- ICC Men’s T20 World Cup
- Tuesday 1 November, 2022
- England v New Zealand
- The Gabba, Brisbane (8am UK)
Let’s get the glass half empty scenario out of the way first. If England lose this game, they wouldn’t be mathematically out of semi-final contention - two points behind Australia with one game to play and four behind group leaders New Zealand. But it would need Afghanistan to beat Australia in their final group game to keep them alive.
The glass half full scenario. A victory over New Zealand would put them slap bang on course. Another win over Sri Lanka in the group finale would surely seal the deal.
New Zealand have taken a grip on top spot in the group with two big wins over Australia and Sri Lanka, added to a No Result against Afghanistan. They have been excellent so far, and it surprises me somewhat that they are 7/5 to win this one with Unibet.
I thought England would be favourites, but not as short as 4/7 (888sport).
I’m actually going to swerve the win market here, as I fancy England although I’m tempted to suggest that 6/4 price on Kane Williamson’s side represents significant value.
Instead, I will look elsewhere……
Curran player performance looks low
In seven out of his last eight T20 internationals, England’s Sam Curran has cleared the 29.5 bet365 are offering on their player performance markets. I would be going over that for 5/6.
He has largely done his good work with the ball, the left-arm seamer taking recent hauls of 2-31, 5-10, 3-25 and 2-35 to name just a few.
But he has every chance of popping up with a few runs and a catch here and there.
Remember, it is a point per run, 10 per catch and 25 per wicket in this market.
Both teams have enough to bring home 9/5 shot
Although the sample size of fixtures in this World Cup at the Gabba is small, it is a venue which has generally produced some big scores in Big Bash cricket over the years.
I’m sure both teams have enough batting quality and depth in the tank to secure Betfair Sportsbook’s 9/5 on both to post totals of 160 plus in the match.
Fireworks can come from Livingstone and Stokes
Ben Stokes has form in big games against New Zealand, doesn’t he! Surely no one needs reminding of what he did against them in 2019.
Ladbrokes are offering a price boost of 11/2 on him and fellow big hitter Liam Livingstone to hit a combined total of five sixes in this fixture.
This is a venue which is no stranger to sixes - a bit like Melbourne and Perth, it’s best to hit straight. And let’s face it, either man could cover this bet alone.
So I’m willing to take this one on during England’s innings, despite neither man hitting a six in two previous tournament outings. That has to change at some point, surely!
Mitchell just loves it against England
In 13 innings across the various formats, Daryl Mitchell has scored 728 runs at an average of 72.8, including three Test hundreds last summer and an unbeaten 72 in last November’s T20 World Cup semi-final which New Zealand won in Abu Dhabi.
On the latter occasion, he opened the batting but is now down at number five.
Even still, 10/1 on him to be New Zealand’s top batter in this match with Betfair Sportsbook is worth consideration.
In New Zealand’s win over Sri Lanka in Sydney on Saturday, he was thrust into the action at 15-3 after four overs and scored 22, supporting centurion Glenn Phillips. There’s no reason why, given a similar situation in Brisbane, it couldn’t be Daryl’s day.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.