Betting Tips

Alan Kelly's Horse Racing Tips for Ayr, Windsor & Thirsk on Monday

Plenty for fans of both codes this week with the Punchestown Festival and Newmarket’s Guineas meeting plus an excellent card at Ascot on Wednesday.

Monday’s Horse Racing may lack anything in the way of the quality on offer for the rest of the week. But the British turf cards at Ayr, Windsor and Thirsk all provide competitive action and we will supply tips for all three meetings.

“Tip of the Day” – Run This Way – 7.05pm Thirsk

The form of Paul Midgley’s recent course and distance winner could hardly have worked out any better with the second and third horses home separated by less than a length when first and third at Haydock on Saturday making the mount of Graham Lee hard to beat once again off a 4lb higher mark.

Ballyare – 3.25pm Ayr

This looks a good opportunity for the Lucinda Russell-trained Ballyare to open his account on turf at the 13th attempt. The son of top sprinter Hot Streak has recorded four wins on the all-weather, two at Newcastle and two at Wolverhampton.

The mount of Andrew Mullen’s last two runs on turf came over today’s course and distance last summer, beaten less than two lengths on both occasions. The five-year-old has been running consistently well of late and in receipt of weight from all of his rivals looks sure to go close.

Soldier’s Minute is a decent sprinter on his day but the Keith Dalgleish-trained gelding failed to beat a single rival at Newcastle on his most recent start and has to concede over a stone to Ballyare.

Tregony (Next Best) – 6.55pm Windsor

The John & Thady Gosden-trained Darlectable You is the most interesting runner in this tightly-knit 1m 2f handicap. The daughter of Dubawi will be having her first start since finishing a disappointing sixth in the Cheshire Oaks almost a year ago when sent off a well-fancied 9/2 chance.

The mount of Robert Havlin is best watched on her handicap debut however and providing fitness is not an issue Tregony, from the Clive Cox stable, makes plenty of appeal following the fillies’ excellent three-year-old campaign in 2021 when winning five of her last six starts.

That one defeat came in a four-horse race at Nottingham, a contest which developed into a tactical affair that least suited Tregony who was doing all of her best work at the finish. The mount of Adam Kirby begins the season on a mark of 81 and should continue her progression with more improvement to come.

Run This Way (NAP) – 7.05pm Thirsk

A winner over course and distance earlier this month, a rise of 4lb is unlikely to stop the Paul Midgley-trained Run This Way from following up, with the form of that victory receiving a boost at Haydock Park on Saturday afternoon.

The mount of Graham Lee proved too good for runner-up After John and fourth placed Dream Together on that occasion and with those two horses finishing first and third, separated by less than a length in a 15-runner handicap at the Merseyside racecourse, the form of that Thirsk contest could hardly have worked out any better.

Run This Way has now won three of his ten starts on turf and should go on to prove better than his current mark of 78. The main danger to the selection looks to be Asadjumeirah from the Antony Brittain stable who will be having his first start on turf since leaving trainer Owen Barrows towards the end of last year.

The son of Adaay has been running consistently well on the all-weather this year and will be a big danger to Run This Way if transferring that form to this surface.

Asmund (Longshot) – 8.05pm Thirsk

Three of these, Frog And Toad, Blackjack and Asmund, finished second, third and fourth respectively in a Redcar handicap run over this trip earlier in the month. The David O’Meara-trained Frog And Toad  went one better at Doncaster a few days ago but the mount of Jason Watson may struggle to confirm that Redcar form with Asmund on 6lb worse terms.

Declan Carrolls’ charge was having his first run for five months on his reappearance and looks sure to strip fitter on this occasion. The five-year-old gelding has only won one of his 21 starts on turf but has finished runner-up six times, all by distances of a length or less.

It can only be a matter of time before the mount of Harrison Shaw gets his head in front again and off the same mark as when winning at Redcar last September is confidently expected to go close from stall 11.

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