Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips for Wednesday 9th November

The meetings at Ayr and Bangor provide Wednesday’s jumps action in Britain and we have horse racing tips for both cards. Kempton also stages an excellent all-weather fixture in the evening and we have a selection for their London Sprint Series (Final) Handicap at 8.00pm.

“Tip of the Day” - Hard Iron (3.25pm Ayr) - 6/5 with bet365

An easy winner on his handicap debut over today’s course and distance last month, Nicky Richards’ charge looks to have a straightforward task in an effort to follow-up off a 7lb higher mark.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

3.25pm Ayr

Hard Iron can follow up last month's C&D victory

Get 6/5 on Hard Iron with bet365

At 6/5 a £10 bet would return £22

Ayr

November 09, 2022

3:25 pm GMT

2.00pm Bangor, 3m - La Cavsa Nostra (Each Way) (Longshot)

After outstaying Bristol De Mai on the grey’s favoured heavy ground at Haydock back in February, the Ben Clarke-trained The Galloping Bear looks destined to win one of the big long-distance handicaps this season when conditions are right. Today’s 3m on soft ground is unlikely to prove ideal for Ben Jones’ mount who is best watched on this occasion.

On his first start since leaving Tim Vaughan for trainer Dan Skelton, Le Milos is certainly an interesting contender, although the stable are hardly in the best of form at the moment. Ask Me Early, Run To Milan and Notachance could all be fancied if fit enough on their reappearance. But at the bottom of the weights, LA CAVSA NOSTRA (e.w.) gets the each-way vote in the hands of jockey Tom Scudamore.

The winner of two point-to-points in Ireland when partnered by top amateur Jamie Codd, the Flemensfirth gelding is lightly-raced for a 10-year-old as this will be only his seventh start over fences. Following a break of 247 days, Neil Mulholland’s charge was an easy winner at Chepstow three years ago, winning again at Sedgefield two weeks later.

The horse has obviously had his issues, as it was over 800 days before La Cavsa Nostra saw a racecourse again when pulled-up at Chepstow. However, the selection got back to winning ways at Hereford three weeks later and with not many miles on the clock the bottom weight is fancied to run a big race.

Alan Kelly's Longshot

2.00pm Bangor

Neil Mulholland’s La Cavsa Nostra can run a big race off bottom weight

Get 10/1 on La Cavsa Nostra (e.w.) with Betfair (4 places)

At 10/1 a £10 win bet would return £110

Bangor-on-Dee

November 09, 2022

2:00 pm GMT

3.05pm Bangor, 2m 3 1/2f -Minella Youngy (Each Way)

Harry Fry’s Lady Adare was taken out of a race at Wincanton on Saturday due to the fast ground and this unbeaten mare could prove better than her opening handicap mark of 130. Flash Of Steel and Bon Retour have shown decent winning form of late and are respected. But the Gavin Cromwell-trained MINELLA YOUNGY (e.w.) makes his handicap debut here off a mark of 118 and could be the answer to this class 2 contest.

The four-year-old has been sent off favourite for his last four starts, finishing second in the first two before winning by 10 lengths on his penultimate outing at Kilbeggan in July. Jonathan Burke’s mount possibly found the ground too firm when beaten just over four lengths at Tramore on his most recent start and is sure to be more at home under today’s conditions.

The stable are always to be respected when sending their horses across the Irish sea and Minella Youngy makes plenty of appeal with only 10st 4lb to carry.

Alan's Tip

3.05pm Bangor

Minella Youngy makes plenty of appeal on handicap debut

Get 10/1 on Minella Youngy (e.w.) with bet365

At 10/1 a £10 win bet would return £110

Bangor-on-Dee

November 09, 2022

3:05 pm GMT

3.25pm Ayr, 2m 3 1/2f - Hard Iron (Nap)

After showing only minor promise in novice hurdles during the spring and summer, the Nicky Richards-trained HARD IRON made his handicap debut over today’s course and distance last month, running out a comfortable winner from his 14 rivals without being hard pressed.

The son of Milan’s much improved form was put down to having matured since his last outing back in June, along with the step-up in trip. Callum Bewley’s mount runs off a 7lb higher mark on this occasion and that looks a tad lenient considering the style in which the six-year-old pulled well clear of the opposition just over two weeks ago.

This afternoon’s race looks to be no more competitive than Hard Iron’s last visit to the Scottish track and it will be disappointing if the improving hurdler can not follow-up. If fit enough following a break of more than six months, The Jad Factor can follow the selection home.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

3.25pm Ayr

Nicky Richards' Hard Iron can follow up last month's C&D victory

Get 6/5 on Hard Iron (Nap) with bet365

At 6/5 a £10 bet would return £22

Ayr

November 09, 2022

3:25 pm GMT

8.00pm Kempton, 6f - Aphelios (Each Way) (Next Best)

Since making his debut when third in a minor contest at Lingfield back in January, then in the care of trainer Roger Charlton, the three-year-old APHELIOS (e.w.) has not finished out of the first two in ten subsequent starts, recording victories at Windsor, Carlisle and most recently over tonight’s course and distance last month.

The Kodiac gelding joined the stable of Michael Appleby during the summer, rising from a mark of 75 to the 88 Cieren Fallon’s mount runs off in this valuable London Sprint Series (Final). This race appears to have been the long-range target for the ultra-consistent Aphelios who looks sure to go close from his draw in stall three.

Of those contenders at a double-figure price, it would be no surprise to see the selections stablemate Intervention make the frame in the hands of jockey Theodore Ladd.

Alan Kelly's Next Best

8.00pm Kempton

Roger Charlton's consistent Aphelios can go close from stall three

Get 11/2 on Aphelios (e.w.) with bet365 (4 places)

At 11/2 a £10 win bet would return £65

Kempton Park

November 09, 2022

8:00 pm GMT

* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.

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