Horse Racing

Cheltenham: How To Spot the Best Outsiders

The Cheltenham Festival delivers some of the most competitive racing of the entire season. The majority of races taking place have big fields, and plenty of genuine contenders. But every horse can’t be favourite, and for that reason, many look to try and find the best outsiders at Cheltenham, looking to land a big odds winner.

As a punter, Cheltenham winners have that extra edge about them. The same applies when you back one to win at big odds. Finding a Cheltenham outsider that wins at the Festival, combines both of those.

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Outsider tips: Willie Mullins, Gordon Elliott & Nicky Henderson Contenders Overlooked

Willie Mullins and Gordon Elliott are currently dominating Irish racing, and in recent years, the Irish have dominated the Cheltenham Festival. in 2022, the Irish won the Prestbury Cup 18-10 (the number of winners from Irish trainers v British trainers). A year earlier in 2021, it was a real demolition job by the Irish, winning the cup 23-5.

These two trainers are highly likely to go home with winners, but it’s not always their favourites you need to focus on. Outsiders from both yards are sometimes discounted in the betting, because the focus is placed on the number one runner, usually because of a jockey booking, and this is where value at the Cheltenham Festival can be found.

In the UK, Nicky Henderson is perhaps the biggest trainer right now, and again, don’t be too concerned back a second string runner from one of the bigger yards if you are looking for value. Yes, they will have favourites that will grab the headlines, whether they win or lose, but they will also have many outsiders run.

If you look back to the results in 2022, all three trainers had one winner at double figure odds, with one trainer in particular, having a huge priced winner.

On day one of the 2022 Festival, it was the turn of Nicky Henderson to land a big priced winner, with Marie’s Rock landing the Mares’ Hurdle at 18/1.

For big priced winners on day two, it was all about Gordon Elliott. He landed the Coral Cup with Commander Of Fleet, with a huge SP of 50/1 to reward followers.

None of the big three landed big priced winners on day three, but that day did see 40/1, 25/1 and 22/1 winners to reward those looking to find an outsider.

On the final day of the festival, it was the turn of Willie Mullins to come up with a big one. The Nice Guy landed the Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle at 18/1.

Other Trainers to Watch Out For

Many other trainers had success at the 2022 Cheltenham Festival, and will be looking for the same in 2023. Most of the bigger priced winners were trained by familiar names within racing, further confirming the point that you do not need to be worried about backing a big priced runner at the meeting.

Lucinda Russell, Padraig Roche, Ben Pauling, Hughie Morrison, Evan Williams, Venetia Williams and Joseph O’Brien all landed winners with an SP of 10/1 or bigger at the meeting, and all are considered good trainers, known by the majority of national hunt racing fans.

Cheltenham Betting Tips

The Cheltenham Festival is the biggest week of national hunt racing in the UK, and of course, our tipsters are on hand to guide you through the action. Check out our daily horse racing tips throughout Cheltenham week, taking you to the heart of the action at Prestbury Park, and pin pointing where the value lies.

To go direct to our racing experts, you can check out Charlie McCann horse racing tips and Alan Kelly horse racing tips every day of the meeting.

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What's the approach for choosing an outsider in Cheltenham?

Selecting an outsider in Cheltenham, or any horse racing event, can involve a range of different approaches. Some people may look for horses with long odds or lower chances of winning based on past performances, while others might consider factors such as the horse's form, the jockey's track record, the trainer's success at Cheltenham, the going conditions, and any other relevant variables. Ultimately, choosing an outsider is often a matter of personal preference and risk tolerance, and it's important to do your research and consider all the available information before making a decision.

Craig Jones

Craig Jones

Content Manager on Freebets. Experienced punter, from back street, smoke filled betting shops in the 2000s, to state of the art, dedicated betting apps of the 2020s. Covering the gambling industry with expert opinion and looking at the latest innovations.