- Lancashire Lightning v Surrey
- Vitality Blast, Quarter-Final
- Friday July 7, 2023, 6.30pm
- Emirates Old Trafford
Lancashire have not lost in 21 T20 games at Emirates Old Trafford, dating back to the final group game of the 2020 shortened Covid summer when Leicestershire claimed a victory.
It is a remarkable record for a Lightning side who have now reached at least the quarter-finals of this tournament on 16 occasions out of 20 attempts dating back to the start of the competition (quarter-finals weren’t involved in 2003, the first year of the Blast).
But they’re going to get beat at some point. No matter how good a side you are, the run will come to an end. And I reckon that this could well be the night.
Lancashire finished second in the North Group with eight wins from 14, and Surrey finished third in the South with the same number of victories. Both are star-studded, and there’s not a great deal to choose between them.
In fact, I reckon this could well be the pick of the quarter-finals. It’s certainly between this and Somerset v Nottinghamshire for me.
Anyway, I’m going to side with Surrey here. They’re 1/1 to win with BetUK.
Six appeal with Surrey
It staggers me that Lancashire are favourites to hit the most sixes in this fixture.
They’re not without power, admittedly - plenty of it in fact. But consider this. Lancashire have hit 87 sixes in this season’s Blast and Surrey have hit 140.
With that mind, surely you’d be siding with Surrey at the 5/4 which is available with bet365?
Bet365 are also offering 13/8 on West Indian spinner Sunil Narine taking over 1.5 wickets for Surrey.
He has taken 19 wickets this campaign, including a pair of two-fors in his last four appearances.
Spinners notoriously do well in T20 cricket at Emirates Old Trafford, and he’s up there with the very best. Only two bowlers in the history of T20 cricket worldwide have taken more than his 508.
Roy’s the boy and Mitchell can Razzle Daz-zle em’
Bet365 are dominating this preview. They seem to be the company offering the most value.
I have a real incline for a Jason Roy special in this fixture.
He hasn’t played a great deal of cricket late. In fact, that’s probably overstating it. He’s only played once since May 20 at the IPL, scoring 28 from number three in the order in Surrey’s final group stage defeat against Essex on Sunday.
But sometimes that can release the shackles and he can go out and play with a bit of a ‘nothing to lose’ attitude.
First of all, Ladbrokes have him at 11/4 to score a fifty in the match.
I also like bet365′s 15/4 on the England man to be Surrey’s top run-scorer.
New Zealand all-rounder Daryl Mitchell is Lancashire’s leading run-scorer in this season’s Blast with 409 to his name from number five.
Now I wouldn’t usually go down the order this far when looking for leading run-scorers, but I have noticed quite a bit of value across all the quarter-final previews. Paul Walter for Essex was one for their quarter-final against Birmingham, for example.
Anyway, Mitchell is on offer at 13/2 with bet365 to be Lancashire’s top run-scorer in this match, and I think he’s worth a low stakes approach.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.