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Euro 2024 play-off finals betting tips, free bets and betting offers - Tuesday 26 March
The last three spots at this summer’s European Championships are up for grabs on Tuesday night.
Here are our betting tips for this nights Euro play-off final action action.
Euro 2024 play-off finals Betting Tips - Tuesday 26 February
Euro play-offs Acca of the Day
Wales vs Poland betting tips
Cardiff City Stadium, Cardiff
Both Wales and Poland have become major tournament stalwarts in recent times, but one will miss out on Euro 2024, making this single-elimination play-off final enormously significant for both.
The pair cruised through their respective Path A semi-finals on Thursday night, with Wales swatting aside Finland 4-1.
David Brooks volleyed home after just two and a half minutes, a dream start, before Neco Williams’ stupendous free-kick doubled their lead, only for the Finns to pull one back in first half injury time.
Nevertheless, this matted not because, less than 100 seconds after the restart, Brennan Johnson restored the two-goal advantage from close-range, before Dan James capped off the victory towards the end.
As debutants, the Dragons got all the way to the semi-finals at Euro 2016, and are now 90 minutes away from qualifying for three successive European Championships, having also featured at the most-recent World Cup.
To get to Qatar, Rob Page’s side also came through the play-offs, ousting both Austria and Ukraine in Cardiff, hoping to expirence a sense of déjà vu.
Home advantage will be key, given that Wales have lost only three of their last 21 competitive fixtures in front of the red wall, memorably beating Croatia in October, so does that give them the edge?
Poland meantime went one better on Thursday, swatting aside Estonia 5-1 at Stadion Narodowy.
Przemysław Frankowski broke the deadlock mid-way through the first 45 so, when the Blueshirts were reduced to ten-men soon after, the tie was more-or-less over as a contest.
Piotr Zieliński, Jakub Piotrowski, an own goal and then Sebastian Szymański all added to the rout, meaning Estonia’s late goal was of no consequence, even if Wojciech Szczęsny was furious about losing his clean sheet.
The Eagles are aiming to qualify for a fifth successive Euros, having also featured at four of the last six World Cups, including the last two.
Poland are only involved in these play-offs following a catastrophic 2023, sacking Fernando Santos after a mere six games in charge, while his successor Michał Probierz is yet to taste defeat.
Concerningly for the home crowd, Wales did win their first-ever meeting with White-reds at Ninian Park in 1973, but are winless in nine attempts since then, losing all six since 2000.
When the pair clashed in the UEFA Nations League two years ago, Karol Świderski’s late goal snatched victory in Wrocław, while he was then also the only scorer in Cardiff three months later.
Nevertheless, in do-or-die scenarios at the Cardiff City Stadium, Wales almost always get the job done.
With a place in Group D of the Euros at stake, alongside France, Netherlands and Austria, who will prevail in this huge game, that may require extra time and who knows, possibly even penalties?
Ukraine vs Iceland betting tips
Stadion Wrocław, Poland
Path B’s final is also tough to call, given that Iceland reached the quarter-finals of Euro 2016, while Ukraine achieved the same five summers later, but only one will feature at this year’s edition.
Both were victorious on the road in their respective semi-finals, with Ukraine certainly leaving it late to oust Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Soon after the interval in Zenica, it was the hosts who went in front, with Mykola Matviyenko diverting a cross into his own net, with Ukraine staring down the barrel of defeat.
With just five minutes to go, Roman Yaremchuk fired his team level before, mere moments later, turning provider, as his cross was headed home by Artem Dovbyk, stunning the Bilino polje into silence.
The Blue and Yellows are now seeking to qualify for a fourth successive European Championships, debuting as co-hosts in 2012, before getting all the way to the last eight at the most-recent iteration.
However, Serhiy Rebrov’s side have recent expirence of suffering play-off final heartbreak, denied a place at the World Cup in Qatar when they were beaten 1-0 by Wales at this stage in June 2022.
