Betting Tips

Cheltenham Betting Tips 2022: Jonbon Looks a Supreme Winner in Waiting

Regally bred, costing a king’s fortune, owned by the Cheltenham Festival’s most successful owner and trained by a maestro with over 60 Festival winners on his résumé. Jonbon is a 7/2 favourite to win the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle this year, and you can find more odds like this across our Cheltenham Betting offers.

As a full-brother to the nine-time Grade 1 winning Douvan, Jonbon was never going to be cheap. A 15-length drumming of his rivals in a Dromahane point-to-point pushed his value upwards. But did anyone really expect him to fetch £570,000 when sent to Goffs UK auction in November 2020?

The most expensive point-to-pointer ever sold at auction certainly looked the part when paraded around the sales ring and his pedigree certainly stood out. But could he run? The form value of an Irish maiden point-to-point can often be questionable.

Jonbon Wins on Rules Debut

Thankfully McManus has already had some return on his investment and, in the scheme of things, his purchase is now looking a good buy.

Only £10,500 has been won in prize-money on the back of two victories in his new owner’s colours but Jonbon is unquestionably the horse to beat in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle.

Victory in the Cheltenham Festival contest will go some way to repaying that huge purchase price. Interestingly Douvan, his full-brother, won £609,800 during his distinguished career.

Jonbon’s first victory under rules came at Newbury in March. This nine-runner national hunt flat race had representatives from the Nicholls and Twiston-Davies yards in it, but Jonbon won commandingly with over four lengths to spare.

Expensive Gelding Can Jump

Next question, can he jump? We got the answer to that question, once again at Newbury, at the end of November. Accounting for seven rivals in a maiden hurdle, Jonbon was an impressive winner of a maiden hurdle.

Finishing second, beaten six lengths, was Good Risk At All. This horse was a two-time bumper winner at Listed level.

And so now Jonbon falls into the ‘how long is a piece of string’ category. Yet to be harried or pressed, we simply know he is a very good horse. His potential is enormous.

Is Kilcruit a Genuine Rival after Cork Flop?

Last week only Kilcruit looked a worthy opponent to Jonbon. However, after being beaten 10 lengths by Largy Debut on his first run over hurdles at Cork at odds of 1/14 at the weekend, his antepost Supreme Novices betting odds have drifted out from 4/1 to around 10/1.

At six, a year older than Jonbon, this Willie Mullins-trained horse finished second in the Cheltenham Champion Bumper and that gained revenge on his conqueror by beating Sir Gerhard by over six lengths at the Punchestown Festival.

There may have been a valid reason for his poor run and he may may jump like a proverbial stag and win for fun in his subsequent runs, but only in the unlikely event he beats an opponent of merit, will he be slashed in the betting.

The Numbers Game

Kilcruit will be seven next year. Only two seven-year-olds have won the Supreme Novices’ during the past 25 years. Twelve six-year-olds have won the race during the same period. That’s great news for Jonbon fans. Interestingly his brother was only five when winning it in 2015.

Maybe we are trying to find stats to support Jonbon’s case. The truth is, such is his pedigree and the visual impressiveness of his two races under recognised National Hunt rules to date, Jonbon simply looks a champion in waiting and a knockout bet in the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle betting at odds of 7/2.