Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Horse racing tips for Thirsk, Chepstow & Epsom on Wednesday
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Latest Profit & Loss Figures
Despite a winning day on Saturday, we ended the week with a loss of -£5.60. Newcastle’s Northumberland Plate meeting did us no favours with our 7/1 tip for the Gosforth Park Cup, Vintage Clarets, grabbing defeat from the jaws of victory. Saturday’s card started in the same vein with the short head defeat of Pocklington (tipped at 7/1) in the opener.
Our 50/1 each-way tip for the Northumberland Plate consolation race, Letsbefrank, despite losing at least 20 lengths at the start, when doing a good impression of the Hamlet cigar advert (for those of a certain age), still managed to be beaten only 5 lengths in 10th place.
- P/L for the w/e Sunday, June 29th: -£5.60
- P/L for the year 2025 to date: -£23.94
- P/L for the year 2024: +£200.42
- P/L since 1st September 2022: +£467.65
Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Wednesday's horse racing tips feature selections from three meetings, Thirsk in the afternoon and Epsom and Chepstow in the evening.
Nap - Sudu (7:58pm Epsom)
Off a mark of only 75, Roger Varian’s lightly-raced son of Teofilo has the look of a handicap good thing in this handicap run over the Derby course and distance.
5:13pm Thirsk - Easy Peeler & Mythical Phoenix
John & Sean Quinn’s EASY PEELER, the only three-year-old among the field of 13 for this 6f Class 3 sprint handicap, will be fancied to follow-up her York victory of last month and this lightly-raced daughter of Due Diligence is hard to fault based on her five runs to date. That win on the Knavesmire was in a Class 2 handicap and a rise of just 4lb looks far from harsh for a filly we have yet to see the best of.
Ruth Carr’s Kats Bob won a York handicap last month but it was the horse who came home in fourth place, Roberto Caro, who caught the eye, Adrian Paul Keatley’s charge doing well to be beaten less than a length from an unfavourable draw. However, the other horse I will back along with Easy Peeler is the Julie Camacho-trained MYTHICAL PHOENIX, the mount of Joe Fanning.
While the Dandy Man gelding has only one victory to his name from 13 starts, the five-year-old has finished second on six occasions, five of which came with defeats of under one length. There is nothing wrong with the attitude shown by Mythical Phoenix, the horse just running into a better one on the day.
Following wind surgery and a break of 239 days, Mythical Phoenix was entitled to need the run when weakening inside the closing stages to finish fourth at Doncaster on his reappearance and this consistent sprinter would certainly not be winning out of turn.
Recommendations: Easy Peeler - 3/1 with bet365 & Mythical Phoenix - 8/1 with bet365
6:30pm Chepstow - Reservado
While the two horses heading the weights for this 5f sprint handicap, Master Of My Fate and Michaela’s Boy, have decent form at this level, I expect the race to be won by one of the five three-year-olds taking part.
Hi Lord is interesting on his handicap debut, the Due Diligence gelding a winner at Catterick as a juvenile when in the care of trainer Roger Fell. Now with Keiran Burke, the mount of Finley Marsh is entitled to come on considerably from his run of the season at Bath last month when weakening late-on after attempting to make all of the running.
The vote, however, goes to the Simon & Ed Crisford-trained RESERVADO and jockey Harry Davies. Yet to finish out of the frame in seven starts to date, the Profitable colt has been sent off at short odds for all of his races to date, the latest when caught close home by main market rival Naana’s Sparkle at Redcar 11 days ago.
In a race where there looks to be plenty of pace up front, I expect less forceful tactics from the selection on this occasion, who is well-drawn in stall 7.
Recommendation: Reservado - 9/4 with bet365
7:58pm Epsom - Sudu (Nap)
Top weight Big Bear Hug has a good record on the course with form figures reading 3-1-3-5-2, the six-year-old mare winning on her first start for trainer Jim Boyle at Goodwood last month after leaving the Adam West stable. I will be surprised if Pat Cosgraves mount is capable of conceding 19lb to Roger Varian’s unexposed SUDU (Nap) however, the three-year-old son of Teofilo a significant eyecatcher at Newbury last month, one place behind fellow rival Navid.
After showing promise in races at Newbury and Newcastle as a juvenile and on Southwell’s all-weather track back in February, Ray Dawson’s mount was gelded before making his handicap debut at the Berkshire racecourse three weeks ago. Held up towards the rear of the 12 runners, Sudu was repeatedly denied a clear passage until staying-on strongly to be beaten just three lengths at the finish.
In this smaller field and off the same mark of 75, I will be disappointed if this unexposed gelding fails to prove up to the task.
Recommendation: Sudu (Nap) - 7/4 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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