Newcastle’s three-day Northumberland Plate meeting gets underway on Thursday afternoon. We have two tips for the Gosforth Park card along with one each for Newmarket in the afternoon and Leicester in the evening.
“Tip of the Day” - Deodar (3.45pm Newmarket) - 5/6 with bet365*
Ralph Beckett’s unexposed contender looks different class from his five rivals and should have no trouble winning this seven furlong handicap before stepping-up in company.
2.45pm Newcastle. 1m
A shade odds-on when the betting opened for this one mile handicap on the Tapeta, the unbeaten Godolphin-owned Shining Blue hasn’t shown enough to warrant such a short price. While the mount of Daniel Tudhope, who had such a great Royal Ascot is respected, the William Haggas-trained IRISH ADMIRAL makes much more appeal at current odds of around 5/1.
The French Navy gelding has been competing in some seriously competitive handicaps since opening his account for his current handler at Wolverhampton last April, recording one victory in a Class 3 Redcar contest four months later.
On his reappearance this season, the mount of Cieren Fallon finished a creditable two length fourth in Doncaster’s Lincoln Handicap prior to a slightly disappointing run in the Newbury Spring Cup. The five-year-old is two from two on an artificial surface and should give the short-priced favourite plenty to do.
3.45pm Newmarket. 7f
This could well be a case of a Listed or Group horse running in a handicap as the Ralph Beckett-trained DEODAR (Nap) has the potential to prove much better than the gelding’s opening handicap mark of 95.
The son of Bated Breath ran twice as a juvenile last year, winning a maiden at Newbury on his debut last September before finishing a length second in a Listed race over 6f at Doncaster. The winner on that occasion, Flaming Rib, is now rated 113 following his excellent effort to beat all bar Perfect Power in last Friday’s Group 1 Commonwealth Cup at the royal meeting.
While Deodar was far from impressive in landing odds of 1/12 at Doncaster last month, that race wasn’t run to suit and jockey Rob Hornby is fancied to gain some compensation for losing the ride on the stable’s Westover in Saturday’s Irish Derby. Dream Show is the obvious danger should the selection fail to perform.
4.30pm Newcastle. 7f
Unexposed joint top weight Tickets is hardly overburdened on his handicap debut with a mark of only 75. And it would be no great surprise to see the Ivan Furtado-trained Aclaim gelding prove better than his 12 rivals in this Class 5 contest.
The bang-in-form Eye Up Its The Boss is another with obvious claims following a hat-trick of wins, the most recent when putting five lengths between himself and his rivals at Redcar last week. However, today’s each-way longshot comes from the John Quinn stable in the shape of BA NA HILLS (ew).
The mount of Jason Hart has been running quite well on turf lately without enjoying the best of luck. But is better judged on the gelding’s course and distance victory of March when running off a mark only 1lb lower than will be the case here.
The son of Fastnet Rock clearly handles this Tapeta surface well and in receipt of weight from all but one of his rivals, is fancied to make the frame at the very least.
7.15pm Leicester. 6f
The Rod Millman-trained Devon Envoy is on a hat-trick here following all-the way victories at Salisbury and Nottingham. Those were both Class 6 contests however and the combination of a step-up in class together with a 6lb penalty may prevent the mount of Ross Coakley from winning for the third time in the space of just over two weeks.
Her Majesty The Queen failed to enjoy the best of luck at Royal Ascot last week. But in top weight DISTANT LIGHT (Nb), the enthusiastic owner can have something to celebrate courtesy of a victory for the Andrew Balding-trained three-year-old daughter of Fastnet Rock.
The filly opened her account with a comfortable win on Lingfield’s all-weather surface back in April. And while only fourth at Goodwood ten days later, was beaten only a length behind winner Notions. On her most recent start, on York’s Knavesmire last month, Distant Light looked to be going better than anything approaching the last two furlongs, only to weaken in the closing stages.
On this much faster ground and over a furlong shorter trip, William Buick’s mount is fancied to concede the weight to her four rivals.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds subject to changes.