Champions League betting tips, free bets and betting offers - Tuesday 16 & Wednesday 17 April

Updated: September 6, 2024 at 2:44 pm GMT+1

All four of these Champions League ties are on a knife-edge, ahead of the return legs on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Here are our betting tips for this week’s quarter-final second leg action.

Champions League Betting Tips - Tuesday 16 & Wednesday 17 April

UEFA Champions League Acca of the Day

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Bayern Munich vs Arsenal betting tips

Arsenal really hoped to hammer home a first leg advantage in North London a week ago, but were unable to do so, leaving Bayern Munich in the driving seat.

When Bukayo Saka curled home the opener with just 12 minutes on the clock, the Emirates was a cacophony of noise, with the 60,000+ in attendance all believing they were set to witness a momentous victory.

Well, with no away fans permitted, the stadium was soon stunned into silence, courtesy of Serge Gnabry’s well-taken equaliser, before Harry Kane scored his customary penalty in front of the North Bank to complete the first half turnaround.

Just as it looked like being a very frustrating night for the hosts, two substitutes combined for a potentially vital equaliser, with Gabriel Jesus dancing his way through before teeing up Leandro Trossard to slot home.

Saka thought he should’ve had a penalty right at the death, after Manuel Neuer came flying out and clattered into him, although Thomas Tuchel was calling for a spot-kick up the other end for a bizarre loop-hole handball.

Nevertheless, 2-2 it finished so, with the abolition of the away goals rule, it’s winner takes all in Bavaria.

This competition is Bayern Munich’s only hope of avoiding a trophyless season, having watched Bayer Leverkusen be crowned Bundesliga champions on Sunday, ending their 11-year stranglehold over the Meisterschale.

The German juggernauts are unbeaten in 14 Champions League home games, winning 19 of their last 23, while they’ve only lost a two-legged European tie after winning or drawing the first leg away once since 2011.

This came in 2019 when Liverpool dumped them out.

Having earned that stalemate in North London, most would expect Bayern to advance now.

As for Arsenal, to get through now, they’ll need to win an away Champions League knockout phase match for the first time since a victory in Monaco nine years ago, that still saw them eliminated on away goals.

At the weekend, Mikel Arteta’s team were beaten 2-0 by Aston Villa at home, their first Premier League defeat since New Year’s Eve, so are desperately seeking to step their season from unravelling.

So, can the Gunners claim a famous Champions League victory, or will Bayern march on at Allianz Arena?

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Manchester City vs Real Madrid betting tips

At the same time on Wednesday night, following an even-more entertaining draw in Madrid, it’s winner takes all in Manchester.

After less than two minutes, it was Man City who’d made the breakthrough at the Bernabéu, with Bernardo Silva free-kick completely catching Andriy Lunin off-guard.

However, by the 15 minutes mark, Real Madrid had turned the tie around to lead, with Eduardo Camavinga’s strike deflecting in off Rúben Dias, before Rodrygo cheekily poked the ball through Ederson’s legs.

Having conceded twice in quick-succession, the Sky Blues then scored twice in five minutes, going in front thanks to a pair of thunderbolts, first from Phil Foden, before a far more unlikely source, namely Joško Gvardiol, lashed into the top corner.

Nevertheless, los Blancos are never beaten that easily, with Federico Valverde smashing home an equaliser soon after meaning, after all that, an inconclusive 3-3 draw was the result.

Most now make Manchester City overwhelming favourites to get through, not least because they drew in the Spanish capital 11 months ago, before an emphatic 4-0 victory at the Etihad eight nights later.

Pep Guardiola’s team reclaimed top spot in the Premier League this weekend, hammering Luton 5-1 before watching their two title rivals lose, so a repeat of last season’s treble is very much on.

Real Madrid meantime are also going to win La Liga, eight points clear following Saturday’s 1-0 victory at Mallorca, meaning they can all but wrap up the title with victory in Sunday’s Clásico.

This though is the competition Carlo Ancelotti’s team are determined to win, aiming to repeat what they achieved two seasons ago by knocking out Manchester City, courtesy of a last-gasp remontada.

Los Merengues have won three of their last five visits to England, although both defeats during this period have come at the Etihad.

