The current heatwave has caused the abandonment of the meetings at Windsor and Beverley on Monday. All of the action in Britain now takes place during the afternoon and we have tips for both Ayr and Cartmel.
Last week proved very successful for our selections with four winning naps at odds of 4/5, 11/8, 7/2 and 11/2, while two of our next best’s went in at 4/1 and 6/1. Despite our each-way longshots failing to produce a winner, three were placed at 5/1, 17/2 and 10/1.
Saturday continued in the same vein with 4/1 and 7/1 winners, although our nap Rogue Spirit was just touched off for second place in Newbury’s valuable Super Sprint.
“Tip of the Day” - Brazen Bolt (4.45pm Ayr) - 3/1 with bet365
A winner three times over this trip of seven furlongs, John Quinn’s consistent top weight can get back to winning ways with conditions to suit at the Scottish racecourse.
4:45pm Ayr
The top weight has conditions to suit here
At 3/1 a £10 bet would return £40
4:45pm Ayr
July 18, 2022
4:45 pm BST
12.30pm Cartmel. 3m 1 1/2f
Our Tip: Benito (Nb) - 4/1 with bet365
Irish raider Bintheredonethat recorded an easy course and distance victory last month, the gelding’s first in 17 attempts. Despite running off a 6lb higher mark, the son of Yeats could well follow up with just 10st 4lb to carry. But this looks a good opportunity for champion jockey Brian Hughes and the Barbara Butterworth-trained Benito.
The five-year-old showed gradual improvement when in the care of handler Tom Lacey last year, culminating in a 10 length victory in a Chepstow handicap before finishing fourth at Market Rasen after making a mistake at the final hurdle when holding a narrow lead.
The son of Rail Link improved from his distant third on this course when making his debut for Butterworth towards the end of May to record a narrow win back at the Cumbrian track last month. Benito, on just his eleventh career start, has the scope to progress further and can win again off a mark only 4lb higher.
12:30pm Cartmel
Off a 4lb higher mark, Benito is fancied to improve and win again
At 4/1 a £10 bet would return £50
12:30pm Cartmel
July 18, 2022
12:30 pm BST
4.10pm Ayr. 6f
Our Tip: Snash (e.w.) (Longshot) - 11/1 with William Hill
Julie Camacho’s lightly-raced Quest For Fun is on a hat-trick following wins at Thirsk and here at Ayr over the last month or so. Those victories were achieved by narrow margins however and while the mount of Graham Lee could well be still ahead of the handicapper racing off a mark of 85, the Tim Easterby-trained Snash makes more appeal at a double-figure price.
The Markaz gelding has been racing over distances ranging from six furlongs to a mile but appears much more at home over this shorter trip, as when finishing a close seventh of 21 at York last month before taking a Thirsk handicap 18 days later.
The form of that race has worked out well with the fifth horse Cairn Gorm running well in a big field handicap sprint at Ascot recently, while one place back in sixth came Rathbone, winner of Hamilton’s Scottish Stewards’ Cup on Friday evening.
4.45pm Ayr. 7f
Our Tip: Brazen Bolt (Nap) - 3/1 with bet365
Back to seven furlongs, the John Quinn-trained top weight Brazen Bolt is fancied to concede the weight to his seven rivals in the hands of jockey Jason Hart.
The five-year-old has an excellent record when racing over this trip with form figures over the last year reading 3-1-1-2-1-2-2. The Brazen Beau gelding’s two runs over seven furlongs this season resulted in narrow defeats at Doncaster and Newmarket, prior to a below-par effort over 6f on York’s Knavesmire just over a week ago.
That was the first time the consistent performer had finished outside of the first three in ten starts. With conditions to suit at the Scottish track, Brazen Bolt can prove too good for Iris Dancer who can follow the selection home.
4:45pm Ayr
Brazen Bolt is Alan's NAP on Monday
At 3/1 a £10 bet would return £40
4:45pm Ayr
July 18, 2022
4:45 pm BST
:quality(70)/s3.amazonaws.com/arc-authors/xlmedia/5a397abf-3054-44eb-bd50-2a7ac4de2b99.jpg)
:quality(70)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/LXQ3D7C5JVBXNFUPLZ27EDEDQQ.jpg)
:quality(70)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/5FDL6HRL5VGOBPOLWSTWF6DIT4.jpg)
:quality(70)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/3JPH3NW5MVFBROVFTAVLQY6X5I.jpg)
:quality(70)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/7EM2LEELWZBTJJH65TF7EJ77PI.jpg)
:quality(70)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/GVC4B3K2GRC6VMWHSJMUXUQXBY.jpg)
:fill(white):background_color(white)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/7PZR2GGWPNFVHLXMKATFH34DZA.png)
:fill(white):background_color(white)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/BTJTTBAC5VEK3FPFUWW72OCJ64.png)
:fill(white):background_color(white)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/MMRPQAXOMVHTLH5JPJE2CTYMT4.png)
:fill(white):background_color(white)/cloudfront-eu-central-1.images.arcpublishing.com/xlmedia/RLOSGB5XZVDPNCEJSLZYAY3TRY.png)