Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
Horse racing tips for Beverley & Sedgefield on Tuesday
Alan Kelly We’ve got daily tips from our resident horse racing expert, Alan Kelly.
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The highlight of an otherwise disappointing week was the victory of our 4/1 Nap of the Day, East India Dock, in Friday’s Chester Cup. The majority of our Saturday ITV Racing Tips were well supported, but apart from Puppet Master’s Lingfield Derby Trial win and a couple of placed selections at double-figure odds, it was a poor conclusion to the week.
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Alan Kelly’s Horse Racing Tips
The horse racing action in Britain on Tuesday comes from the meetings at Worcester, Beverley and Chepstow in the afternoon and Sedgefield in the evening.
Ground on the firm side of good is expected for all four cards.
Nap of the Day - Gavin (7:40pm Sedgefield)
Sean Bowen’s mount, an easy winner at Ffos Las last week, should be more than capable of defying a 7lb penalty with a victory in this modest 2m 1f handicap hurdle.
4:12pm Beverley - Arundel (Each-Way)
George Scott’s Zappata is in terrific form at the moment, the son of Oasis Dream now attempting a five-timer following wins at Wetherby, Redcar, Bath and Ripon in a little over two weeks. Despite the 5lb claim of regular pilot Liam Wright, Zappata could be vulnerable under a 12lb penalty and over a trip, 1m 2f, which could stretch the gelding’s stamina.
Kimeko Glory ran out a comfortable winner over today’s course and distance last month before finishing a respectable fourth off a 6lb higher mark at Redcar a week later. Mark Walford’s charge should make the frame once again, but if the price allows (no betting as I write) I would rather back Ed Dunlop’s handicap debutante ARUNDEL (Each-Way).
This will be the first run on turf for the Make Believe gelding, who showed enough in races at Southwell and Wolverhampton on his two runs this year to suggest he is capable of winning a race of this nature off an opening mark of just 58. The booking of jockey Billy Loughnane for the ride and the step-up in trip also bode well for an improved performance.
Recommendation: Arundel (Each-Way) - 5/1 with BetGoodwin (3 places)
6:40pm Sedgefield - Conquer The Breeze
At the age of 5, Charlie Longsdon’s joint top weight Delpotro is the youngest of the 7 contenders for this Class 5 handicap chase and the one with the most scope for improvement, Sean Bowen’s mount a dual winner in the French Provinces. The son of Masked Marvel ran his best race to date for current connections when runner-up at Plumpton last month and is respected.
The other horse at the head of the handicap, Philip Kirby’s Clean Getaway, is something of a standing dish at Sedgefield, the eight-year-old successful on four occasions towards the end of last year, two over hurdles and two over fences. The first of those wins came off a mark of 87 however, and it may be that the handicapper has finally caught up with the mount of regular partner, 3lb claimer Joe Williamson.
One of the 7 runners who looks to be very well treated over fences is the 79-rated CONQUER THE BREEZE from the Maurice Barnes stable, whose hurdles mark is some 19lb higher. The six-year-old, runner-up to the 134-rated Wilful in a Hexham novices’ hurdle 12 months ago, made little impression on his first four outings over fences but has shown more promise this year, in particular when second over tonight’s course and distance last month.
After taking up the running approaching the last in that contest, the mount of 3lb claimer Charlie Price was only headed inside the last 100 yards by Sean Quinlan’s mount Royal Max. Conquer The Breeze has fellow rivals Fearless Action and Nonbinding well behind on that occasion, a repeat of which would make this well-handicapped chaser hard to beat.
Recommendation: Conquer The Breeze - 9/4 with bet365
7:40pm Sedgefield - Gavin (Nap)
Champion jockey Sean Bowen visits the County Durham racecourse with three decent chances, the best of which may be the Mickey Bowen-trained GAVIN (Nap) in this 2m 1f handicap hurdle. The seven-year-old has a 7lb penalty to carry, the result of a nine and a half length victory at Ffos Las last week on the son of Bated Breath’s first outing for the trainer.
After winning a couple of races at Ffos Las around this time two years ago, Gavin achieved a mark of 105 (now runs off 93), since then the gelding has suffered 19 defeats, 16 over hurdles and 3 on the flat. If last week’s all-the-way win at the Welsh track can be repeated, Gavin should be more than capable of defying his penalty in a race which may take little winning.
On his last two starts, Mickey Hammond’s top weight Piecederesistance was beaten a total of 103 lengths and will need to show significant improvement if Brian Hughes’ mount is to take a hand in the finish, a bigger danger to Gavin likely to be that of Adam Nichol’s Trailblazer, a course and distance winner last month before going on to finish a respectable second at Perth two weeks later.
Recommendation: Gavin (Nap) - 10/11 with bet365
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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About Alan Kelly
A passionate follower of horse racing for over 50 years, Alan has enjoyed a 40-year career in the betting industry, 28 of which he spent running his betting shop as an owner/manager.
A successful punter with a keen eye for value, Alan has had many betting highlights, including a Scoop 6 win and has shown a consistent profit in the battle with bookmakers since joining Freebets.com in 2008.
You can follow Alan Kelly on Twitter for more racing insight.
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