Formula One: Bahrain Grand Prix Preview & Betting Tips

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Aston Martin has been the surprise package of pre-season testing. The team, run by billionaire Lawrence Stroll, appears to be the third fastest of the ten teams on the 2023 grid. A closer inspection of the form – particularly the pace the Mercedes-powered car showed on long runs – suggests it could even be faster than Ferrari.

The bad news for Aston Martin fans is the potential absence of Lance Stroll – the owner’s son – in the car this coming race weekend. The 24-year-old Canadian injured his wrist in a cycling accident in Spain, which led to him missing pre-season testing last week.

His place was taken by the Formula 2 champion Felipe Drugovich. And the Brazilian may be at the wheel when the opening race of the season gets underway this Sunday. In reality, with limited experience, Drugovich will struggle on his debut. Then again, without the benefit of pre-season testing and a hand injury, so would Lance Stroll.

But Fernando Alonso has experience aplenty, and his new team allowed him to take 270 of the 387 testing laps it ran in Bahrain last week. He was impressive. And, with this weekend’s race happening on the very same circuit, we declare the Spanish veteran is a knockout betting value at 3/1 (exclusively at Unibet) to finish on the podium.

F1 Betting Tips

2023 Bahrain Grand Prix - Podium Finish

The veteran Fernando Alonso looks good value at 3/1 to make the podium

Get 3/1 on Alonso for a Podium Finish at Unibet

At 3/1 a £10 bet would return £40

2023 Bahrain Grand Prix

March 05, 2023

3:00 pm GMT

Mercedes Reliability Woes Makes a 5/2 DNF Sense

Elsewhere, the value F1 bets could be more about things going wrong for teams and drivers as opposed to them going right. The opening race of most seasons sees teams struggling with reliability issues and suffering teething troubles.

In testing, the normally hyper-reliable Mercedes team suffered from hydraulic issues – leaving George Russell stranded on the track on the second of three testing days. Will both cars see out the requisite 90% of the Bahrain Grand Prix’s 57 laps to be deemed a ‘classified finisher’? It is 2/7 they will and 5/2 they will not.

The 5/2 is a great proposition. Not only can mechanics fail the new Mercedes, its drivers – George Russell and Lewis Hamilton – may have a fair few hazards to avoid. There are three rookie drivers on the 2023 grid and, if Lance Stroll has not recovered, there will be four starting Sunday’s race.

Understandable mistakes and enthusiasm could see any one of them make contact with a rival and potentially end their race. Could such a coming together include a Mercedes? Given the German cars may start in the midfield, there is every chance.

F1 Betting Tips

2023 Bahrain Grand Prix - Both Cars to be Classified

One of the Mercedes failing to complete looks a good bet

Get 5/2 on both Mercedes cars not to finish at bet365

At 5/2 a £10 bet would return £35

2023 Bahrain Grand Prix

March 05, 2023

3:00 pm GMT

Recommended F1 Bahrain Bets

• Podium Finish: Fernando Alonso 3/1 at Unibet
• Both Mercedes to be Classified? No at 5/2 bet365

* F1 betting odds correct at the time of writing. Subject to changes.

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