England and Wales find themselves on the same side of the draw for the Euro 2020 knockout rounds.
But both have tricky routes to navigate if they are to meet at Wembley Stadium for an historic semi-final on July 7.
So which nation is more likely to clear their hurdles over the next fortnight?
The Last 16 kicks off with Wales v Denmark in Amsterdam on Saturday. And then we’ve got England v Germany at Wembley on Tuesday.
Let’s take a deep dive and compare the chances of Gareth Southgate’s Three Lions to Rob Page’s Dragons.
Last 16 opponents:
England: The English face a familiar foe in Germany on Tuesday, with the recent history books reading unkindly.
The Germans have avoided defeat in 10 of the last 14 meetings against England, winning nine.
Wales: Denmark will be considered a beatable team for the Welsh although it will be no easy ride.
Denmark have won four of their last five competitive meetings against Wales and will be buoyed by national spirit following Christian Eriksen’s recovery.
Path to the final:
England: If they can defeat Germany inside Wembley Stadium, then Ukraine or Sweden await in the quarter-finals.
Either shade of yellow should see Southgate’s side start as sizeable favourites, with the Netherlands the most likely semi-final opponent.
Wales: If Wales can turn their form around against Denmark, it will probably be the Oranje of Netherlands waiting.
This will be a huge test for Wales who only won once in their three group matches, with England or Germany most likely in the semi-finals.
Performance so far:
England: Fairly uninspiring in attack, but Southgate has seen his side control matches at a major tournament for the first time in a long time.
England didn’t concede a single goal in the group stages and have built a solid foundation to play a little more expansively in the knockout rounds.
Wales: Patchy, but there is evidence that Wales have once again tapped into their passionate underdog mentality.
A 2-0 win against Turkey was their signature performance, dominating the 90 minutes in Baku.
England: Kalvin Phillips has been one of the biggest surprises for England so far.
The Leeds United midfielder has been solid in setting the tempo in the middle of the park, travelling well with the ball and looking comfortable in possession.
Raheem Sterling has bagged both of England’s goals so far, repaying the trust Southgate continues to put in him.
Wales: Gareth Bale and Aaron Ramsey are still Wales’ go-to match-winners, but Daniel James has been a menace down the Welsh left-flank.
James has untouchable speed, but sometimes lacks that final ball.
Both England and Wales will be grateful to have landed on the right-hand side of the draw, but both face stiff tests before a possible semi-final meeting.
If England can sneak past the Germans then they will be considered favourites to reach a maiden European Championship final – whereas Wales probably have to win three matches as underdogs to make history again.
England can be found at 15/8 with Paddy Power to reach the final, with Wales as long as 25/1.
Taking home comforts into consideration in the last 16, you have to side with England making it further than Wales… just!
* Euro 2020 odds correct at the time of writing. All odds are subject to changes.