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Love Island Odds: Joey Essex The Early Favourite to Take Home the Crown


Love Island Season 11 season is underway. How the couples initially pair off varies from season to season but this year the Islanders tasked with ranking their fellow contestants. They ranked each other blindly on most to least relationship material in turn choosing their own new couples. With the Islanders cracking on and getting to know each other it was all going a little too smoothly.

A shock late entry of reality TV royalty Joey Essex and first celebrity contestant, gave him the chance to get to know all the girls. After just 24 hours he chose to steal the girl he wanted to get to know a bit deeper. Having weighed up his options at the recouping he chose to couple up with Samantha stealing her from Sam Taylor giving him potentially the title of the shortest lived OG islander. Could this set him up for a Casa Amor resurrection twist?

Joey Essex the early favourite to win Love Island

Joey Essex is no stranger to breaking hearts on TV, having gained fame on TOWIE but also appearing on Celebs go Dating and Ex on the Beach this is sure to boost ratings for the network.

Love Island Betting Odds

Having caused a storm both online and in Love Island, Freebets.com analysed the betting markets. Joey Essex is currently the early front runner for Love Island 2024, priced at 9/4. At those odds, Bookies are giving him an implied probability of 34.8% of winning the show.

Ayo, Ciaran and Ronnie are all close at this early stage and we’ll be monitoring the markets to see if any gaps are opened up, or closed down.

Top MaleOdds*Implied Probability
Joey Essex9/430.8%
Ayo Odukoya4/120%
Ciarab Davies4/120%
Ronnie Vint11/215.4%

*Odds correct at the time of publishing

So far this year’s fan favourite female on social media & on betting sites, seems to be Nicole and Samantha both priced at 9/2. The Love Island betting odds are wide open only a few days into a 57 episode series.

Top Female Probability

Top FemaleOdds*Implied Probability
Nicole Samuel9/218.2%
Samantha Kenny11/218.2%
Mimii Ngulube11/215.4%
Patsy Field6/114.3%

*Odds correct at the time of publishing

Is Joey Essex being paid for Love Island?

The real question is if Joey does reach the final, who will it be with? Will he have gone through multiple couples and will he cause a storm in Casa Amor? Having received no fee or payment to appear on this year’s show, few have speculated that we may see a more authentic and vulnerable Joey who is there to find love.

With lots of dates and plenty of bombshells to come, the summer has just begun and he doesn’t want to lock himself down too soon.