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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Newmarket’s three-day July meeting gets underway on Thursday afternoon following a quiet start to the week. Monday’s flat action comes from Ayr in the afternoon and Ripon in the evening.
The ground at the Scottish track is good to soft, while conditions at the Garden Racecourse are currently described as good.
Nap - Iwantmytimewithyou (8:30pm Ripon)
Following a promising effort on his handicap debut at Wetherby last month, Ed Dunlop’s charge should take plenty of beating in this modest contest off a mark of only 58.
2:30pm Ayr - Quest For Fun & Keep Warm
Our Tip: Quest For Fun (NON RUNNER)
Our Tip: Keep Warm
Count Palatine and Red Mirage finished third and fifth respectively over today’s course and distance back in April with fellow rival Keep Warm back in eighth place. The latter has since finished a close fourth at Pontefract over a furlong shorter; on this occasion I expect David & Michael Easterby’s charge to prove best of the three.
Billy Garitty’s mount now runs off his lowest mark since winning a couple of nurseries at Pontefract as a juvenile. Today’s slight ease in the ground will suit the Lightning Spear gelding, who I expect to go close in this Class 5 contest. Any support for the ex Irish-trained Wish This should be noted on his first start for Alan Brown, while Jim Goldie’s consistent Inanna is unlikely to be far away once again.
However, along with Keep Warm, I will also back Tim Easterby’s Quest For Fun, who will appreciate this drop in Grade after performing with credit in Class 3 and Class 4 company. The seven-year-old son of Lope De Vega was running off a mark of 90 around this time last year, 16lb higher than Sean Kirrane’s mount’s current rating.
Quest For Fun’s last three efforts all came over today’s trip of 7f in better races at York, including when finishing fourth of 22 at the Dante meeting, a race which has thrown up plenty of subsequent winners. A repeat of that effort would make the gelding very hard to beat in this company.
8:30pm Ripon - Iwantmytimewithyou (Nap)
Our Tip: Iwantmytimewithyou (Nap)
James Owen’s Colinski seemed to appreciate the application of cheekpieces for the first time when winning on his handicap debut at Lingfield last month. The son of Masar now runs off a 6lb higher mark and has since been gelded. While Hector Crouch’s mount is respected, I prefer the chances of Sir Mark Prescott’s Grand Harbour and Iwantmytimewithyou from the Ed Dunlop stable, the vote going to the latter.
Today’s step-up to a mile and a half is sure to suit Luke Morris’s mount, a typical Prescott three-year-old who has been campaigned with handicaps in mind. Off a rating of just 57, there are surely races to be won with the Haafhd gelding, a remark which also applies to Billy Loughnane’s mount.
Sent off at odds of 40/1, 150/1 and 200/1 on his first three starts earlier in the year, Iwantmytimewithyou made his handicap debut off an opening mark of 59 in a 1m 2f Class 6 contest at Wetherby five weeks ago, the Time Test gelding showing his first signs of form in finishing fourth of the 10 runners, beaten little more than a length.
The first three horses home in that race have all run well since, the runner-up going on to win at Beverley next time. Off a 1lb lower mark, and over tonight’s extra two furlongs, this lightly-raced contender is fancied to open his account with a victory in this modest Class 6 handicap.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
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