a victory in the 28-runner Sandringham Stakes at Royal Ascot. Providing Sean Levey’s mount settles better than was the case at the Esher track, Heredia is fancied to continue her progression.

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Alan's Tip

2.25pm Goodwood

Heredia can bounce back to her best in this contest

fire

At 5/1 a £10 bet would return £60

2.25pm Goodwood

July 27, 2022

2:25 pm BST


3.00pm Goodwood - Rocket Rodney (Nap of the Day)

Since winning easily over today’s course and distance back in April, the form shown by the George Scott-trained Rocket Rodney could hardly have worked out much better. Beaten a neck by Ballydoyle’s Little Big Bear (currently a 14/1 chance for next year’s 2000 Guineas) in Royal Ascot’s Windsor Castle Stakes, with fellow rival Eddie’s Boy (subsequently successful in Newbury’s valuable Super Sprint) just under two lengths back in third place, since when the mount of Daniel Muscutt had little trouble landing a Listed race at Sandown.

Rocket Rodney once again proved too good for Eddie’s Boy, on this occasion by just under four lengths, and it is hard to see Hollie Doyle’s mount making it third time lucky with the selection looking to have the best of the draw in stall eight.


3.35pm Goodwood - Chindit (without Baaeed)

With the late withdrawal of Godolphin’s Qipco 2000 Guineas winner Coroebus, uppermost in the minds of many jockeys will be how best to give their mounts a chance of beating clear form choice Baaeed, unbeaten in eight starts to date and despite being currently rated almost a stone inferior to 2011/2012 winner Frankel, is, annoyingly, already being compared to the great horse.

The biggest problem for Baaeed’s rider Jim Crowley is ensuring the son of Sea The Stars does not encounter traffic problems from his draw in stall 2. It is unlikely that Frankie Dettori on Angel Bleu from stall six or Ryan Moore, widest of all aboard Ballydoyle’s Order Of Australia, will do the long odds-on favourite any favours, so in the betting, without Baaeed, the Richard Hannon inmate Chindit could be the one to take advantage.

The mount of Pat Dobbs didn’t get the best of runs when beaten a little over two lengths in the Celebration Mile over course and distance last August and in what is likely to be a tactical affair, can improve upon the five lengths he was beaten by Baaeed in the Lockinge earlier in the season.

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Alan's Tip

3.35pm Goodwood

Chindit looks the one to give Baaeed the most to worry about

fire

At 8/1 a £10 bet would return £90

3.35pm Goodwood

July 27, 2022

3:35 pm BST


4.10pm Goodwood - Value Theory (Longshot)

Sea Speedwell, Natasha and Peripatetic all showed promise on their most recent starts and are respected in this open fillies’ handicap. The same could not be said of the Charlie & Mark Johnston-trained Value Theory who has yet to hit form this season. But from a stable which targets its horses for this meeting every year, the daughter of Gleneagles could be worth chancing based on several excellent runs as a juvenile last year.

Not beaten far when third in a Newmarket Group 3 in August, Franny Norton’s mount ended her two-year-old career later that month with a creditable effort in the Group 3 Prestige Stakes, a race in which this season’s Falmouth Stakes winner Prosperous Voyage finished a length and a half in front.

While Value Theory is far from guaranteed to reproduce that level of form, at a double-figure price, the talented filly is worth risking.


4.45pm Goodwood - Union Court

Recent York scorer The Platinum Queen and All The Time finished down the field in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot but both horses are better than they showed at the royal meeting and have leading claims of taking this Conditions Stakes run over the minimum trip.

The Ed Walker-trained Union Court has not enjoyed the best of luck since winning her first two starts, however, at Leicester and Chepstow, and makes plenty of each-way appeal from her draw in stall nine.

Creditable efforts in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot and Super Sprint at Newbury, puts Richard Kingscote’s mount in with every chance of playing a leading role in this company and another big run is expected.


* Odds correct at the time of writing but subject to change.


Alan Kelly

Alan Kelly

A horse racing expert on Freebets.com for over a decade, Alan Kelly has you covered with his daily racing tips.