Free Horse Racing Tips

Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Thursday 17th November

Horse racing tips for the meetings at Market Rasen, Wincanton and Newcastle on Thursday afternoon.


With plenty of rain forecast, conditions are expected to ease for Thursday’s three jump meetings in Britain at Market Rasen, Wincanton and Newcastle. We have tips for all three courses on an interesting afternoon of national hunt racing which also features the Grade 2 Clonmel Oil Chase over in Ireland.

“Tip of the Day” - Kakamora - 2.40pm Wincanton - 5/1 with bet365

Rated 16lb lower over fences than hurdles, the Tom George-trained seven-year-old is fancied to open his account over the bigger obstacles at the eighth attempt.

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Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

2.40pm Wincanton

Kakamora looks ready to make his mark over fences

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At 5/1 a £10 bet would return £60

Wincanton

November 17, 2022

2:40 pm GMT


1.38pm Newcastle, 2m 7 1/2f - Quiet Flow

An extended 2m 7f handicap chase in which most of the 12 runners look well exposed, one of the few exceptions being top weight Faitque De L’Isle, who opened his account over fences with a narrow victory at Ffos Las last month. Michael Scudamore’s seven-year-old could well follow-up off a 4lb higher mark, but I just prefer the chances of QUIET FLOW from the Sam England stable.

This will be just the fourth start over fences for the Sholokhov gelding, who made subsequent Ayr scorer Big Changes pull out all the stops when beaten four lengths by that horse at Sedgefield last month. On the back of that effort, Jonathan England’s mount was sent off favourite on a return visit to the County Durham track earlier this month, only to finish third after taking a keen hold in the early part of the race.

The seven-year-old should appreciate this step-up in trip and with plenty more improvement to come over fences, Quiet Flow can go close in what is a very moderate Class 5 handicap chase.

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Alan's Tip

1.38pm Newcastle

Quiet Flow should appreciate this step-up in trip

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At 10/3 a £10 bet would return £43.33

Newcastle

November 17, 2022

1:38 pm GMT


1.55pm Market Rasen, 2m 1f - Bempton Cliffs (Next Best)

Now racing off a mark 20lb higher than when winning over today’s course and distance back in March, the Sam Allwood-trained BEMPTON CLIFFS has gone on to record victories at Warwick and Sedgefield, the gelding’s sole defeat in his last four starts coming following a break of 105 days, when almost certainly in need of the race at Bangor in August.

The grey son of Canford Cliffs jumped really well on his last visit to Market Rasen and despite being 15lb worse off with the third horse Heritier (beaten 23 lengths) can confirm the form on a course that clearly suits.

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Alan Kelly's Next Best

1.55pm Market Rasen

Sam Allwood's Bempton Cliffs loves it at Market Rasen

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At 11/4 a £10 bet would return £37.50

Market Rasen

November 17, 2022

1:55 pm GMT


2.40pm Wincanton, 2m 4f - Kakamora (Nap)

Paul Nicholls’ Don Alvaro won at the second time of asking over fences with a wide-margin victory over today’s course and distance earlier in the month. A rise of 12lb seems quite harsh however as that conditional jockeys’ handicap chase fell apart somewhat, while the ground is expected to be much different on this occasion.

The Tom George-trained KAKAMORA has yet to get his head in front over fences in seven attempts. But the seven-year-old looked a bit unlucky on his final two outings of last season, making a bad mistake 2 out at Uttoxeter when holding every chance, before falling at Ludlow when challenging for the lead 3 out.

Rated 16lb lower over fences, the mount of Jonathan Burke won his final two starts over hurdles before commencing a chasing career. It can only be a matter of time before the Great Pretender gelding makes his mark over the bigger obstacles. A run at Bangor last month should put the selection, who had wind surgery during the summer, spot-on for this 2m 4f contest.

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Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

2.40pm Wincanton

Kakamora looks ready to make his mark over the bigger obstacles

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At 5/1 a £10 bet would return £60

Wincanton

November 17, 2022

2:40 pm GMT


3.05pm Market Rasen, 2m 7f - Romeo Brown (Each Way) (Longshot)

Nine runners for this Pertemps Series Qualifier with three of the horses towards the head of the weights - Windsor Avenue, Fidux and Stoner’s Choice all reverting back to hurdling following a spell over fences. The trio are best watched on this occasion, with the outcome likely to concern those horses further down the handicap.

Pounding Poet, Bridge North and Caius Marcius all hold decent claims but it is the Sue Smith-trained ROMEO BROWN (e.w.) who makes most appeal in the hands of 3lb claimer Thomas Willmott. The Yeats gelding won a valuable 16-runner handicap at Haydock back in May off a mark only 4lb lower than will be the case here.

Beaten only half a length on his reappearance at Wetherby over an inadequate trip of two miles, the eight-year-old had no chance on ground he hated at Carlisle last time, making much of the running until the heavy ground took its toll late on. Providing the ground is no worse than soft at Market Rasen, Romeo Brown should take plenty of beating.

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Alan Kelly's Longshot

3.05pm Market Rasen

Sue Smith's Romeo Brown should take plenty of beating

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At 11/1 a £10 win bet would return £120

Market Rasen

November 17, 2022

3:05 pm GMT

* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.


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Alan Kelly

Alan Kelly

A horse racing expert on Freebets.com for over a decade, Alan Kelly has you covered with his daily racing tips.