- Somerset v Nottinghamshire Outlaws
- Vitality Blast, Quarter-Final
- Friday July 7, 2023, 6.35pm
- The Cooper Associates County Ground, Taunton
There’s no doubt that Notts have it all to do when they make the Friday trip down to the West Country.
Having finished fourth in the North Group, they tackle a Somerset side who have been the standout team in the competition so far, winning 12 of their 14 matches. That’s more than anyone else across either of the two groups. Notts, on the other hand, won eight out of 14 games and lacked consistency.
This will also be the fifth time these two have met in Blast knockout matches, with Somerset winning the previous four.
It shows how much Somerset are favoured for this one that when I tipped Notts up at the start of the tournament, they were 10/1. Now, they’re still 9/1.
Somerset are 13/19 to continue their power-packed progress. I’m actually going to chicken out of the result here. If pressed, I would side with Somerset. But I wouldn’t be keen to take a price as short as that and would be happy to look elsewhere for value given there’s already interest there in a Notts win.
Value in Banton player performance
Bet365 have priced up Somerset wicketkeeper batter Tom Banton’s player performance up at 5/6 over or under 32.5. I would be going over that mark with a player who will open the batting and could win the bet with his batting alone.
It’s a point a run, 10 per catch and 25 per stumping.
Banton has topped that mark in three of his last six Blast matches, only claims four catches behind the stumps in that time.
He’s one of three Somerset batters to have topped 400 runs in this competition.
Banton’s team-mate Matt Henry is 5/4 with Ladbrokes to take over 1.5 wickets in this match.
The New Zealand overseas fast bowler has claimed 11 wickets in his last four Blast matches, including hauls of 3-24, 2-28, 4-30 and 2-40. Sandwiched in between, he claimed six wickets in a Championship match against Nottinghamshire.
He is in prime form, and I would also be keen on taking the 7/2 on offer with SportingIndex for him to be Somerset’s top wicket-taker in this fixture.
Given Somerset’s strong form with the bat and the high scores posted at Taunton, it surprises me that not one of their batters has scored a hundred in this season’s Blast.
They have posted 200 plus on three occasions in this year’s Blast and have not posted anything lower than 172-2 in their last five matches.
I think the 6/1 bet365 are offering on there to be a century in this match is worth considering, especially when it includes Notts who have plenty of firepower themselves in the likes of Alex Hales and Joe Clarke.
* Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.