Alan Kelly’s ITV Horse Racing Tips for York on Wednesday 17th August

A fabulous opening day on the Knavesmire, the feature race being the Group 1 Juddmonte International and the reappearance of the unbeaten Baaeed who will be running over a trip in excess of a mile for the first time.

We have horse racing tips for the first five races on a superb card, all shown live on ITV.

“Tip of the Day” - Secret State (3.00pm York) - 2/1 with William Hill

Trainer Charlie Appleby can add yet another string to his St Leger bow with a victory for the progressive Godolphin colt in this significant trial.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

3.00pm York

This progressive Godolphin colt is Alan's best bet of the day

Get 2/1 on Secret State with William Hill

At 2/1 a £10 bet would return £30

York

August 17, 2022

3:00 pm BST

1.50pm York. 5 1/2f

It is always an advantage to obtain a prominent early position in sprint races on the Knavesmire, especially when the ground is on the firm side. It is so hard for those hold-up horses to make up the ground, as more often than not the front runners simply do not come back.

One horse who looks tailormade for a race of this nature is the Adam West-trained LIVE IN THE DREAM (ew). The mount of Ryan Moore showed blistering early pace to win at Sandown earlier in the season before finishing a creditable fifth in the Epsom Dash on Derby Day.

The three-year-old, potentially well drawn in stall 11, can be excused a below-par run at Chester last time, as the horse was badly hampered at a crucial stage. The each-way selection (most bookmakers going six places) is sure to be up with the pace from the word go and is expected to take plenty of pegging back.

Providing his draw in stall 21 is not a negative, course specialist Dakota Gold is one of many dangers in the meeting’s opener.

Alan Kelly's Longshot

1.50pm York

Live In The Dream looks well drawn and can make the frame

Get 12/1 on Live In The Dream (e.w.) with bet365 (6 places)

At 12/1 a £10 win bet would return £130

York

August 17, 2022

1:50 pm BST

2.25pm York. 7f

All nine juveniles go into this Group 3 contest with a victory under their belts. Godolphin’s Noble Dynasty was particularly impressive when winning easily on his debut at Newmarket recently. But the colt did show signs of temperament before the race and I prefer the chances of CHALDEAN (ew) from the Andrew Balding stable.

The mount of Ryan Moore must have been showing plenty at home to be sent off favourite for a 13-runner Newbury maiden on his debut. While only fifth, the horse showed a lot of promise and made no mistake back at the Berkshire racecourse just over two weeks later with a well-touted Godolphin runner back in fourth place.

Most of the field are capable of improving upon what they have achieved so far but Chaldean looks an exciting prospect for the future.

Alan Kelly's Next Best

2.25pm York

Andrew Balding's Chaldean (Nb) looks an exciting prospect

Get 7/1 on Chaldean (e.w.) with Betvictor

At 7/1 a £10 win bet would return £80

York

August 17, 2022

2:25 pm BST

3.00pm York. 1m 4f

Charlie Appleby has a strong hand of contenders for the final Classic of the season on Town Moor next month and in the progressive SECRET STATE (Nap) he can add yet another string to his bow for the world’s oldest Classic at Doncaster.

Since making his debut when runner-up in an above-average Wood Dutton earlier in the year, the Godolphin colt has done nothing but improve, winning competitive handicaps at Royal Ascot and Glorious Goodwood.

William Buick’s mount looks more than capable of making his mark in Group company and the progressive stayer can earn his St Leger place with a victory in this significant trial at the main expense of the admirably consistent Deauville Legend.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

3.00pm York

The progressive stayer Secret State can handle the step up to Group company

Get 2/1 on Secret State (Nap) with William Hill

At 2/1 a £10 bet would return £30

York

August 17, 2022

3:00 pm BST

3.35pm York. 1m 2 1/2f - Juddmonte International Stakes

The inaugural running of this great race was back in 1972 when run as the Benson And Hedges Gold Cup. I was one of many standing by the rails as jockey Braulio Baeza and that year’s Derby winner Roberto scorched past with the legend that is Brigadier Gerard trailing in his wake.

The race has proved a graveyard for short priced favourites on several occasions since then, including the defeat of Golden Horn in 2015. The William Haggas-trained Baaeed, unbeaten in all nine starts to date, will be expected to enhance his already formidable reputation. But in facing Mishriff and NATIVE TRAIL (ew) among others, Jim Crowley’s mount faces his stiffest test to date, and over a new trip. And from a value perspective I think it is worth opposing the son of Sea The Stars with last season’s leading juvenile Native Trail.

After winning the Irish 2000 Guineas, the colt wasn’t suited by a slow-run Coral-Eclipse but lost nothing in defeat, beaten no more than half a length in third place. Providing the race doesn’t turn into another sprint finish, Native Trail and rider William Buick can cause yet one more upset on the Knavesmire.

Alan's Tip

3.35pm York

Native Trail looks a good each way alternative to the favourite

Get 8/1 on Native Trail (e.w.) with Paddy Power

At 8/1 a £10 win bet would return £90

York

August 17, 2022

3:35 pm BST

4.10pm York. 2m 1/2f

One of three runners for the Charlie & Mark Johnston stable, top weight THUNDEROUS (ew) has to concede 9lb and upwards to his 14 rivals in this extended two mile handicap. On the face of it, the five-year-old faces a formidable task but Ryan Moore’s mount is a class stayer when things fall right and if able to dictate matters from the front, the gelding could easily outclass his opponents.

Thunderous earned a rating of 112 when winning the Dante in 2020 and put up another fine effort on the course when beaten only a length by Stradivarius in the Yorkshire Cup earlier in the year. Of the rest, Praiano and Hollie Doyle could go well off a low weight.

Alan's Tip

4.10pm York

Charlie & Mark Johnston's Thunderous is a class stayer on his day

Get 11/1 on Thunderous (e.w.) with William Hill (5 places)

At 11/1 a £10 win bet would return £120

York

August 17, 2022

4:10 pm BST

* All odds are subject to changes.

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