Alan Kelly’s ITV Horse Racing Tips for Saturday 30th July

As well as selections for the first six races at the West Sussex racecourse we also have tips for two races at Newmarket.

The Coral Stewards’ Cup is the big betting race on the final day of Glorious Goodwood. We will provide a horse racing tip for the famous sprint handicap along with the other five races covered by ITV from Goodwood and two from Newmarket.

“Tip of the Day” - Rose Of Kildare (2.25pm Newmarket) - 2/1 with BetVictor

If reproducing her recent course and distance second behind a talented Godolphin filly, Charlie & Mark Johnston’s five-year-old mare should prove too good for her six rivals in this 1m 4f Listed contest.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

2.25pm Newmarket

On recent form Rose Of Kildare should be too good

Get 2/1 Rose Of Kildare with BetVictor

At 2/1 a £10 bet would return £30

2.25 Newmarket

July 30, 2022

2:25 pm BST

1.05pm Goodwood. 7f

Our Tip: Loyal Touch - 5/1 with bet365

Bussento and Scorch are interesting newcomers in this 7f maiden race where form is thin on the ground. Both Classic and LOYAL TOUCH showed considerable promise on their debuts, with slight preference for the latter who had obviously impressed in his home work having been sent off favourite for a 10-runner contest at Salisbury last month.

The No Nay Never colt in finishing third was beaten less than a length despite running very green and looks the one to beat with that experience under his belt.

Alan's Tip

1.05pm Goodwood

After a promising debut Loyal Touch should improve for the run

Get 5/1 Loyal Touch with bet365

At 5/1 a £10 bet would return £60

1.05 Goodwood

July 30, 2022

1:05 pm BST

1.40pm Goodwood. 6f

Our Tip: Lethal Levi (Nb) - 7/4 with Coral

Only 12 runners for this ‘Consolation Race For The Stewards’ Cup.’ The Karl Burke-trained LETHAL LEVI (Nb) has been in cracking form on Newmarket’s July course of late and under a 6lb penalty is 9lb well-in here compared to his future mark of 100.

Take into account the 3lb claim of talented apprentice Pierre-Louis Jamin and it is hard to look elsewhere for the most likely winner of this 6f sprint handicap. The only negative for the improving three-year-old may be his draw in stall three and should that prove significant the one to take advantage could be Many A Star, drawn highest of all in stall 12.

Alan Kelly's Next Best

1.40pm Goodwood

In-form Lethal Levi can make it three on the spin

Get 7/4 on Lethal Levi (Nb) with Coral

At 7/4 a £10 bet would return £27.50

1.40 Goodwood

July 30, 2022

1:40 pm BST

1.55pm Newmarket. 6f

Our Tip: Transfer Affection (e.w.) - 17/2 with William Hill

A wide-open nursery with most of the eight runners open to plenty of improvement. The Kevin Ryan-trained TRANSFER AFFECTION (ew) showed promise on her first two outings before proving slightly disappointing at Doncaster on her most recent start.

Unlike on those first two starts, the mount of Cieren Fallon was held up on Town Moor, tactics which may not have suited the daughter of Acclamation. The filly, from her draw in stall eight, could well attempt to make all of the running on the rails and if that proves to be the case could take some pegging back.

2.10pm Goodwood. 1m 6f

Our Tip: Golden Flame (e.w.) - 66/1 with William Hill (4 places)

The stable of Charlie & Mark Johnston are represented by three runners in this 1m 6f handicap, the most obvious contender being Soapy Stevens, the game winner of a similar race at Newmarket’s July meeting recently. However, despite under-performing on his last three starts I am prepared to give the stable’s GOLDEN FLAME (ew) another chance from what could prove an ideal draw in stall three.

The Johnston horses have a habit of bouncing back from disappointing efforts and should Jason Hart’s mount run to the level of his head second to fellow rival Valley Forge (meets that leading fancy on 4lb better terms) at Haydock in May, the son of Golden Horn is capable of going close at a big price.

2.25pm Newmarket. 1m 4f

Our Tip: Rose Of Kildare (Nap) - 2/1 with BetVictor

Trying to concede 11lb to Godolphin’s 107-rated filly Eternal Pearl over today’s course and distance recently may have proved a step too far for the Charlie & Mark Johnston-trained ROSE OF KILDARE (Nap). But the five-year-old mare lost absolutely nothing in defeat, going down by just three quarters of a length to that talented filly with the rest of the field well beaten off.

Cieren Fallon’s mount should find this company much more to her liking and is fancied to make all of the running with conditions to suit.

Alan Kelly's Nap Of The Day

2.25pm Newmarket

With conditions to suit, Rose Of Kildare rates as Alan's strongest bet of the day

Get 2/1 on Rose Of Kildare (Nap) with BetVictor

At 2/1 a £10 win bet would return £30

2.25 Newmarket

July 30, 2022

2:25 pm BST

2.45pm Goodwood. 1m 6f

Our Tip: Sea La Rosa - 13/8 with Paddy Power

This Group 2 for fillies and mares looks to concern Ballydoyle’s Emily Dickinson and SEA LA ROSA from the William Haggas stable. The former stepped up in class to finish fourth behind Magical Lagoon in the Irish Oaks on her most recent start.

But Sea La Rosa’s runner-up spot in the Lancashire Oaks entitles the daughter of Sea The Stars to take a race of this nature in the hands of Tom Marquand. Urban Artist can prove best of the rest and can make the frame for trainer Hughie Morrison.

3.20pm Goodwood. 6f

Our Tip: First Folio (e.w.) (Longshot) - 10/1 with bet365 (6 places)

Watching the draw being made for this famous Heritage Handicap, opinion was divided as to where any potential draw advantage may occur with very low and very high numbers being chosen in the early exchanges.

I have a feeling that those berthed towards the far rail could have the best of the draw. And if that proves to be the case the two horses to take advantage could well be Popmaster and FIRST FOLIO (Longshot), second and sixth respectively in Royal Ascot’s Wokingham Stakes on their most recent starts.

James Ferguson’s charge enjoys a 4lb pull for the three and a quarter lengths that separated the two horses at the royal meeting and that may be sufficient for Daniel Muscutt’s mount to turn the tables on this occasion. If high numbers have the edge, course and distance winner Whenthedealisdone has strong claims.

Alan Kelly's Longshot

3.20pm Goodwood

First Folio may have a good draw in the Stewards Cup and can make the frame

Get 10/1 First Folio (e.w.) (Longshot) with bet365 (6 places)

At 10/1 a £10 win bet would return £110

3.20 Goodwood

July 30, 2022

3:20 pm BST

3.55pm Goodwood. 7f

Our Tip: Spirit Of Nguru - 9/2 with Betvictor

A tight seven furlong three-year-old handicap to end ITV’s coverage from the 2022 Glorious Goodwood Festival. Cases can be made for Koy Koy, Positive Impact and Zero Carbon to name but a few. But the vote goes to the William Haggas-trained SPIRIT OF NGURU, the mount of Tom Marquand.

After making his debut at Redcar last November, the gelding won his final two races of 2021, both on Kempton’s all-weather surface. Making his reappearance at Haydock earlier this month, Spirit Of Nguru just failed to get the better of fellow rival Zero Carbon but is fancied to turn that form around with that run under his belt.

Alan's Tip

3.55 Goodwood

A narrowly beaten favourite last time out Spirit Of Nguru can make amends here

Get 9/2 Spirit Of Nguru with Betvictor

At 9/2 a £10 bet would return £55

3.55 Goodwood

July 30, 2022

3:55 pm BST

* Odds subject to changes.