Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Thursday 3 Nov

Newbury has avoided much of the rain that has fallen over the last couple of days with the going at the Berkshire track currently reading good, good to firm in places. While there is only one double-figure field on the card, the meeting still looks quite competitive and we have selections for two of the races taking place.

Over at Sedgefield the ground is more akin to a national hunt card with most of the course on the soft side, although they are good to soft in places. Our third horse racing tip of the day comes from the popular County Durham racecourse.

“Tip of the Day” - Didtheyleaveuoutto (3.05pm Newbury) - 13/2 with William Hill

Runner-up in this Pertemps Qualifier 12 months ago, Nick Gifford’s charge should take plenty of beating off a 3lb lower mark.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

3.05pm Newbury

This looks a great chance for Nick Gifford's Didtheyleaveuoutto

At 13/2 a £10 win bet would return £75

Newbury

November 03, 2022

3:05 pm GMT

12.50pm Newbury, 2m 1/2f - Long Stay (Next Best)

Grivetana showed plenty of promise in juvenile hurdles for trainer Paul Nicholls last season, including an easy victory at Chepstow, and looks sure to pay her way in the months ahead. Nicholls was quoted recently as saying that the filly needs some rain and has “been a bit slow to come to hand,” whereas LONG STAY from the in-form stable of Fergal O’Brien appears to have plenty in his favour with the 6lb claim of rider Jack Hogan in this conditional jockeys’ handicap hurdle.

A winner at Ludlow two years ago on just his second run over hurdles, the seven-year-old was not seen again until contesting a Perth handicap 22 months later. After looking the most likely winner approaching the final flight, Long Stay was just run out of it by Donald McCain’s Nayati in the closing stages. With that run under his belt, the Nathaniel gelding is fancied to go one better.

Alan Kelly's Next Best

12.50pm Newbury

Fergal O'Brien's Long Stay has plenty in his favour

At 5/2 a £10 bet would return £35

Newbury

November 03, 2022

12:50 pm GMT

Long Stay and @PaddyBrennan81 winning the opener at Ludlow

pic.twitter.com/fXxStJJwP1
— O’Brien-McPherson Racing (@OBMRacing) November 23, 2020

3.05pm Newbury, 3m - Didtheyleaveuoutto (Nap)

Runner-up in this Pertemps Qualifier 12 months ago, the Nick Gifford-trained DIDTHEYLEAVEUOUTTO has a great chance to go one better in what looks to be an easier race and off a 3lb lower mark.

After finishing second to Orbys Legend in a seriously competitive Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle at Chepstow on his reappearance last season, the Presenting gelding was stepped up from that trip of an extended 2m 3f to Newbury’s 3m.

While just losing out to winner Stoney Mountain, the mount of 3lb claimer Niall Houlihan had some decent horses behind and after several creditable efforts on the Flat in 2022, the nine-year-old reverted back to the smaller obstacles to finish an excellent fourth in Chepstow’s Silver Hurdle once again.

The three horses who finished in front of the selection at the Welsh racecourse - Knappers Hill, Lord Baddesley and Bloomfield Berg are all highly regarded. While back in seventh place came Saturday’s impressive Wetherby scorer Proschema.

This looks a great opportunity for Didtheyleaveuoutto to record a first victory since beating the 153-rated Thomas Derby at Ascot back in November 2018. The Fergal O’Brien stable can do little wrong at the moment and his lightly-weighted Sammylou can prove second best.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

3.05pm Newbury

This looks a great chance for Nick Gifford's Didtheyleaveuoutto

At 13/2 a £10 win bet would return £75

Newbury

November 03, 2022

3:05 pm GMT

💫Land Rover Winner💫

Knappers Hill won @Chepstow_Racing Silver Trophy, the @jwoneill91 Valirann gelding’s 8th 🥇for @PFNicholls Paul Barber & Paul Vogt

Bred by Ronnie O’Neill, the G2 🏆 was sold by Springhill Stud to @TMBloodstock

pic.twitter.com/5m2FoMmBRO
— Goffs (@Goffs1866) October 8, 2022

4.05pm Sedgefield, 2m 5f - Doireann (Each Way) (Longshot)

With champion jockey Brian Hughes booked for the ride, Nastasiya would be of interest if the Rebecca Menzies-trained filly was to brush up her jumping, which has been very poor over the smaller obstacles so far. Top weight Humps And Bumps is best watched on her first start since joining rainer Danny Brooke from Ireland last month. But the two horses to concentrate on could be the hat-trick seeking Boomtime Banker and DOIREANN (e.w.) from the Stuart Edmunds stable.

The former missed an attractive engagement at Plumpton on Monday to run here and the mount of 3lb claimer Lilly Pinchin is clearly the one they all have to beat. However, following a recent wind op it may be worth siding with Charlie Hammond’s mount who would have a big chance if the mare was to reproduce either of her performances when runner-up at Warwick and Uttoxeter last season.

The daughter of Shirocco is open to more improvement than most of her rivals and if last month’s wind surgery does the trick a mark of 87 looks more than fair.

Alan Kelly's Longshot

4.05pm Sedgefield

Stuart Edmunds' Doireann is open to further improvement

At 13/2 a £10 win bet would return £75

Sedgefield

November 03, 2022

4:05 pm GMT

* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.

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