- Jasmine Paolini to win - 5/4 with bet365
- Over 0.5 tiebreaks in the final - 39/20 with BetMGM
- Jasmine Paolini to win and there be over 19.5 games in the match - 2/1 with William Hill
- Either player to lose the first set but win the match - 18/5 with LiveScore Bet
- Each player to send down over four double faults - 11/1 with William Hill
Jasmine Paolini is the first woman to reach back-to-back Roland Garros and Wimbledon finals since Serena Williams in 2016. She lost the first, but there’s no doubt she has a much better chance of winning the second.
In Paris at the start of last month, the effervescent Italian played world number one Iga Swiatek on clay - one of the toughest tasks there is in the whole game, women’s or men’s.
She may not start as favourite here, but there isn’t much between them.
Krejcikova starts as the 8/11 favourite, despite being ranked 25 in the world by the WTA to Paolini’s seven.
The one thing she does have over Paolini is a Grand Slam title under her belt. Krejcikova won the 2021 French Open title, beating Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova in three sets in the final.
Both showed incredible resilience in their semi-finals at this event, coming back from a set down to win; Paolini against Donna Vekic and Krejcikova against Elena Rybakina.
I just think that Paolini’s recent form, including at the French, gives her the edge here. She’s an enticing 5/4 with bet365 to win.
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Between these two, they have played out nine tiebreaks in the tournament; five to Czech Krejcikova and four to Paolini. There have also been a number of other sets which have gone close at 7-5.
With that in mind, I’d be really keen on taking BetMGM’s 39/20 on there to be over 0.5 tiebreaks in this final.
William Hill have Paolini to win and there to be over 19.5 games in the match. That is available at 2/1 and another price that I would be siding with.
Even if this doesn’t go to three sets, which I suspect it could well do, you’d be onto a winner if say the Italian won 6-4, 6-4.
Given the nature of both semi-finals, I would be quite interested in taking on the 18/5 which Livescore Bet is offering on either player losing the first set and going on to win this final.
And, finally, despite both players having been in finals before, this will still be a nervous occasion.
With that in mind, it may well be worth considering a low stakes approach on William Hill’s 11/1 shot, via their #YourOdds selections, on each player to send down over four double faults in the match.
In the semi-finals, Krejcikova served six of them against Rybakina, whilst Paolini served three against Vekic. It would not be a stretch to expect the latter’s total to increase when the extra pressure is on.
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