Leeds vs Southampton Play-Off Final Betting Stats

The 2023/24 Championship campaign draws to a close on Sunday, May 26 when Leeds United and Southampton meet at Wembley in the play-off final.

One of the duo will join Leicester City and Ipswich Town in the Premier League for the 2024/25 season.

Ahead of the game, Leeds are the current favourites at 5/4 to win in 90 minutes, while Southampton can be backed at 9/4 to do so.

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Leeds vs Southampton

Leeds go into Sunday’s showpiece as favourites to lift the trophy after hammering Norwich City 4-0 over two legs in the semi-final stage.

The Whites finished 3rd in the league this season, narrowly missing out on the top two after winning just one of their last five. In the last 10 years, the team who finished 3rd in the division have gone on to win the play-offs four times (the most of any position).

Leeds to lift the trophy

Leeds vs Southampton

4/6

As for Southampton, they managed to beat West Brom 3-1 over two legs to book their place at Wembley. And while the Saints finished 4th and saw their automatic promotion hopes fade earlier in the campaign than Leeds, they did beat the Yorkshire outfit in both of their league meetings during 2023/24. The team who finished 4th in the Championship have gone on to win the play-offs in three of the last 10 years.

Southampton to lift the trophy

Leeds vs Southampton

6/5

Leeds vs Southampton betting stats

Here are some key Leeds and Southampton stats to keep in mind as you prepare to make your selections ahead of the game:

BTTS has landed in four of the last five matches between these two teams.
Adam Armstrong has 23 league goals this season, at least seven more than any other Southampton player.
Leeds United have scored two or more goals in 25 of their past 48 matches this season, while Southampton have conceded two or more goals in 10 of their last 20 matches.
This is the third second-tier play-off final between two teams that were relegated in the previous campaign after Leicester City 2-1 Crystal Palace in 1995-96 and West Ham 2-1 Blackpool in 2011-12.
Leeds United have reached a play-off final for the fourth time, failing to win promotion on each of the previous three occasions (1986/87, 2005/06, 2007/08); that is the joint-most play-off finals any team has played in without ever winning promotion through such a tie (level with Bristol City, Exeter City, Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town).
Southampton will play in their first play-off final with this just their second ever play-off campaign, after a semi-final exit on penalties to Derby County in 2007.
Leeds have lost on their last two outings at Wembley Stadium, most recently in the 2008 League One play-off final to Doncaster Rovers (0-1), their only previous play-off game at the national stadium. The Whites’ last win at the venue came in the 1992 Community Shield against Liverpool.
Southampton have lost eight of their 10 previous matches at Wembley Stadium (W2), including each of their last five. Only Newcastle (9 between 1974 and 2023), Leicester City (6 between 1949 and 1993) and Brentford (6 between 1930 and 2020) have ever had a longer run of defeats at the venue.
Leeds’ 4-0 win over Norwich City in the second leg of their play-off semi-final tie was the biggest-ever victory by any team in a Championship play-off game (since 2004-05).
Including the play-offs, Southampton have averaged the highest share of possession (66 per cent) across England’s top four tiers this season whilst only Manchester City (691 and 24) have recorded more passes and more sequences of 10+ passes per game than the Saints (663 and 22) in 2023-24.
Leeds have scored 98 goals across all competitions this season, their most since 2009-10 (103) when they won automatic promotion to the Championship under Simon Grayson. The only other Leeds manager to see his side reach 100+ goals across a full campaign is Don Revie (6 times).
Southampton have won 29 matches across all competitions this season, their most since their promotion-winning campaign of 2011-12 (30), whilst the Saints have netted 99 goals this term, last notching a century of goals in the 2009-10 season (112).

Leeds vs Southampton Top Tip

Only Mansfield Town’s Davis Keillor-Dunn (264) has recorded more combined shots and chances created than Leeds United’s Crysencio Summerville in England’s top four tiers this season (253 - 133 shots, 120 chances created), whilst should the Dutchman score or assist in this game he would be the first Leeds player to record 30+ goal involvements in a league campaign (including play-offs) since Chris Wood in 2016/17 (20 goals, 9 assists so far).

Crysencio Summerville to score or assist

Leeds vs Southampton

11/10

Today’s Football Tips

There is no English football taking place today but there is one La Liga tie, as Girona face off with Granada.

Granada travel to Girona on Friday evening, and we’ve got it covered with our bet builder of the day article, while for those of you looking to place an acca, we have our acca of the day lined up and ready to go.