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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Tuesday 22nd November

Horse Racing tips for the meetings at Southwell & Sedgefield on Tuesday afternoon


Hopefully, this week will prove more successful than the one just finished, where ground conditions were as hard to predict as some unfathomable results. The weekend’s highlight has to be the victory of Protektorat in the Betfair Chase, a race in which reigning champion A Plus Tard was never at the races. Britain looks to have a serious candidate for Gold Cup honours at the Cheltenham Festival, with Dan Skelton’s charge currently a standout 12/1 with Ladbrokes.

The jump meetings at Southwell and Sedgefield have the scene to themselves in Britain on Tuesday afternoon, and we have horse racing tips from both courses. The going is currently soft at the County Durham track and good, good to soft in places at Southwell.

12.55pm Sedgefield - Onestepatatime (Nap of the Day)

Making his chasing debut for the in-form Fergal O’Brien stable, this Irish point-to-point winner can make a winning start over the bigger obstacles in the hands of jockey Paddy Brennan.


12.55pm Sedgefield - Onestepatatime (Nap of the Day)

Fiston Du Mou landed a bit of a gamble over today’s course and distance earlier in the month when in the care of trainer Ann Duffield. Now with Patrick Neville and once again having the services of jockey Brian Hughes, the seven-year-old will be fancied by many to follow up off a 9lb higher mark.

In receipt of 11lb, however, I prefer the chances of the John Wainwright-trained Onestepatatime, who will be racing over fences for just the second time, the first coming at Hexham earlier in the month when holding every chance at the second-last only to fall.

Sean Quinlan’s mount won a point-to-point at Alnwick before joining Wainwright, who gave the mare plenty of time to acclimatise over hurdles, showing much-improved form on her last two starts over the smaller obstacles when runner-up here and at Wetherby.

Beaten just over a length by The Questioner on the latter occasion, form which received a boost when that horse went on to win at Ascot on Friday following a couple of near misses, Onestepatatime looks well treated at the moment off a mark of 89 and looks sure to go close with a clear round.

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Alan's Nap of the Day

12.55pm Sedgefield

Onestepatatime looks a strong bet for trainer John Wainwright

fire

At 7/2 a £10 bet would return £45

Sedgefield

November 22, 2022

12:55 pm GMT


1.55pm Sedgefield - Lucky Robin (Next Best)

With top weight Sabbathical having to shoulder a 7lb penalty for his hard-fought victory at Fakenham last week and Zuckerberg yet to win in 33 attempts since joining trainer Jennie Candlish from France, this 2m 1f handicap chase could rest between the Stuart Coltherd-trained Budarri and Lucky Robin from the Brian Ellison stable.

The Coltherd stable has been in fine form lately, and the nine-year-old gelding showed his best form since winning chases at Newcastle and Carlisle in 2019 when recording a comfortable victory in a Go North One Man Series Qualifier at Musselburgh earlier in the month.

A 6lb penalty may not be enough to prevent the mount of Sam Coltherd from following up. But Brian Ellison’s Lucky Robin has dropped from a chase mark of 103 around this time last year to a career-low of 91, and with 5lb claimer Emma Smith-Chaston on board for the first time, the 10-year-old has a good opportunity of adding to his two chase wins to date.

The son of Mister Fotis didn’t jump very well when pulled up over today’s course and distance last month. But that was the gelding’s first run in 148 days and, if putting in a better round of jumping on this occasion, makes plenty of appeal at current odds of around 6/1.

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Alan's Next Best

1.55pm Sedgefield

Lucky Robin looks a big price under 5lb claimer Emma Smith-Chaston

fire

At 7/1 a £10 bet would return £80

Sedgefield

November 22, 2022

1:55 pm BST


2.35pm Southwell - Higher Ground (Longshot)

This very modest two-mile novices’ handicap hurdle shouldn’t take a lot of winning, the most obvious candidates being Misty Mani, who recorded three minor victories before managing only fourth place at Sedgefield earlier in the month, and Encashment from the in-form stable of Ben Pauling.

The least exposed contender is the Nigel Twiston-Davies-trained Higher Ground, with just three runs over hurdles to date. But with Sam Twiston-Davies taking over in the saddle from 3lb claimer Jordan Nailor, the five-year-old’s opening price of 16/1 may represent something in the way of value.

The son of Black Sam Bellamy made a fair debut over hurdles when finishing third behind the 114-rated Spanish Present at Worcester in September before unseating his rider at Stratford the following month. The gelding ran much too free when well beaten in a decent novice chase at Bangor recently but possesses the scope to prove much better than his opening handicap mark of 97.


* Odds correct at the time of writing but subject to change.


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Alan Kelly

Alan Kelly

A horse racing expert on Freebets.com for over a decade, Alan Kelly has you covered with his daily racing tips.