Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Horse racing tips for Sandown & Beverley on Friday
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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Despite a winning day on Saturday, we ended the week with a loss of -£5.60. Newcastle’s Northumberland Plate meeting did us no favours with our 7/1 tip for the Gosforth Park Cup, Vintage Clarets, grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory. Saturday’s card started in the same vein with the short head defeat of Pocklington (tipped at 7/1) in the opener.
Our 50/1 each-way tip for the Northumberland Plate consolation race, Letsbefrank, despite losing at least 20 lengths at the start, when doing a good impression of the Hamlet cigar advert (for those of a certain age), still managed to be beaten only 5 lengths in 10th place.
- P/L for the w/e Sunday, June 29th: -£5.60
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: -£23.94
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£467.65
Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
A busy Friday for horse racing in Britain with afternoon cards at Sandown Park, Doncaster and Newton Abbot, while in the evening the action comes from Haydock Park, Beverley and Bangor-On-Dee.
Ground on the firm side of good is currently the case at all of the meetings.
Nap - Kassaya (3:35pm Sandown)
An opening handicap mark of 88 could seriously underestimate the ability of Andrew Balding’s talented filly in this Class 2 sprint handicap
3:00pm Sandown - Military Code
George Scott’s Staya, one of three fillies in this 5f Listed race for two-year-olds, ran out an easy winner at Yarmouth on her debut in May before stepping-up in class for the Group 2 Queen Mary at Royal Ascot a month later. Starting at odds of 16/1, the daughter of Havana Grey ran a cracker to finish fifth of the 23 runners behind Ballydoyle's True Love, beaten less than two lengths.
Callum Shepherd’s mount looks an exciting prospect for owner KHK Racing, but on this occasion slight preference is for Godolphin’s MILITARY CODE for trainer Charlie Appleby. The Wootton Bassett colt failed to show his true form when finishing down the field behind Gstaad in the Coventry and is best judged on his first two starts when winning races at Newmarket and Ascot over today’s trip of 5f.
On his debut, William Buick’s mount easily beat another newcomer in George Boughey’s Moonfall, who went on to win impressively at Newbury last month. A heavily supported favourite to follow-up at Ascot on his next start, Military Code gave 11lb and a neck beating to Hugo Palmer’s newcomer Fitzella, last seen finishing fourth of 17 in the Albany at the royal meeting.
Back in third place at Ascot was Andrew Balding’s Old Is Gold, who would go on to take Beverley’s valuable Two Year Old Trophy before finishing a more than respectable 8th of 23 in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot. Back down th 5f, I expect Military Code to resume winning ways at the main expense of George Scott’s filly.
Recommendation: Military Code - 10/3 with William Hill
3:35pm Sandown - Kassaya (Nap)
Last seen finishing 12th as the 7/2 market leading in last year’s Queen Mary Stakes at Royal Ascot, Juddmonte’s KASSAYA (Nap) makes her handicap debut off what may prove to be a very attractive opening mark of 88. After winning impressively on her second start as a two-year-old in a Nottingham maiden, the daughter of Kingman was repeatedly denied a clear run at the royal meeting, jockey Oisin Murphy not hard on the filly when her chance had gone.
Now ridden by Juddmonte’s retained rider Colin Keane, I expect Kassaya to be fit enough on this, her first start for just over a year, to take this Class 2 handicap before stepping back up into Listed/Group company. Jack Channon’s Getreadytorumble is on a hat-trick following wins at Brighton and Goodwood last month but Tom Marquand’s mount faces a stiff task in attempting to concede 2lb to a potentially classy filly in Kassaya.
Recommendation: Kassaya (Nap) - 4/1 with Midnite
6.15pm Beverley - Emeralds Pride (Each-Way)
The Michael & David Easterby stable are responsible for two of the eight contenders for this 5f sprint handicap, the best of which looks to be the six-year-old Le Beau Garcon, who has gone up 2lb for the gelding’s narrow victory at Ayr back in May.
Joanna Mason’s mount will be visiting the East Yorkshire racecourse for the third time, the first when opening his account as a two-year-old in 2022, prior to finishing an excellent third in a 17-runner apprentice handicap two years later behind fellow rival Good Earth.
The Alice Haynes-trained Ziggy’s Ariel is another with leading claims following her recent narrow defeat at Ripon over 6f. The drop back to the minimum trip should suit Kieran O’Neill’s mount. However, I think the value bet of the race could lie with course specialist EMERALDS PRIDE (Each-Way), the mount of Jason Hart.
The six-year-old mare has three course and distance wins to her name, the most recent off a 3lb lower mark last August. Despite finishing only sixth on her reappearance at Beverley in May, Michael Dods’ charge was beaten less than two lengths after holding every chance until close home.
Far from disgraced in races at Thirsk and Ayr since then, the daughter of Pride of Dubai is fancied to make the frame at the very least.
Recommendation: Emeralds Pride (Each-Way) - 6/1 with Unibet (3 places)
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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