Betting Tips

Alan Kelly's Horse Racing Tips for Doncaster & Kelso on Saturday

The 2022 Turf Flat season gets underway on Saturday with Doncaster’s traditional Lincoln Handicap card on Town Moor. We will provide a Horse Racing tip, preview and prediction for the SBK sponsored contest at 3.35pm along with the earlier 6f Listed Cammidge Trophy at 1.50pm.

Over at the Borders racecourse at Kelso our third Horse Racing of the day runs in the Herring Queen Series Final Mares’ Novices’ Handicap Hurdle at 3.15pm.

“Tip of the Day” – Theatre Glory – 3.15pm Kelso

Despite having to concede lumps of weight to her rivals, Nicky Henderson’s talented daughter of Fame And Glory, with claimer Nathan Brennan taking 7lb off her back, should take plenty of beating in this mares’ series final.

Diligent Harry (Next Best) – 1.50pm Doncaster

Only seven runners for this Listed sprint but a good opportunity for the Clive Cox-trained Diligent Harry to get his season off to a winning start after showing some excellent form in Group 3 company last year.

The Due Diligence colt did not run as a juvenile but was beaten only once in his first four starts as a three-year-old, that one defeat coming at the hands of the talented Rohaan, with only a short head separating the two top sprinters on Lingfield’s all-weather surface.

The mount of Adam Kirby went on to suffer narrow defeats in Group 3 races at Newcastle and Newbury before failing to handle the very soft ground at Ascot in October. Back on a decent surface, Diligent Harry ticks all of the boxes here and should prove too good for main rivals Garrus and Ayr Gold Cup winner Bielsa.

Theatre Glory (NAP) – 3.15pm Kelso

Top weight Theatre Glory makes the long journey from the Seven Barrows stable of Nicky Henderson to contest this series final mares’ novices’ handicap hurdle and the daughter of Fame And Glory could easily prove much better than her eight rivals.

After scoring on her only start in a Bumper last May, the mare ran out an easy winner on her hurdling debut at Huntingdon six months later before stepping up in class for a Listed mares’ race at Newbury just over two weeks later.

Beaten just over five lengths in third place, the form could hardly have worked out much better with winner Elle Est Belle going on to win the Sidney Banks at Huntingdon, while the runner-up Ahorsewithnoname found only Love Envoi too good in the 19-runner Grade 2 Dawn Run Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle at last week’s Cheltenham Festival.

Despite having to concede upwards of 15lb to her rivals, the best of which looks to be Aliomaana from the Milton Harris stable, the 7lb claim of conditional Nathan Brennan should enable Theatre Glory to follow-up her wide-margin victory at Warwick on her most recent start in January.

Brunch (Longshot) – 3.35pm Doncaster

The betting suggests that this famous one mile handicap is likely to be dominated by the three unexposed four-year-old’s in the race, Modern News, Mujtaba and Saleymm, their latest odds making one of them an odds-on chance to lift the first prize of over £51k.

As was the case with several recent renewals, in particular the victory of Addeybb from Lord Glitters in 2018, there may well be a Group horse in the race. But from a value perspective, and with bookmakers going six or even seven places, I would rather look for a value each-way alternative against the market leaders at a double-figure price.

With that in mind, the horse who makes plenty of appeal is last year’s length and a half runner-up Brunch from the Michael Dods stable. Narrowly beaten in a valuable handicap at York next time, prior to a creditable seventh behind Real World in the Royal Hunt Cup, Jason Hart’s mount was finally rewarded with a victory in a Pontefract Listed race last July.

The five-year-old runs well fresh, and off a mark only 4lb higher than last year, Brunch looks sure to run a big race once again.

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