Charlie McCann’s Horse Racing Betting Tips for Sunday 30th October

Rath An Luir looks well treated on Carlisle reappearance

There is rain forecast at Carlisle over the weekend and conditions are likely to be soft for Sunday’s feature card.

2.30pm Carlisle

The feature race is the Colin Parker Memorial Intermediate Chase which sees a fascinating clash between some near-top-class second-season chasers and a couple of exciting chasing newcomers.

Millers Bank only got as far as the first in the Old Roan Chase at Aintree last weekend and bids for quick recompense. A G1-winning novice chaser, he is, arguably, the one to beat, but I am not convinced he would be well served by soft ground.

BEAR GHYLLS is making his chase debut, but he receives 10lbs and more from the other principles, and I hope to see him make a winning start to his career over the larger obstacles. Nicky Martin trains the selection, and she has suggested that the 7-y-old has schooled very well as he returns from a near 600-day lay-off.

Beauport and Corach Rambler are two others to consider, although the latter may need further, and the Coral Gold Cup at Newbury next month may be his primary early-season target.

Charlie's Tip

2.30pm Carlisle

Bear Ghylls can make a winning start over fences

At 3/1 a £10 bet would return £40

Carlisle

October 30, 2022

2:30 pm GMT+1

3.05pm Carlisle

Silver Hallmark reverts to timber from what looks an attractive mark for Evan Williams, and he and the mare Ailie Rose will make sure GOOD RISK AT ALL does not have things his own way.

The selection missed the cut for the Coral Cup by one when I thought he had a leading chance but does have to put behind a moderate run at Aintree when he may have found the ground a bit too quick. Sam Thomas has had a couple of well-fancied horses turned over recently, but he has had a winner, and it might be significant that Good Risk At All’s best performance came at Ascot – a right-handed track – on soft ground.

He looks to have his optimum conditions this afternoon. I would expect the grey to go chasing sooner rather than later this winter, but he can land this valuable prize before making the switch.

Charlie's Tip

3.05pm Carlisle

Good Risk At All can go close with conditions to suit

At 15/8 a £10 bet would return £28.75

Carlisle

October 30, 2022

3:05 pm GMT+1

3.40pm Carlisle

At the time of writing, Nicky Richard’s last seven horses have finished 2-1-1-2-2-1-1, and his Houston Texas won his last couple here when last seen back in February and is 5lbs higher than when beating Mount Melleray a short head over track and trip on soft ground. The latter is 3lbs better off later today and weighted to reverse the form, but his stable are yet to fire this term.

My two against the field are Morning Spirit and RATH AN LUIR, with a preference for the latter, who looked like a top staying prospect when winning at this meeting a couple of years ago. He has been lightly raced in the interim period, but the handicapper has relented, he has an excellent record fresh, and he gets the each-way vote for Rose Dobbin, whose last four runners have finished 3-1-1-3.

Charlie's Nap of the Day

3.40pm Carlisle

Rath An Luir can go close for the Rose Dobbin stable

At 7/1 a £10 bet would return £80

Carlisle

October 30, 2022

3:40 pm GMT+1

* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.

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