So, and one should never bet against Real Madrid, but it would be a major upset if Manchester City did not get through.

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Barcelona vs Paris Saint-Germain betting tips

Turning our attention to Tuesday night’s fixtures, Barcelona’s win in the French capital leaves them in control of this tie, but if historical Barça vs PSG encounters have taught us one thing: it’s not over ‘til it’s over.

The tie at Parc des Princes can best be described as peculiar, with Barcelona dominating the opening 45 and taking a deserved lead through Raphinha.

However, Paris Saint-Germain then came roaring out the blocks after the interval, scoring twice in just three minutes, first through Ousmane Dembélé against his former club, before Vitinha also struck straight after.

Then though, Xavi’s substitutes made the difference, first Pedri, with his first touch of the night, played an inch-perfect through-ball that was expertly volleyed home with the outside of his boot by Raphinha.

Then, 13 minutes from time, Andreas Christensen’s first touch saw him head in an İlkay Gündoğan corner from close-range, with Gianluigi Donnarumma punished for his indecision.

So, 3-2 it ended in Barça’s favour, leaving the Catalan giants in pole position to get through.

Should the Blaugrana make their first leg advantage count, they would be through to the Champions League semi-finals for the first time since 2019.

Since Xavi announced he would be leaving at the end of the season on 27 January, his team are unbeaten in 13 matches across all competitions, albeit they remain eight points adrift La Liga leaders Real Madrid, ahead of Sunday night’s Clásico at the Bernabéu.

Thus, this is a massive week for Barcelona, so will they start it by claiming the biggest result since moving into their temporary home of Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys?

Paris Saint-Germain meantime are going to win yet another domestic treble, having picked up the Trophée des Champions already, they’re also through to the Coupe de France Final, while sat ten points clear in Ligue 1.

However, should they crash out here, the campaign would be an unequivocal failure for Luis Enrique’s team.

Les Rouges-et-Bleus did beat Real Sociedad in San Sebastián in the last 16, but failed to win any of their three group phase away matches, defeatd at St James’ Park and San Siro, before drawing at Westfalenstadion.

So, PSG’s chances of a remontada seem unlikely, although they did claim victory when they most-recently visited Catalonia, leaving Camp Nou 4-1 winners in 2021, with Kylian Mbappé the scorer of a behind-closed-doors hat-trick.

The away side will need their star man to be on top form again, otherwise it’ll be Barça who are celebrating come full time at Montjuïc.

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Borussia Dortmund vs Atletico Madrid betting tips

Last, but by no means least, Atlético Madrid looked set to run away with this tie, but failed to do so, meaning they make the 933 mile journey north-east to North Rhine-Westphalia with work to do.

Los Colchoneros’ home record this season is formidable, so they don’t need to be given gifts, such as the one handed to them four minutes in, when a defensive mix-up allowed Rodrigo De Paul to break the deadlock.

In the first half an hour, Atleti were rampant, doubled their advantage through Samuel Lino and, in truth, Dortmund were pleased to go in at half time only two goals down.

After the interval however, die Schwarzgelben grew into the game, with Sébastien Haller pulling one back on the swivel late on, before only the cross-bar denied Jamie Bynoe-Gittens a spectacular equaliser.

So, by the end, despite the fact it was Atlético had won 2-1 at Cívitas Metropolitano, many would argue that Dortmund left the more content, fancying their chances ahead of this return leg.

Diego Simeone’s side overcame last season’s runners-up Inter on penalties in the previous round, so are now seeking to reach a first Champions League semi-final since 2017.

However, los Colchoneros’ away form has to be a concern, losing eight of 13 games on the road against top-flight opposition since the start of November, their only wins coming at Feyenoord, Granada and Villarreal.

Thus, Borussia Dortmund, who are unbeaten in front of their own supporters in the Champions League this season, believe a comeback is more than achievable.

Edin Terzić is hoping to lead his club into the last four of this competition for only the fifth time in their entire history, previously achieving this in 1964, 1997, 1998 and 2013 when they were beaten finalists.

Atleti’s most-recent visit to Westfalenstadion saw Simeone’s side smashed 4-0 in October 2018, so can Borussia Dortmund pull-off a repeat of that victory, or will Atlético’s slender advantage prove insurmountable?

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