Sutton’s Acca: 10/1 EFL Bet for Saturday 4th February

Sutton’s Acca: 10/1 EFL Bet

EFL pundit Gab Sutton picks his accumulator for Saturday’s action across the three leagues – he expects a firm resurgence from one particular League Two struggler, under new ownership…

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Middlesbrough to beat Blackpool – 1/2

Middlesbrough have enjoyed an excellent January transfer window, strengthening their squad with the signings of Aaron Ramsey and Cameron Archer on loan from Aston Villa, plus Dan Barlaser from Rotherham.

Ramsey is a selfless final third operator who is happy to move away from the general direction of travel if it means finding space, which is ideal for opening up the game for his teammates.

Barlaser, meanwhile, is a fine technician who has acquired excellent defensive qualities through playing at the base of midfield for a side like the Millers, who have tended to be on the back-foot in previous Championship outings.

Archer proved his class in last season’s loan spell at Preston North End, where he impressed with seven goals in 20 appearances, and the 21-year-old has already made himself a hit on Teesside.

Boro had kicked on under Michael Carrick before those additions: in fact, only the top two have accrued more points since the Manchester United legend followed in Bryan Robson’s footsteps in taking charge at the Riverside.

With that in mind, the hosts should be firm favourites, even if Blackpool might be made of sterner stuff under Mick McCarthy.

The Tangerines went for the safest bet in the Championship dogfight in plumping for the Yorkshireman’s experience and no-nonsense style, whilst strengthening their squad this month with Josh Bowler returning, fellow wide talent Morgan Rogers also coming in on loan, Tommy Trybull adding midfield tenacity and Charlie Goode and Curtis Nelson adding to the defence.

Nonetheless, even an improved Pool side could struggle to contain Middlesbrough, who have already scored 25 goals under Carrick’s guidance, with forward Chuba Akpom becoming one of the Championship’s unlikely stars.

Bolton to beat Cheltenham – 40/85

After finishing 2022 with a 1-1 draw at Lincoln, Bolton began the New Year in 6th, looking over their shoulders at Play-Off chasers like Peterborough and Wycombe.

After an excellent January window, however, and four wins in six league outings, the Trotters look in a more comfortable position: nine points clear of 7th, albeit having played three games more than Posh.

Victories over divisional rivals Barnsley and Portsmouth have inspired renewed belief, while Ian Evatt has added two new additions from Manchester – Luke Mbete and Shola Shoretire from City and United respectively – whilst adding firepower up top.

Defender Mbete is clearly highly rated by Pep Guardiola, having started for his side once in the EFL Cup last season, while Shoretire is jinking, elusive and creative attacking midfielder who can carve out something out of nothing – the 18-year-old already has three Premier League appearances to his name.

Elsewhere, Dan Nlundulu brings physicality and individual quality up top, Victor Adeboyejo is a hardworking hold-up man who loves a snapshot from the edge of the box, while Cameron Jerome adds valuable experience.

Ipswich to win at Cambridge – 2/5

It’s been a frustrating start to 2023 for Ipswich.

A run of one league win in six might not have hurt their automatic promotion chances in previous seasons, but this year the bar is incredibly high for a top two berth.

Due to the form of Plymouth Argyle and Sheffield Wednesday, 98 points wouldn’t suffice by current projections!

The good news for Kieran McKenna’s side is that they recorded a dominant 4-0 victory over Morecambe in their previous league outing, getting all their business done in the first half through braces from Freddie Ladapo and Conor Chaplin.

The Tractor Boys have made a good addition in Harry Clarke from Stoke: a tall, strong, aggressive right-back who supports play well from behind, and who’s arrival is great timing with Janoi Donacien struggling with a knock.

Plus, Clarke played centre-back at Oldham two years ago, and his versatility may allow McKenna to flip from 4-2-3-1 to 3-4-2-1 in-game where required: it’s a natural switch because Wes Burns played wing-back last season, and Leif Davis is a very attacking left-back.

With Lee Evans and Sam Morsy calling the shots in midfield, Town should have the wherewithal to record a comfortable victory at Cambridge, who would be classed as second-favourites for the drop.

It would be wrong to write-off Mark Bonner, who’s side have defied expectation in the past, and a goalless draw at Lincoln suggests some defensive improvement thanks to the additions of Ryan Bennett, Michael Morrison and Conor McGrandles, with Liam Bennett recalled from a successful loan at Walsall.

However, even an improved U’s were still lacklustre going forward against bottom half opposition, and could struggle to find the net against their more illustrious, local high-flyers.

Carlisle to beat Harrogate – 8/13

When Carlisle lost 2-1 at promotion rivals Northampton just before Christmas, they were nine points off the top three, but that feels like a long time ago now.

The Cumbrians are now in the automatic spots, at Northampton’s expense, after a drop-off from the Cobblers in tandem with a staggering run of six wins in seven for Paul Simpson’s side.

United have been in the top seven for much of the season, despite having at times a double-figured list of absentees, and with the injury situation easing as well as an excellent January, Simpson now has selection headaches for the right reasons rather than the wrong ones.

Joe Garner returns to the club at which he made his name in the late-noughties to bring some goalscoring nous and game management expertise to help Carlisle over the line at high-pressure moments.

At the other side of the age spectrum, fellow forward John-Kymani Gordon arrives on loan from Crystal Palace to bring pace and quality, Alfie McCalmont adds craft to a strong midfield, while Jack Robinson brings much-needed left-sided cover.

United have hit form at the right time and with the next six fixtures looking favourable on paper, they’ve given themselves a great chance of ending their nine-year exodus from the third-tier.

Harrogate, meanwhile, have dropped back into the mire after going five league games without a win, suffering from the loss of key loanee Jaheim Headley.

Manager Simon Weaver will need his side to play like they did after the quadruple half-time alteration in last week’s 1-0 loss to Sutton, rather than before.

Gillingham to beat Crawley – 9/10

Gillingham are four points below relegation rivals Crawley, having played a game more, yet are firm favourites for Saturday’s game – and rightly so?

Why? The hosts are a different club to the one at Priestfield a month ago.

Brad and Shannon Galinson took over Gillingham in January, they have given the club fresh hope and it appears as though their sole purpose is to connect with a football club and bring it success.

The signings of goalkeeper Glenn Morris, centre-back Conor Masterson, midfielder Ethan Coleman, physical box-to-box man Timothee Dieng, energetic presser George Lapslie, forward Jayden Clarke, creator Tom Nichols, poacher Aiden O’Brien, striker Tristan Abrahams and target man Oli Hawkins has boosted the Gills in their battle to beat the drop.

Neil Harris’ side have taken seven points from their last three games, and have scored the same number goals, seven, in that period as they had in all their other league games this season.

Crawley fans, meanwhile, have less belief in their own American owners, and the Red Devils are hoping former Swindon boss Scott Lindsey can arrest a slide that saw them win just once in seven.

It was a promising start for Lindsey, who oversaw last week’s 3-2 victory over Salford, but his side may fall short in their brief jaunt to Kent.

Betfair Acca

Middlesbrough to beat Blackpool – 3/4
Bolton to beat Cheltenham – 40/85
Ipswich to win at Cambridge – 2/5
Carlisle to beat Harrogate – 8/13
Gillingham to beat Crawley – 9/10

£10 bet returns £110.58!

EFL Saturday Acca

Sutton's EFL Acca

Top predictions for 4th February matches

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