This time, with home advantage of sorts in Poland, will all Ukrainians everywhere have a victory to celebrate?
Iceland meanwhile had never qualified for any major tournament prior to Euro 2016 and then World Cup 2018 but, following a few years of decline, are unexpectedly 90 minutes away from returning to the big stage.
On Thursday, Åge Hareide’s team fought back from a goal down to defeat Israel at Megyeri út in Budapest.
The nominal hosts led through a penalty on the half hour mark but, by half time, Iceland were in front, courtesy of quick-fire goals from Albert Guðmundsson and Arnór Ingvi Traustason.
Israel were then reduced to ten-men following a horrendous tackle but, despite their numerical inferiority, won a penalty, only for Eran Zahavi to skew his attempt well wide of Hákon Valdimarsson’s goal.
Iceland then went up the other end and doubled their advantage, Guðmundsson on hand with his second of the night, before the Genoa forward completed his hat-trick late on, completing the comprehensive victory.
Before this, the Nordic nation had won only five of their last 29 competitive fixtures, four of which had come over minnows Liechtenstein.
Now though, a win in Wrocław will see Iceland join Belgium, Slovakia and Romania in Group E this summer.
Ahead of this final, Iceland and Ukraine haven’t met since World Cup 2018 qualification, drawing 1-1 in Kyiv, before Gylfi Sigurðsson’s brace secured a 2-0 home win at Laugardalsvöllur.
This time, roared on by a passionate crowd at Stadion Wrocław, we make Ukraine firm favourites to qualify.
Georgia vs Greece betting tips
Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena, Tbilisi
Over in Path C, home advantage proved decisive in deciding Thursday’s semi-finals, a trend Georgia hope will continue.
Five nights ago, Budu Zivzivadze proved to be the Georgian hero, bagging a brace as they beat Luxembourg 2-0 in Tbilisi, but that doesn’t tell the whole story at all.
With the score 1-0, the visitors thought they’d equalised, only for the goal to be ruled out by VAR for a foul up the other end, that also saw referee José María Sánchez reduce Luxembourg to ten-men.
When Georgia made it 2-0 a few moments later, the tie was over as a contest, much to the delight of the overwhelming majority of the 51,000 supporters in attendance.
So now, the Crusaders are 90 minutes away from making their major tournament debut, but they’ve been here before, dumped out by North Macedonia in the Euro 2020 play-off final, desperate to avoid déjà vu.
Nevertheless, the fact they’re at home could be key, with Willy Sagnol’s team losing only three of their last 17 competitive home games in front of supporters, these coming against Spain twice and Switzerland.
So, a daunting prospect for Greece, as the European champions from two decades ago seek to end their ten-year long exile from international tournaments.
The Sky Blue and Whites made light work of Kazakhstan in their semi-final, cruising to a 5-0 win, enjoying their joint-second biggest competitive victory of all-time, only eclipsed by an 8-1 hammering of Finland in 1978.
Anastasios Bakasetas broke the deadlock early from the penalty spot, before Dimitrios Pelkas, Fotis Ioannidis and Dimitrios Kourbelis all scored near-identical goals, with an own goal completing the rout.
Between the tournament that they won 2004 and 2014, Greece qualified for five out of six major tournaments but, in the subsequent decade, have not featured at any.
However, under Gus Poyet, this is a team revitalised, finally gaining promotion to Nations League B in 2022, followed by a solid showing in Euro qualifying, notably holding France to a 2-2 draw in Athens.
So, Greece are absolutely desperate to be at this summer’s European Championships, with a place in Group F up for grabs, alongside Türkiye, Czechia and Portugal.
To give Greeks encouragement, they are unbeaten across all nine meetings with Georgia, the most-recent of which came in World Cup qualifying in 2021, drawing 1-1 in Thessaloniki before a 2-0 victory in Batumi.
Thus, this clash at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena is basically impossible to call, so can Georgia qualify for a first-ever major tournament, or will Greece be back on the big stage after ten years in the wilderness?
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