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It is Eurovision time again!
Two semi-finals on Tuesday and Thursday will reduce the field of 37 with five countries eliminated on Tuesday and six on Wednesday. The Eurovision betting suggests we will wave goodbye to Latvia, Romania, San Marino, Greece, Albania, Iceland, Malta, Azerbaijan, Denmark, Georgia, and a few others.
26 countries will remain for Saturday’s live final. And the bookmakers cannot see beyond Sweden (5/6 at BetVictor) and Finland (top-priced 9/4 at William Hill and Betfair). It’s a strange face-off as the Swedish entry will appeal to the music experts that account for 50% of the votes from each country.
The flip side is the strong attraction of the camp act from Finland. Its representative, Käärijä will turn on the notoriously heavy voting LGBTQIA+ Eurovision fanbase. Resultantly, is likely to top the televoters and earn the most points in that sphere.
Whoever prevails, there is little value at the top of the market and the history books show this competition never goes to a rank outsider.
But big-priced countries are certain to make the each-way paying places in 2023 when most firms are playing positions 1-2-3-4.
Following the favourites in the betting are:
- Ukraine (14/1 Unibet)
- France (14/1 Paddy Power)
- Spain (20/1 BoyleSports)
- Norway (25/1 Betway)
- Israel (33/1 bet365)
Of course, keeping personal preference is always difficult when trying to find value in Eurovision betting. Will the millions of tele-voters or even the handful of juries share your musical taste? Unquestionably the answer is NO!
The best form guide in recent years has been the numerous online polls. They have proven themselves to be an invaluable guide for punters. Many feature polls have huge sample sizes from voters all over Europe, and consequently, they are a genuine form pointer that punters should take on board.
Compared to the odds on offer, ISRAEL stands out like the proverbial sore thumb. The country is in the top five of every meaningful online Eurovision poll. The biggest poll places the country in clear third position.
Its nine percent claim of the overall vote is half of that enjoyed by the favourites, Sweden, and seven percentage points short of Finland. However, having already claimed 26,000 votes on the Eurovision World poll, Israel is a country mile ahead of Germany and Norway.
Nevertheless, its representative – 22-year-old Noa Kirel – can be backed at 33/1 in the win market. And, with Unibet offering the best price of 33/1 with each-way terms of positions 1-2-3-4, an obvious Eurovision bet has fallen on our lap.
Eurovision Song Contest 2023
Israel represent each way value according to the polls
At 33/1 a £10 win bet would return £340
May 09, 2023
8:00 pm GMT+1
*Betting odds correct at the time of publication. All odds are subject to changes.
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