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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Friday 23rd September

ITV Racing tips for the meetings at Newmarket & Haydock on Friday


The ITV4 cameras will cover seven races on Friday afternoon, four from Newmarket and three from Haydock Park. We have tips for all the races, including three Group races from headquarters.

3.35pm Newmarket - Mutasaabeq (Nap of the Day)

Back to Newmarket for the first time since finishing a creditable seventh in last year’s Qipco 2000 Guineas, Jim Crowley’s mount deserves a change of luck and, on a course where the son of Invincible Spirit has already won twice, can get back to winning ways in this Group 2 contest.


1.30pm Haydock - Rogue Spirit

With jockey Connor Planas’s 7lb claim, the Tom Clover-trained Rogue Spirit could take plenty of beating in this nursery run over the minimum trip. The Dark Angel gelding is all about speed and could take some catching if able to dictate matters from the front.

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Alan's Tip

1.30pm Haydock

Rogue Spirit could see them all off from the front

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At 11/4 a £10 bet would return £37.50

Haydock

September 23, 2022

1:30 pm BST


1.50pm Newmarket - Crenelle (Longshot)

If you ignore her last appearance when meeting plenty of trouble in running when finishing fifth in a Group 3 contest at Ascot in July, the in-form stable of Roger Varian holds an obvious chance of taking this Listed race with the Oasis Dream filly Zanbaq, the highest rated of the 11 runners.

Jim Crowley’s mount had previously beaten all-bar winner Heredia in Royal Ascot’s 28-runner Sandringham Stakes, half a length in front of the John & Thady Gosden-trained Crenelle, who meets the runner-up on 7lb worse terms here.

The mount of Robert Havlin looks up against it in an effort to reverse that form. But the grey daughter of Kingman still looked like a work in progress at the royal meeting and has since improved to finish a close third in a Listed race at Haydock. While several others can be fancied in a difficult opener to the card, Crenelle may prove the each-way value of the race.

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Alan's Longshot

1.50pm Newmarket

Crenelle looks the each-way value in a hot race

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At 7/1 a £10 bet would return £80

Newmarket

September 23, 2022

1:50 pm BST


2.05pm Haydock - Moon Watch

In a wide-open one-mile handicap, it could be worth siding with John & Thady Gosden’s well-bred three-year-old colt Moon Watch. The son of Dubawi will be having only his third start since making a winning debut in a Nottingham maiden just over three months ago.

The mount of 3lb claimer Benoit De La Sayette’s last two runs were both on artificial surfaces, finishing second at both Kempton and Newcastle, and this lightly-raced contender is open to plenty more improvement back on turf.

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Alan's Tip

2.05pm Haydock

Moon Watch looks a strong bet switching back to turf

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At 5/1 a £10 bet would return £60

Haydock

September 23, 2022

2:05 pm BST


2.25pm Newmarket - Sea Silk Road (Next Best)

Goodwood’s Height Of Fashion Stakes back in May holds the key to the outcome of this Group 3 race for fillies & mares. The William Haggas-trained Sea Silk Road came home half a length in front of the Godolphin filly Eternal Pearl on that occasion. But whereas William Buick’s mount has gone on to record three subsequent victories, Sea Silk Road has been beaten on both of her outings since then.

While Tom Marquand’s mount failed to show her true form when only fourth at Deauville last month, she had previously run Irish Oaks winner Magical Lagoon close in Royal Ascot’s Ribblesdale Stakes. In receipt of 3lb from Charlie Appleby’s charge, the daughter of Sea The Stars is fancied to confirm that Goodwood form.

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Alan's Next Best

2.25pm Newmarket

The daughter of Sea The Stars can land this contest

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At 7/4 a £10 bet would return £27.50

Newmarket

September 23, 2022

2:25 pm BST


2.40pm Haydock - Baltic Bird

Speycaster, Double Cherry and Sea King all ran in the valuable bet365 Handicap over today’s course and distance back in July, Ralph Beckett’s charge doing best of the trio in finishing fourth. Sir Mark Prescott’s Sea King is interesting on his first start since then after being gelded. But it is another horse who returns following a long break who gets the vote, top weight Baltic Bird from the John & Thady Gosden stable.

Narrowly beaten here on his second start, the Frankel colt went on to win impressively at Yarmouth before contesting Royal Ascot’s Queen’s Vase, a race won by subsequent St Leger hero Eldar Eldarov. The mount of 3lb claimer Benoit De La Sayette failed to act on the firm ground at the royal meeting, and since then, the horse has been saved for an autumn campaign.

Providing the ground at the Merseyside racecourse does not dry out too much, the selection should be up to winning this handicap off a mark of 92 before stepping up in class.

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Alan's Tip

2.40pm Haydock

Baltic Bird can go close with conditions to suit

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At 4/1 a £10 bet would return £50

Haydock

September 23, 2022

2:40 pm BST


3.00pm Newmarket - Olivia Maralda

With a quality field of 14 runners, an excellent renewal of this Group 2 race for juvenile fillies headed by John & Thady Gosden’s impressive course (July) and distance winner Commissioning. While it was impossible not to have been impressed with that debut effort from the daughter of Kingman, the form has taken a few knocks since then, and at around the 6/4 mark, the fillies’ odds represent little in the way of value.

While there are a host of unexposed fillies in the race, in particular Eximious, Leitzel and Rich, it is hard to fault the form of Michael O’Callaghan’s Olivia Maralda. Since finishing a respectable seventh in the Queen Mary at the royal meeting, the filly has improved to win a Newbury maiden by seven lengths before running one of the top two juvenile fillies in Ireland, Meditate, to three-quarters of a length in the Group 2 Debutante Stakes at the Curragh. The daughter of Kodiac sets a decent standard, and whatever beats her will become a leading contender for next season’s Qipco 1000 Guineas.

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Alan's Tip

3.00pm Newmarket

Olivia Maralda looks an excellent bet for Michael O’Callaghan

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At 4/1 a £10 bet would return £50

Newmarket

September 23, 2022

3:00 pm BST


3.35pm Newmarket - Mutasaabeq (Nap of the Day)

Followers of the Charles Hills-trained Mutasaabeq must be running out on patience with the talented son of Invincible Spirit, who has flattered to deceive on more than one occasion since winning a minor contest at Thirsk on the colt’s reappearance back in April.

Jim Crowley’s mount has not enjoyed the best of luck this season, however, but the horse has done nothing wrong on his three starts at headquarters, winning the first two before finishing a creditable seventh behind Poetic Flare in the Qipco 2000 Guineas.

Mutasaabeq is clearly capable of winning a Group 2 race of this nature, and if running anywhere near his best, should be too good for main rivals Tempus and stablemate Pogo.

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Alan's Nap of the Day

3.35pm Newmarket

Mutasaabeq can outclass this field

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At 9/2 a £10 bet would return £55

Newmarket

September 23, 2022

3:35 pm BST


* Odds correct at the time of writing but subject to change.


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Alan Kelly

Alan Kelly

A horse racing expert on Freebets.com for over a decade, Alan Kelly has you covered with his daily racing tips.