Cheltenham Gold Cup Stats Point to Market Leaders

February 27, 2025 at 4:28 pm GMT+0

The Cheltenham Gold Cup is the centrepiece of the Cheltenham Festival, the pinnacle of jumps racing, and the one everyone wants.

Galopin Des Champs will be heading to Cheltenham in two weeks to defend his crown, a win here would land him a Gold Cup hat trick.

Trained by Irish master Willie Mullins, the Gold Cup odds show he's odds on to win the race again, such is the gap in quality between him and the chasing pack.

On top of that, we've got some key Cheltenham Gold Cup stats, and they point to horses at the top of the market this time around, including the favourite.

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Gold Cup Stats Favour Market Leaders

Whenever anyone talks about Cheltenham day 4 tips, they'll ask for a Gold Cup prediction, the biggest race of the meeting, and we've got stats to show where you need to be looking.

The simple answer is the market leaders, if there is to be an upset, then one of the horses further down the betting list is going to have to do so despite stats being against them.

Let's look at the key stats for this race.

  • 11 of the last 12 winners had at least 1 win that season

✅ Galopin Des Champs, Banbridge, Fact To File, L'Homme Presse, Jungle Boogie, The Real Whacker, Royale Pagaille

  • All of the last 12 winners had their last run 33 days or more before the Gold Cup

✅ Galopin Des Champs, Banbridge, Fact To File, Jungle Boogie, The Real Whacker

  • All of the last 12 winners had won a Grade One race before

✅ Galopin Des Champs, Banbridge, Fact To File, The Real Whacker

After we filter the field based on these three key Gold Cup stats, we are left with just four runners.

Galopin Des Champs, market leader, Banbridge, second favourite, Fact To File, third favourite and lastly, The Real Whacker, a big outsider, and the only horse outside of the top three in the market to pass our stats test.

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Galopin Des Champs Dominates Gold Cup Market

Ever since he landed the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 2024, Galopin Des Champs as been at the head of the betting market for 2025, and has only strengthened his position throughout the year.

A facile win at the Dublin Racing Festival pushed him further into odds on, it was impressive and he's the one to beat.

Likely to be a runner that many are waiting for on Friday in their antepost accas, he could make or break Cheltenham for some. If the bookmakers dare, don't be surprised to see a lot of Cheltenham betting offers, particularly enhanced odds offer, centred around this horse on the final day of the meeting.

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Craig Jones

Craig Jones

Content Manager on Freebets. Experienced punter, from back street, smoke filled betting shops in the 2000s, to state of the art, dedicated betting apps of the 2020s. Covering the gambling industry with expert opinion and looking at the latest innovations.

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