Sutton’s Acca: 16/1 EFL Bet – Saturday 19th November

Gab Sutton's EFL Acca

Sutton's 26/1 EFL Acca

Gab is back with his five EFL picks on Saturday

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At 26/1 a £10 bet would return £270

November 19, 2022

3:00 pm GMT+1

Plymouth Argyle to win at Burton – 7/5

Argyle have scored in each of their last 20 games in all competitions, so there’s a good chance Steven Schumacher’s side will find their range at Burton on Saturday.

The Pilgrims are missing key Aston Villa loanee Finn Azaz but can still go to the likes of Bali Mumba and Morgan Whittaker, borrowed from Norwich and Swansea, respectively, who have shone in League One this season.

Mumba is an intelligent, energetic wing-back with a huge range of qualities, while Whittaker is a quick, agile forward who loves to spin a defender, then get a snapshot away.

With Adam Randell and Jordan Houghton patrolling the midfield, Argyle have a great chance of defeating the strugglers.

Burton have improved since Dino Maamria took the reigns from Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink but will be in for a tough afternoon at the Pirelli.

Sheffield Wednesday to beat Shrewsbury – 4/9

Going into the season, the one thing Sheffield Wednesday were missing was an infusion of searing pace.

Darren Moore is not one of the top tacticians or coaches in League One, so his sides do rely on individual brilliance, and while they can depend on that at times, with Barry Bannan pulling the strings in midfield and Michael Smith using his strength and industry up top, it needed something different to break down opponents.

Alex Mighten provides that. The Nottingham Forest academy graduate fell down the ranks at his parent club, as seems natural when they signed 25 players, so he became available on loan.

The 20-year-old is incredibly explosive and capable of running in behind or taking on opponents one-on-one, which opens games up for Wednesday – and he scored the winner at Accrington Stanley last time out.

Mighten could be the key once again to victory over Shrewsbury, who are without wing-backs Elliott Bennett and George Nurse plus striker Daniel Udoh, while Julien Dacosta and Aiden O’Brien are doubts.

Absentees don’t help Steve Cotterill, who is working with a thin and imbalanced squad as things are.

Barrow to beat Hartlepool – 8/13

Barrow have created many of their chances so far this season from a combination of set pieces and opportunistic, transitional attacks, which have come about as a by-product of their high-pressing style.

The only problem with setting up to try to create chances that way is that it can limit you against compact sides that don’t draw the press, which is why Richie Bennett’s return from injury is so important.

Without Bennett, as well as a defender who can play out like Chelsea loanee Sam McClelland, the Bluebirds risk a situation where they are going long to one of 5′5″ Ben Whitfield, 5′10″ Josh Gordon, 5′9″ Billy Waters or 5′10″ Josh Kay – neither will win many headers.

Alternatively, they have played a bigger striker in David Moyo, but he’s not got much of a leap and is not as highly rated by supporters as he is by his manager.

Bennett, however, is an experienced League Two target man who was part of a Sutton United side who challenged for the Play-Offs in their maiden season at this level, so he has a lot to offer the (spiritually) Lancashire club.

Against a deep-block, long ball Keith Curle side, Bennett will serve as a focal point which will be crucial to bringing the smaller attackers into the game in the right areas.

Doncaster to win at Colchester – 9/5

Doncaster’s performance levels have shot up under Danny Schofield.

They lost 1-0 to Stevenage in the former Huddersfield boss’ first game in charge, but there is no way they should have been defeated that night, with the pressing 3-4-3 template he established successfully so early on.

It came as no surprise when successive league victories followed against Gillingham and Grimsby, albeit either side of a shock FA Cup defeat to National League North leaders Kings Lynn.

George Miller presses relentlessly for Donny, while summer recruit Luke Molyneux threatens to forge a right-sided partnership with Kyle Knoyle akin to the one he had with Jamie Sterry at Hartlepool last season.

James Maxwell, at left wing-back, is also starting to show why there were so many calls for him to start under the previous regime and his wing partner, Kyle Hurst, is one of the most exciting talents in the division.

With that in mind, Doncaster have a great chance of furthering their Play-Off prospects at Colchester, a club in disarray.

U’s players had private conversations with fans after the 1-0 loss at Crewe last time out over concerns over the (lack of) structure at the club, the influence Tony Humes and Steve Ball are having over Matt Bloomfield’s team selections, and a series of other issues that detract from on-field matters.

The identity of those players have been protected for fear of repercussions, but it paints the picture of a club that is divided at a time when it has its EFL status to fight for.

Incidentally, 9/5 is an incredible price for the away win and would be my NAP for the weekend.

Swindon to beat Crewe – 3/4

Alex Morris stood down as Crewe Alexandra manager for personal reasons, yet is carrying on as assistant in the interim period to Lee Bell.

There may well be family matters at play, but the fact he has chosen to continue in a role that involves coaching the team rather than managing the club suggests the task of being Crewe boss takes its toll, and questions have been asked of owner Charles Grant.

The Railwaymen were unconvincing in last week’s 1-0 victory over Colchester, and it’s hard to see their first win in eight league games serving as a true turning point, even if it did follow an FA Cup win over Leyton Orient.

The structure at Swindon is much stronger, and that is being reflected on the pitch, where Scott Lindsey is working wonders with the development of right-back Remeao Hutton, midfielder Ronan Darcy and forward Jacob Wakeling.

Town created enough chances to beat Tranmere last weekend, though ultimately had to settle for a draw, but they should be considered heavy favourites for this one and look like one of the safer bets of the weekend’s action across League One and League Two.

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