Mackenzie Rose is a rarity in that she is a Mark (& Charlie) Johnston horse who has shown improved form since being held up and I am not concerned about her draw in stall eleven. She looked well ahead of the handicapper when scoring at Doncaster last time and an 8lbs rise looks fair. She is bred to be smart; she receives 12lbs weight-for-age from her elders and looks sure to run a big race.
Joe Fanning rode his rivals to sleep aboard Forest Falcon in the Zetland Gold Cup last time when James Sullivan gave HIGHWAYGREY far too much to do in a race where you had to race prominently.
David Allen has been in the plate for all five of the selection’s career wins and the 6-y-old has a record at the track of four wins and two seconds from eight runs and he is 10lbs lower in the weights than when successful at Doncaster last April.
Somehow there was 9/1 available with William Hill when they opened up on the market but the 6/1 available at the time of writing still looks attractive.
DIDTHEYLEAVEYOUOUTTO (Nap) has stamina to prove over this 2m 2f trip on the level, but he stays three miles over timber and looked ready for a marathon trip when third at Goodwood over two miles on his penultimate start.
It sounds daft but he is a 9-y-old who is unexposed as a stayer on the flat and he is only 3lbs higher than when scoring at Nottingham 12 months ago.
The each way recommendation was put in at 14/1 with William Hill and, at the time of writing, they have Haizoom as the 4/1 market leader while the only other firm betting on the race offer 10s. They both can’t be right!
Nashwa to end a difficult week for Gosden with classic glory in France
I hope that NASHWA will not have left her chance of classic glory at Epsom, but I do feel she is the best filly in the French Oaks with the drop back in trip to this extended ten furlongs considered a positive.
The selection has a cracking draw in stall two, retained jockey Hollie Doyle knows the filly very well and I thought she ran a tremendous race in the Oaks when third to Tuesday and Emily Upjohn.
Her previous victory at Newbury over this trip was franked when the runner up Stay Alert was a comfortable winner of a listed contest back at the Berkshire track. Well drawn, best form this classic is hers to lose with the French Guineas form taking a knock in the Coronation Stakes on Friday.
The main danger is likely to come from Doyle’s husband Tom Marquand and Zellie who was last seen finishing well when fourth in the 1000 Guineas behind Cachet.
There is the prospect of showers at Chantilly this afternoon and any further significant rain would tip the balance to the Andre Fabre trained filly whose Marcel Boussac win back on Arc day was gained on heavy ground.
Conditions were described as good to soft at the track on Saturday morning but, from my experience of French racing, it is likely to be good ground and a dry sunny day was forecast for Saturday.